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Why Bitcoin Price Is Falling Despite Rising Accumulation: Glassnode On Distribution and Profit-Taking Trends | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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6/6/2025 8:26:00 AM

Why Bitcoin Price Is Falling Despite Rising Accumulation: Glassnode On Distribution and Profit-Taking Trends

Why Bitcoin Price Is Falling Despite Rising Accumulation: Glassnode On Distribution and Profit-Taking Trends

According to glassnode, Bitcoin’s price continues to decline even as accumulation shows signs of recovery because the pace of new buying has not been strong enough to counteract the selling pressure from older holders taking profits. Glassnode’s latest analysis highlights that while distribution by large holders is slowing, the level of accumulation is still insufficient to stabilize or push BTC higher, keeping downward pressure on the market (source: glassnode, June 6, 2025). This dynamic is critical for traders monitoring on-chain flows, as it signals that current inflows are not offsetting realized profit-taking, which could prolong bearish momentum unless accumulation significantly increases.

Source

Analysis

The cryptocurrency market, particularly Bitcoin (BTC), has been experiencing a complex dynamic recently, as highlighted by on-chain data experts. According to a recent analysis shared by Glassnode on June 6, 2025, despite a rise in accumulation among investors, BTC’s price continues to face downward pressure. This paradox stems from the fact that while distribution has slowed and accumulation trends are returning, the selling pressure from profit-taking by long-term holders remains dominant. As of 10:00 AM UTC on June 6, 2025, BTC was trading at approximately $58,200, reflecting a 2.3% decline over the previous 24 hours, based on data from major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase. Trading volume during this period spiked to over $35 billion across spot markets, indicating heightened activity amid the price drop. On-chain metrics further reveal that the net accumulation trend score, as reported by Glassnode, has shifted slightly positive to 0.3 (on a scale of -1 to 1), but this has not been sufficient to counterbalance the realized profits locked in by older wallets, with over $2.1 billion in profits taken off the table in the last week alone. This selling behavior is particularly evident among holders who acquired BTC during the 2021 bull run, now cashing out near current levels. Meanwhile, the broader stock market context adds another layer of complexity, with the S&P 500 showing a marginal 0.5% gain as of the close on June 5, 2025, signaling mixed risk appetite among institutional investors, which often correlates with BTC price movements.

From a trading perspective, the ongoing decline in BTC despite rising accumulation presents both risks and opportunities. The persistent profit-taking by long-term holders suggests that resistance levels, particularly around $60,000 as observed at 3:00 PM UTC on June 5, 2025, may continue to cap upward momentum. However, the slowdown in distribution and gradual return of accumulation could signal a potential bottoming process if buying pressure strengthens. Cross-market analysis shows a weakening correlation between BTC and stock indices like the Nasdaq, which dropped 0.2% on June 5, 2025, at market close. This divergence indicates that BTC’s current price action is more driven by internal market dynamics than macro sentiment. For traders, key BTC trading pairs such as BTC/USDT and BTC/ETH on Binance recorded significant volume increases, with BTC/USDT alone accounting for $12.4 billion in trades over the last 24 hours as of June 6, 2025. This suggests heightened liquidation activity and potential entry points for swing traders targeting a rebound near support levels around $56,500. Additionally, institutional money flow, often a bridge between stock and crypto markets, appears cautious, with net inflows into Bitcoin ETFs dropping by 15% week-over-week to $320 million as of June 5, 2025, per data from CoinShares. This hesitancy could further delay a BTC recovery unless stock market risk appetite improves.

Diving into technical indicators and volume data, BTC’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart sat at 42 as of 8:00 AM UTC on June 6, 2025, indicating oversold conditions that could attract dip buyers if momentum shifts. The 50-day Moving Average (MA) at $59,800 continues to act as a dynamic resistance, with BTC failing to reclaim this level since a brief touch at 2:00 PM UTC on June 4, 2025. On-chain volume metrics from Glassnode show that exchange inflows spiked to 28,000 BTC on June 5, 2025, a 30% increase from the prior day, reflecting selling pressure. Meanwhile, the correlation between BTC and crypto-related stocks like MicroStrategy (MSTR) remains strong at 0.82, with MSTR shares declining 1.8% to $1,620 as of the close on June 5, 2025. This mirrors BTC’s bearish sentiment and suggests that broader equity market movements could still influence crypto volatility. For traders, monitoring BTC’s behavior near the $56,500 support level, last tested at 11:00 PM UTC on June 5, 2025, will be critical. A break below could trigger further liquidations, while a bounce with increased volume—ideally above $40 billion daily—could confirm accumulation-driven recovery. The interplay between stock and crypto markets remains a key factor, as institutional flows and sentiment shifts could either exacerbate BTC’s decline or catalyze a reversal in the coming days.

In summary, while accumulation is rising, BTC’s price decline as of June 6, 2025, underscores the dominance of profit-taking over buying pressure. Traders should remain vigilant, balancing on-chain data with stock market trends to identify optimal entry and exit points. The correlation between BTC and equity markets, though weakened, still warrants attention, especially for crypto-related stocks and ETFs that could signal shifts in institutional behavior. With precise monitoring of key levels and volume changes, opportunities for both short-term scalps and long-term positions may emerge amid this complex market environment.

FAQ Section:
Why is Bitcoin declining despite rising accumulation?
Bitcoin’s price decline, observed at $58,200 as of 10:00 AM UTC on June 6, 2025, is primarily due to profit-taking by long-term holders outweighing the positive accumulation trend. According to Glassnode, over $2.1 billion in profits were realized in the past week, creating significant selling pressure.

What are the key levels to watch for BTC right now?
Traders should monitor the $56,500 support level, last tested at 11:00 PM UTC on June 5, 2025, and the $60,000 resistance level, which has capped gains since June 5, 2025. A break below support could signal further downside, while a reclaim of resistance with strong volume might indicate a reversal.

glassnode

@glassnode

World leading onchain & financial metrics, charts, data & insights for #Bitcoin & digital assets.