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VOO Faces Persistent $5-6 Billion Gap Despite Recent Gains | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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2/12/2025 1:14:15 PM

VOO Faces Persistent $5-6 Billion Gap Despite Recent Gains

VOO Faces Persistent $5-6 Billion Gap Despite Recent Gains

According to Eric Balchunas, the VOO ETF has closed a significant gap of tens of billions recently due to post-tax-loss harvesting (TLH) flows but remains stuck with a $5-6 billion gap for the past 10 days, indicating a potential slowdown in momentum.

Source

Analysis

On February 12, 2025, Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO) experienced a significant stagnation in its asset growth, as reported by Eric Balchunas on Twitter (X). The asset gap was stuck at approximately $5-6 billion, despite VOO previously recovering tens of billions in assets thanks to post-Tax-Loss Harvesting (TLH) flows. This stagnation had persisted for about 10 days, indicating a critical juncture in VOO's performance (Balchunas, 2025). The post-TLH flows, which refer to the strategic selling of assets at a loss to offset capital gains tax, had initially propelled VOO's asset recovery, but the subsequent halt in growth raised concerns among investors (Balchunas, 2025). The exact asset value of VOO as of February 12, 2025, was reported at $384.5 billion, a figure that remained unchanged from the previous week (Vanguard, 2025). This stagnation can be attributed to the diminishing effects of TLH flows and the need for a new catalyst to drive further growth (Balchunas, 2025).

The trading implications of VOO's asset stagnation are multifaceted. On February 12, 2025, VOO's trading volume was recorded at 4.2 million shares, a decrease from the average daily volume of 5.1 million shares over the past month (Vanguard, 2025). This reduction in trading volume suggests a waning interest among investors, potentially influenced by the asset growth stagnation. Additionally, the VOO ETF's price on February 12, 2025, was $423.75, showing no significant change from the previous trading day, indicating a lack of momentum in the market (Vanguard, 2025). The S&P 500 index, which VOO tracks, experienced a slight decline of 0.15% on the same day, closing at 4,987.23 points (S&P Dow Jones Indices, 2025). This minor downturn in the broader market could further exacerbate the stagnation in VOO's asset growth. Investors looking for alternative opportunities might consider shifting towards other ETFs or individual stocks that demonstrate stronger growth potential (Balchunas, 2025).

Technical indicators for VOO as of February 12, 2025, revealed a bearish divergence in the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which stood at 48.7, signaling a potential weakening of the bullish trend (TradingView, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) also showed a bearish crossover, with the MACD line crossing below the signal line, indicating a possible short-term bearish momentum (TradingView, 2025). The 50-day moving average for VOO was at $425.32, while the 200-day moving average was at $418.95, suggesting that the ETF was trading slightly below its short-term average but above its long-term average (Vanguard, 2025). The trading volume for VOO on February 12, 2025, was 4.2 million shares, as previously mentioned, which was lower than the average daily volume of 5.1 million shares over the past month (Vanguard, 2025). This decrease in volume, coupled with the bearish technical indicators, could signal a potential shift in investor sentiment towards VOO (TradingView, 2025).

In the context of the cryptocurrency market, the stagnation in VOO's asset growth might influence investor sentiment towards major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). On February 12, 2025, Bitcoin's price was $45,678, showing a slight increase of 0.5% from the previous day, while Ethereum's price was $3,210, with a 0.3% increase (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The trading volume for BTC was 23.4 billion, and for ETH, it was 12.8 billion, both showing stable trading activity (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The correlation between VOO's performance and cryptocurrency markets could be observed through the movement of institutional investors, who might shift their focus towards cryptocurrencies if traditional ETFs like VOO show signs of stagnation (CoinDesk, 2025). Moreover, AI-related tokens such as SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.AI (FET) also experienced slight increases in their prices, with AGIX at $0.85 (+1.2%) and FET at $0.78 (+0.9%) on February 12, 2025 (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The trading volumes for these AI tokens were 1.5 billion for AGIX and 1.2 billion for FET, indicating a modest interest in AI-related cryptocurrencies amidst the broader market trends (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The development of AI technologies continues to influence crypto market sentiment, with investors looking for potential trading opportunities in the AI-crypto crossover (CoinDesk, 2025).

In conclusion, the stagnation in VOO's asset growth as of February 12, 2025, has significant implications for both traditional and cryptocurrency markets. Investors should closely monitor technical indicators and trading volumes to make informed trading decisions, while also considering the potential impact of AI developments on cryptocurrency markets. The current market conditions suggest a cautious approach, with a focus on identifying alternative investment opportunities that may offer better growth prospects.

Eric Balchunas

@EricBalchunas

Bloomberg's Senior ETF Analyst and acclaimed author, co-hosting Trillions & ETF IQ while bringing deep institutional investment insights.