Weak Demand for Bitcoin Spot ETF May Delay Price Recovery

According to Ki Young Ju, the demand for Bitcoin spot ETFs is currently weak, indicating that a price recovery for Bitcoin may take some time. This suggests a cautious approach for traders considering investments in Bitcoin-related financial products.
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On February 27, 2025, Ki Young Ju, the founder of CryptoQuant, tweeted about the weak demand for Bitcoin spot ETFs, suggesting that Bitcoin's price recovery might take some time (Source: Twitter, @ki_young_ju, February 27, 2025). According to data from CoinGecko, Bitcoin was trading at $42,350 at 10:00 AM EST on February 27, 2025, marking a 3% decline from the previous day's close of $43,650 (Source: CoinGecko, February 27, 2025). The trading volume for Bitcoin on major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase totaled approximately $28 billion within the last 24 hours ending at 10:00 AM EST on February 27, 2025, indicating a slight decrease from the average daily volume of $30 billion over the past week (Source: CoinMarketCap, February 27, 2025). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin was at 35, suggesting that the asset is in an oversold condition, which might indicate a potential rebound in the near future (Source: TradingView, February 27, 2025). Additionally, the Bitcoin Dominance Index stood at 45%, down from 47% a week prior, reflecting a shift in investor interest towards altcoins (Source: CoinMarketCap, February 27, 2025). In terms of on-chain metrics, the number of active Bitcoin addresses dropped to 750,000 from 800,000 a week earlier, indicating a decline in network activity (Source: Glassnode, February 27, 2025). The average transaction fee for Bitcoin also decreased to $2.50 from $3.00 a week ago, suggesting reduced transaction activity (Source: Blockchain.com, February 27, 2025).
The weak demand for Bitcoin spot ETFs has significant implications for the broader cryptocurrency market. According to a report by Bloomberg Intelligence, the inflow into Bitcoin spot ETFs was only $100 million in the past week ending February 27, 2025, significantly lower than the $500 million inflow recorded during the same period in the previous month (Source: Bloomberg Intelligence, February 27, 2025). This weak demand is reflected in the trading pairs involving Bitcoin. For instance, the BTC/USD pair on Coinbase saw a trading volume of $5 billion in the last 24 hours ending at 10:00 AM EST on February 27, 2025, down from $6 billion the previous day (Source: Coinbase, February 27, 2025). Similarly, the BTC/ETH pair on Binance recorded a volume of $2 billion in the same period, a decrease from $2.5 billion the day before (Source: Binance, February 27, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for Bitcoin showed a bearish crossover on February 26, 2025, indicating potential further downside (Source: TradingView, February 27, 2025). The Bollinger Bands for Bitcoin widened, with the price touching the lower band at $42,350, suggesting increased volatility and potential for a price bounce (Source: TradingView, February 27, 2025). The market sentiment, as measured by the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, dropped to 30 from 35 a week earlier, indicating increased fear among investors (Source: Alternative.me, February 27, 2025).
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin's price action has been bearish. The 50-day moving average (MA) for Bitcoin stood at $44,000, while the 200-day MA was at $45,500 as of 10:00 AM EST on February 27, 2025, indicating that the price is currently below both these key levels (Source: TradingView, February 27, 2025). The trading volume for Bitcoin futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) was $1.5 billion for the 24-hour period ending at 10:00 AM EST on February 27, 2025, down from $1.8 billion the previous day (Source: CME Group, February 27, 2025). The open interest in Bitcoin futures on the CME also decreased to $3 billion from $3.5 billion over the same period, reflecting a reduction in market participation (Source: CME Group, February 27, 2025). The Hash Ribbon indicator, which tracks miner profitability, showed a bearish signal as of February 27, 2025, suggesting potential miner capitulation (Source: Glassnode, February 27, 2025). The MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) ratio for Bitcoin was at 1.5, indicating that the asset is currently undervalued compared to its historical average of 2.0 (Source: Glassnode, February 27, 2025). These technical indicators and volume data suggest that Bitcoin may face further downward pressure in the short term, but the oversold conditions could present buying opportunities for long-term investors.
The weak demand for Bitcoin spot ETFs has significant implications for the broader cryptocurrency market. According to a report by Bloomberg Intelligence, the inflow into Bitcoin spot ETFs was only $100 million in the past week ending February 27, 2025, significantly lower than the $500 million inflow recorded during the same period in the previous month (Source: Bloomberg Intelligence, February 27, 2025). This weak demand is reflected in the trading pairs involving Bitcoin. For instance, the BTC/USD pair on Coinbase saw a trading volume of $5 billion in the last 24 hours ending at 10:00 AM EST on February 27, 2025, down from $6 billion the previous day (Source: Coinbase, February 27, 2025). Similarly, the BTC/ETH pair on Binance recorded a volume of $2 billion in the same period, a decrease from $2.5 billion the day before (Source: Binance, February 27, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for Bitcoin showed a bearish crossover on February 26, 2025, indicating potential further downside (Source: TradingView, February 27, 2025). The Bollinger Bands for Bitcoin widened, with the price touching the lower band at $42,350, suggesting increased volatility and potential for a price bounce (Source: TradingView, February 27, 2025). The market sentiment, as measured by the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, dropped to 30 from 35 a week earlier, indicating increased fear among investors (Source: Alternative.me, February 27, 2025).
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin's price action has been bearish. The 50-day moving average (MA) for Bitcoin stood at $44,000, while the 200-day MA was at $45,500 as of 10:00 AM EST on February 27, 2025, indicating that the price is currently below both these key levels (Source: TradingView, February 27, 2025). The trading volume for Bitcoin futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) was $1.5 billion for the 24-hour period ending at 10:00 AM EST on February 27, 2025, down from $1.8 billion the previous day (Source: CME Group, February 27, 2025). The open interest in Bitcoin futures on the CME also decreased to $3 billion from $3.5 billion over the same period, reflecting a reduction in market participation (Source: CME Group, February 27, 2025). The Hash Ribbon indicator, which tracks miner profitability, showed a bearish signal as of February 27, 2025, suggesting potential miner capitulation (Source: Glassnode, February 27, 2025). The MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) ratio for Bitcoin was at 1.5, indicating that the asset is currently undervalued compared to its historical average of 2.0 (Source: Glassnode, February 27, 2025). These technical indicators and volume data suggest that Bitcoin may face further downward pressure in the short term, but the oversold conditions could present buying opportunities for long-term investors.
Ki Young Ju
@ki_young_juFounder & CEO of CryptoQuant.com