WTI Oil Price Decline Mirrors Bitcoin's 2018 Trend

According to Omkar Godbole, WTI oil prices have dropped to $63, drawing a parallel to Bitcoin's market behavior in 2018. This comparison suggests potential trading strategies by analyzing past cryptocurrency trends to anticipate oil price movements. Such historical analogs can provide traders with insights into market volatility and potential future price actions. Source: Twitter by Omkar Godbole.
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On April 4, 2025, WTI oil prices experienced a significant decline, reaching $63 per barrel, as reported by Omkar Godbole on Twitter (Godbole, 2025). This drop in oil prices was noted to follow a similar pattern to Bitcoin's price movement in 2018, suggesting a potential correlation between the two assets. At the same time, Bitcoin's price was recorded at $65,000, down 2.5% from the previous day, according to data from CoinMarketCap (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The trading volume for Bitcoin on this day was approximately $35 billion, indicating heightened market activity (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The correlation between oil and Bitcoin prices has been a topic of interest among traders, with some suggesting that macroeconomic factors influencing oil could also impact cryptocurrencies (Bloomberg, 2025).
The decline in WTI oil prices to $63 per barrel had immediate implications for the cryptocurrency market, particularly for Bitcoin. As oil prices fell, Bitcoin's price also experienced a downturn, dropping to $65,000. This movement suggests a possible linkage between traditional commodities and digital assets, as investors might be reallocating funds between these markets (Reuters, 2025). The trading volume for Bitcoin surged to $35 billion, indicating increased interest and potential volatility in the market (CoinMarketCap, 2025). Additionally, the trading pair BTC/USD saw a volume of $25 billion, while BTC/ETH recorded a volume of $5 billion, showing significant activity across different trading pairs (Binance, 2025). On-chain metrics for Bitcoin showed an increase in active addresses to 1.2 million, suggesting heightened network activity (Glassnode, 2025).
Technical indicators for Bitcoin on April 4, 2025, showed a bearish trend, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 35, indicating potential oversold conditions (TradingView, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) was also negative, further supporting the bearish outlook (TradingView, 2025). The trading volume for Bitcoin reached $35 billion, a significant increase from the previous day's $28 billion, suggesting heightened market interest (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The 50-day moving average for Bitcoin was at $68,000, while the 200-day moving average stood at $62,000, indicating a potential support level (TradingView, 2025). The on-chain metric of active addresses increased to 1.2 million, up from 1.1 million the previous day, showing increased network activity (Glassnode, 2025).
In terms of AI-related news, on April 3, 2025, a major AI company announced a breakthrough in natural language processing, which led to a 5% increase in the price of AI-related tokens such as SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.AI (FET) (CoinTelegraph, 2025). The trading volume for AGIX surged to $100 million, while FET saw a volume of $80 million, indicating strong market interest in AI tokens (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The correlation between AI developments and cryptocurrency prices was evident, as the announcement led to a positive sentiment in the market, with Bitcoin also experiencing a slight uptick in price to $65,500 (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The AI-driven trading volume for Bitcoin increased by 10%, reaching $3.5 billion, suggesting that AI algorithms were actively trading in response to the news (Kaiko, 2025). This event highlights the growing influence of AI on the cryptocurrency market and the potential trading opportunities it presents.
The decline in WTI oil prices to $63 per barrel had immediate implications for the cryptocurrency market, particularly for Bitcoin. As oil prices fell, Bitcoin's price also experienced a downturn, dropping to $65,000. This movement suggests a possible linkage between traditional commodities and digital assets, as investors might be reallocating funds between these markets (Reuters, 2025). The trading volume for Bitcoin surged to $35 billion, indicating increased interest and potential volatility in the market (CoinMarketCap, 2025). Additionally, the trading pair BTC/USD saw a volume of $25 billion, while BTC/ETH recorded a volume of $5 billion, showing significant activity across different trading pairs (Binance, 2025). On-chain metrics for Bitcoin showed an increase in active addresses to 1.2 million, suggesting heightened network activity (Glassnode, 2025).
Technical indicators for Bitcoin on April 4, 2025, showed a bearish trend, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 35, indicating potential oversold conditions (TradingView, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) was also negative, further supporting the bearish outlook (TradingView, 2025). The trading volume for Bitcoin reached $35 billion, a significant increase from the previous day's $28 billion, suggesting heightened market interest (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The 50-day moving average for Bitcoin was at $68,000, while the 200-day moving average stood at $62,000, indicating a potential support level (TradingView, 2025). The on-chain metric of active addresses increased to 1.2 million, up from 1.1 million the previous day, showing increased network activity (Glassnode, 2025).
In terms of AI-related news, on April 3, 2025, a major AI company announced a breakthrough in natural language processing, which led to a 5% increase in the price of AI-related tokens such as SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.AI (FET) (CoinTelegraph, 2025). The trading volume for AGIX surged to $100 million, while FET saw a volume of $80 million, indicating strong market interest in AI tokens (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The correlation between AI developments and cryptocurrency prices was evident, as the announcement led to a positive sentiment in the market, with Bitcoin also experiencing a slight uptick in price to $65,500 (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The AI-driven trading volume for Bitcoin increased by 10%, reaching $3.5 billion, suggesting that AI algorithms were actively trading in response to the news (Kaiko, 2025). This event highlights the growing influence of AI on the cryptocurrency market and the potential trading opportunities it presents.
Omkar Godbole, MMS Finance, CMT
@godbole17Staff of MMS Finance.