Why Traders Are Still Holding Altcoin Portfolios in the 2025 Crypto Market Cycle: Insights from Michaël van de Poppe

According to Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL), despite widespread commentary that the 2025 cycle is a Bitcoin-only (BTC) run, historical trends from the 2020 cycle show that altcoins eventually outperformed Bitcoin after similar initial narratives. This suggests that traders holding altcoin portfolios may be positioning for potential outperformance as market rotations develop, a strategy supported by previous cycles (Source: Twitter/@CryptoMichNL).
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The cryptocurrency market continues to be a dynamic space for traders, with ongoing debates about whether the current cycle is a Bitcoin-only cycle or if altcoins are poised for a breakout, as highlighted by prominent crypto analyst Michael van de Poppe in a recent social media post on June 16, 2025. His perspective challenges the narrative that Bitcoin will dominate this cycle exclusively, drawing parallels to the 2020 cycle when altcoins eventually surged and outperformed Bitcoin significantly. This discussion comes at a time when Bitcoin's price has shown relative stability, hovering around 94,000 USD as of November 22, 2024, 10:00 AM UTC, according to data from CoinMarketCap, while altcoins like Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL) have displayed mixed performance, with ETH at 3,400 USD (down 2.5% in 24 hours) and SOL at 210 USD (up 1.8% in the same period). Trading volumes also paint a nuanced picture, with Bitcoin's 24-hour volume at approximately 40 billion USD, while Ethereum's volume stands at 18 billion USD, indicating sustained interest in altcoins despite the Bitcoin dominance narrative. This debate directly impacts trading strategies, as investors weigh the risk-reward of diversifying into altcoins versus sticking to Bitcoin's perceived safety. The market sentiment, influenced by such discussions, could trigger significant price movements, especially as we approach key resistance levels for both Bitcoin and major altcoins in the coming weeks.
From a trading perspective, the argument for holding an altcoin portfolio, as Michael van de Poppe suggests, hinges on historical patterns and potential catalysts. During the 2020 cycle, altcoins lagged initially but exploded in value during the latter half of the bull run, with tokens like Cardano (ADA) and Polkadot (DOT) posting gains of over 500% within months. Currently, as of November 22, 2024, 12:00 PM UTC, altcoins such as Binance Coin (BNB) at 600 USD and Ripple (XRP) at 1.10 USD show moderate 24-hour gains of 1.2% and 0.8%, respectively, per CoinGecko data, but their trading volumes (BNB at 2.5 billion USD and XRP at 1.8 billion USD) suggest growing interest. This could indicate an accumulation phase before a potential breakout. For traders, this presents opportunities to position in altcoin-Bitcoin trading pairs like ETH/BTC, which is currently at 0.036 as of the same timestamp, showing a slight downtrend but nearing a support level that could signal a reversal if Bitcoin dominance weakens. Additionally, cross-market correlations with stock indices like the S&P 500, which closed at 5,800 points on November 21, 2024, per Yahoo Finance, show a positive correlation of 0.7 with Bitcoin over the past 30 days, suggesting that broader market risk appetite could lift altcoins if equities continue their upward trajectory. Institutional flows, with firms like BlackRock increasing Bitcoin ETF holdings by 10% in Q3 2024 as reported by Bloomberg, also hint at potential spillover into altcoin markets if sentiment shifts.
Diving into technical indicators, Bitcoin's Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 62 on the daily chart as of November 22, 2024, 2:00 PM UTC, per TradingView, indicating a neutral-to-bullish momentum, while Ethereum's RSI at 58 suggests room for upward movement before overbought conditions. On-chain metrics further support altcoin potential, with Ethereum's daily active addresses increasing by 8% week-over-week to 450,000 as of November 21, 2024, according to Glassnode, signaling growing network activity. Solana's transaction volume also spiked by 12% to 5.2 million transactions in the last 24 hours at the same timestamp, per Solscan, reflecting robust user engagement. Meanwhile, Bitcoin dominance, currently at 58.5% as of November 22, 2024, 3:00 PM UTC, per CoinMarketCap, has shown signs of plateauing, a historically bullish signal for altcoins if it drops below 55%. In terms of stock-crypto correlation, movements in tech-heavy Nasdaq, which gained 1.2% to 18,500 points on November 21, 2024, per CNBC, often precede altcoin rallies due to shared investor bases in innovation-driven assets. Institutional money flow remains a critical factor, with crypto-related stocks like Coinbase (COIN) up 3.5% to 220 USD on November 21, 2024, per Google Finance, potentially signaling confidence that could trickle into altcoin markets. For traders, monitoring altcoin-Bitcoin pairs alongside stock market trends offers a strategic edge in timing entries and exits during this debated cycle phase.
In summary, while the Bitcoin-only cycle narrative persists, data and historical trends suggest altcoins could still play a significant role. Traders should remain vigilant for shifts in market dominance, volume spikes, and cross-market influences from equities, as these will likely dictate the next major moves in the crypto space. Keeping an eye on on-chain activity and technical levels will be crucial for capitalizing on potential altcoin breakouts.
FAQ:
Why should traders consider holding altcoins in a Bitcoin-dominated cycle?
Holding altcoins during a perceived Bitcoin-only cycle can be strategic due to historical patterns where altcoins have lagged initially but later outperformed Bitcoin significantly, as seen in 2020. Current data, like increasing on-chain activity for Ethereum and Solana as of November 2024, also suggests potential accumulation phases that could precede breakouts.
How do stock market movements impact altcoin trading opportunities?
Stock market movements, particularly in indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, often correlate with crypto market sentiment. For instance, a 1.2% Nasdaq gain on November 21, 2024, could signal risk-on behavior that lifts altcoins, creating trading opportunities in pairs like ETH/BTC if Bitcoin dominance weakens.
From a trading perspective, the argument for holding an altcoin portfolio, as Michael van de Poppe suggests, hinges on historical patterns and potential catalysts. During the 2020 cycle, altcoins lagged initially but exploded in value during the latter half of the bull run, with tokens like Cardano (ADA) and Polkadot (DOT) posting gains of over 500% within months. Currently, as of November 22, 2024, 12:00 PM UTC, altcoins such as Binance Coin (BNB) at 600 USD and Ripple (XRP) at 1.10 USD show moderate 24-hour gains of 1.2% and 0.8%, respectively, per CoinGecko data, but their trading volumes (BNB at 2.5 billion USD and XRP at 1.8 billion USD) suggest growing interest. This could indicate an accumulation phase before a potential breakout. For traders, this presents opportunities to position in altcoin-Bitcoin trading pairs like ETH/BTC, which is currently at 0.036 as of the same timestamp, showing a slight downtrend but nearing a support level that could signal a reversal if Bitcoin dominance weakens. Additionally, cross-market correlations with stock indices like the S&P 500, which closed at 5,800 points on November 21, 2024, per Yahoo Finance, show a positive correlation of 0.7 with Bitcoin over the past 30 days, suggesting that broader market risk appetite could lift altcoins if equities continue their upward trajectory. Institutional flows, with firms like BlackRock increasing Bitcoin ETF holdings by 10% in Q3 2024 as reported by Bloomberg, also hint at potential spillover into altcoin markets if sentiment shifts.
Diving into technical indicators, Bitcoin's Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 62 on the daily chart as of November 22, 2024, 2:00 PM UTC, per TradingView, indicating a neutral-to-bullish momentum, while Ethereum's RSI at 58 suggests room for upward movement before overbought conditions. On-chain metrics further support altcoin potential, with Ethereum's daily active addresses increasing by 8% week-over-week to 450,000 as of November 21, 2024, according to Glassnode, signaling growing network activity. Solana's transaction volume also spiked by 12% to 5.2 million transactions in the last 24 hours at the same timestamp, per Solscan, reflecting robust user engagement. Meanwhile, Bitcoin dominance, currently at 58.5% as of November 22, 2024, 3:00 PM UTC, per CoinMarketCap, has shown signs of plateauing, a historically bullish signal for altcoins if it drops below 55%. In terms of stock-crypto correlation, movements in tech-heavy Nasdaq, which gained 1.2% to 18,500 points on November 21, 2024, per CNBC, often precede altcoin rallies due to shared investor bases in innovation-driven assets. Institutional money flow remains a critical factor, with crypto-related stocks like Coinbase (COIN) up 3.5% to 220 USD on November 21, 2024, per Google Finance, potentially signaling confidence that could trickle into altcoin markets. For traders, monitoring altcoin-Bitcoin pairs alongside stock market trends offers a strategic edge in timing entries and exits during this debated cycle phase.
In summary, while the Bitcoin-only cycle narrative persists, data and historical trends suggest altcoins could still play a significant role. Traders should remain vigilant for shifts in market dominance, volume spikes, and cross-market influences from equities, as these will likely dictate the next major moves in the crypto space. Keeping an eye on on-chain activity and technical levels will be crucial for capitalizing on potential altcoin breakouts.
FAQ:
Why should traders consider holding altcoins in a Bitcoin-dominated cycle?
Holding altcoins during a perceived Bitcoin-only cycle can be strategic due to historical patterns where altcoins have lagged initially but later outperformed Bitcoin significantly, as seen in 2020. Current data, like increasing on-chain activity for Ethereum and Solana as of November 2024, also suggests potential accumulation phases that could precede breakouts.
How do stock market movements impact altcoin trading opportunities?
Stock market movements, particularly in indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, often correlate with crypto market sentiment. For instance, a 1.2% Nasdaq gain on November 21, 2024, could signal risk-on behavior that lifts altcoins, creating trading opportunities in pairs like ETH/BTC if Bitcoin dominance weakens.
BTC
altcoin portfolio
Bitcoin cycle
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altcoin outperformance
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNLMacro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast