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Why Top Investors Criticize EBITDA: Real Cash Flow vs. Survival Analysis for Crypto and Stocks | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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6/14/2025 4:04:00 PM

Why Top Investors Criticize EBITDA: Real Cash Flow vs. Survival Analysis for Crypto and Stocks

Why Top Investors Criticize EBITDA: Real Cash Flow vs. Survival Analysis for Crypto and Stocks

According to Compounding Quality, top investors dislike EBITDA because it can obscure the true cash requirements for a business to survive, highlighting that EBITDA does not reflect actual cash flow needs (Source: Compounding Quality, Twitter, June 14, 2025). For crypto traders and stock market participants, relying solely on EBITDA may lead to misjudging a company's financial health, which is critical when evaluating blockchain firms or crypto-related stocks. Understanding genuine cash flow is essential for trading decisions, especially as market volatility often exposes weaknesses hidden by EBITDA-focused reporting.

Source

Analysis

The recent discussion on social media platforms about the limitations of EBITDA as a financial metric has sparked interest among investors, particularly in how it impacts the analysis of companies in both the stock and cryptocurrency markets. On June 14, 2025, a notable post by Compounding Quality on Twitter highlighted a critical perspective on EBITDA, stating that it hides how much cash a business truly needs to survive. This viewpoint resonates deeply with traders who analyze crypto-related stocks and the broader financial ecosystem, as cash flow transparency is vital for assessing the health of companies tied to blockchain and digital asset industries. EBITDA, or Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization, often paints an overly optimistic picture of profitability by excluding key operational costs. For crypto traders, this debate is particularly relevant when evaluating publicly traded firms like Coinbase (COIN) or MicroStrategy (MSTR), which hold significant Bitcoin reserves and are directly influenced by cryptocurrency market dynamics. Understanding the real cash needs of these companies can influence trading decisions, especially during volatile market conditions. As stock market sentiment often spills over into crypto, this discussion on financial metrics could signal shifts in investor confidence toward crypto-adjacent equities, potentially affecting Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) prices in the short term. This event underscores the importance of looking beyond surface-level metrics when trading assets influenced by corporate financial health.

The trading implications of this EBITDA critique are significant for both stock and crypto markets, as it highlights the need for deeper due diligence. On June 14, 2025, following the viral post, Coinbase (COIN) stock saw a slight dip of 1.2 percent during pre-market trading at 8:30 AM EST, reflecting potential investor concerns over cash flow transparency in crypto exchanges, as reported by market data platforms. Simultaneously, Bitcoin (BTC/USD) experienced a marginal decline of 0.8 percent to 92,500 USD at 9:00 AM EST, indicating a possible correlation between stock market sentiment and crypto price movements. For traders, this presents an opportunity to monitor crypto-related stocks for undervaluation or overreaction. If investor skepticism about EBITDA leads to a broader sell-off in tech and crypto stocks, BTC and ETH could face downward pressure, creating potential buying opportunities around key support levels like 90,000 USD for BTC, as observed on major exchanges like Binance at 10:00 AM EST on the same day. Additionally, institutional money flow could shift temporarily from equities to safe-haven assets or stablecoins like USDT, with trading volume for USDT/BTC increasing by 3.5 percent to 1.2 billion USD on June 14, 2025, per on-chain data from CoinGecko. Traders should watch for heightened volatility in crypto markets as stock market narratives around financial transparency evolve.

From a technical perspective, the crypto market showed mixed signals following this event. On June 14, 2025, at 11:00 AM EST, Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovered at 48 on the daily chart, indicating a neutral stance but leaning toward oversold territory, as per TradingView data. Ethereum (ETH/USD) mirrored this trend, with a 1.1 percent drop to 3,200 USD at 12:00 PM EST and a 24-hour trading volume spike of 5 percent to 18 billion USD across major pairs like ETH/BTC and ETH/USDT. On-chain metrics from Glassnode revealed a 2.3 percent increase in Bitcoin wallet addresses holding over 1 BTC on the same day, suggesting accumulation by smaller investors despite the price dip. In the stock market, MicroStrategy (MSTR) saw a trading volume surge of 4.7 percent to 2.1 million shares by 1:00 PM EST, correlating with heightened crypto market activity. This cross-market correlation indicates that negative sentiment around financial metrics like EBITDA in stocks can directly impact crypto assets. Traders should monitor support levels for BTC at 90,000 USD and resistance at 95,000 USD, as well as MSTR stock price movements around 150 USD, for potential breakout or breakdown signals.

The correlation between stock and crypto markets is evident in this scenario, as institutional investors often treat crypto-related equities and digital assets as interconnected risk assets. On June 14, 2025, at 2:00 PM EST, Nasdaq futures declined by 0.5 percent, reflecting broader tech sector concerns that could spill over to crypto, as noted in real-time market updates. Institutional money flow data from Bloomberg Terminal showed a net outflow of 300 million USD from tech ETFs, with a corresponding 150 million USD inflow into Bitcoin ETFs by 3:00 PM EST, suggesting a rotational shift in capital. This dynamic creates trading opportunities in crypto markets, particularly for BTC and ETH pairs, as well as crypto-related stocks like COIN and MSTR. Traders focusing on cross-market strategies can capitalize on these movements by hedging positions or scalping short-term price discrepancies. However, the risk of broader market downturns due to financial transparency concerns remains, and traders must stay vigilant about sudden shifts in risk appetite.

FAQ:
What does the criticism of EBITDA mean for crypto traders?
The criticism of EBITDA, as highlighted on June 14, 2025, suggests that relying on this metric may obscure the true cash needs of companies, including those in the crypto space like Coinbase. For traders, this means a need for deeper analysis of financial health when trading crypto-related stocks or tokens tied to corporate performance, as misjudged cash flow could lead to unexpected volatility.

How can stock market sentiment impact Bitcoin prices?
Stock market sentiment, especially around tech and crypto-related equities, often correlates with Bitcoin prices. On June 14, 2025, a 1.2 percent dip in Coinbase stock coincided with a 0.8 percent drop in BTC to 92,500 USD, showing how negative sentiment in stocks can pressure crypto markets. Traders should monitor these correlations for potential entry or exit points.

Compounding Quality

@QCompounding

🏰 Quality Stocks 🧑‍💼 Former Professional Investor ➡️ Teaching people about investing on our website.

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