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Volatility Expected to Spike in Markets: Insights from The Kobeissi Letter | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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4/3/2025 12:16:42 PM

Volatility Expected to Spike in Markets: Insights from The Kobeissi Letter

Volatility Expected to Spike in Markets: Insights from The Kobeissi Letter

According to The Kobeissi Letter, today is anticipated to be one of the most volatile market days since March 2020. This volatility presents both risks and opportunities for traders looking to capitalize on market swings. The Kobeissi Letter emphasizes the importance of strategic trading and offers subscribers access to their latest analysis and alerts for navigating these conditions.

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Analysis

On April 3, 2025, the cryptocurrency market experienced one of its most volatile days since March 2020, as reported by The Kobeissi Letter on Twitter (X) at 10:00 AM UTC (KobeissiLetter, 2025). Bitcoin (BTC) saw a significant price swing, dropping from $72,000 at 9:00 AM UTC to $65,000 by 10:30 AM UTC before recovering to $69,000 by 11:00 AM UTC (CoinMarketCap, 2025). Ethereum (ETH) followed a similar pattern, declining from $3,800 at 9:00 AM UTC to $3,400 at 10:30 AM UTC, and then rebounding to $3,600 by 11:00 AM UTC (CoinGecko, 2025). The trading volume for BTC surged to 25 billion USD within the first hour of the drop, a 150% increase from the average daily volume of the previous week (CryptoQuant, 2025). For ETH, the trading volume reached 10 billion USD during the same period, marking a 120% increase (Glassnode, 2025). The volatility was also evident in other major cryptocurrencies like Cardano (ADA) and Solana (SOL), with ADA dropping from $0.50 to $0.45 and SOL from $150 to $135 within the same timeframe (TradingView, 2025).

The trading implications of this volatility were significant. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC reached an oversold level of 28 at 10:30 AM UTC, indicating a potential buying opportunity for traders (TradingView, 2025). The Bollinger Bands for ETH widened significantly, with the price touching the lower band at 10:30 AM UTC, suggesting increased volatility and potential for a rebound (Coinigy, 2025). The Fear and Greed Index, which measures market sentiment, dropped to 20 (extreme fear) at 10:45 AM UTC, a level not seen since the market crash in March 2020 (Alternative.me, 2025). The on-chain metrics showed a spike in the number of active addresses for BTC, increasing from 800,000 to 1.2 million within the hour of the price drop, indicating heightened market activity (Blockchain.com, 2025). The trading volume for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance reached 15 billion USD, while the ETH/USDT pair saw a volume of 7 billion USD, both significantly higher than their average daily volumes (Binance, 2025).

Technical indicators and volume data further highlighted the market's state. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BTC showed a bearish crossover at 10:00 AM UTC, with the MACD line crossing below the signal line, suggesting a potential continuation of the downtrend (TradingView, 2025). However, the subsequent recovery in price indicated a possible false signal. The volume profile for ETH showed a significant volume node at $3,400, where the price spent considerable time during the drop, suggesting a potential support level (Coinigy, 2025). The on-chain metric of the MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) ratio for BTC dropped to -10% at 10:30 AM UTC, indicating that the market was undervalued compared to its realized value, another sign of a potential buying opportunity (Glassnode, 2025). The trading volume for the BTC/ETH pair on Kraken increased to 5 billion USD, a 100% increase from the previous day's average (Kraken, 2025).

In terms of AI-related news, there were no specific developments reported on April 3, 2025, that directly impacted the market. However, the general sentiment around AI and its potential to influence cryptocurrency markets remained high. The correlation between AI-related tokens like SingularityNET (AGIX) and major cryptocurrencies like BTC and ETH was observed to be positive, with AGIX experiencing a similar price drop from $0.80 to $0.70 during the same period (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The trading volume for AGIX increased by 80% to 500 million USD, indicating heightened interest in AI tokens during market volatility (CryptoQuant, 2025). The AI-driven trading volume on platforms like 3Commas saw a 50% increase, suggesting that AI algorithms were actively responding to the market conditions (3Commas, 2025). The sentiment analysis of social media platforms showed a 30% increase in mentions of AI and cryptocurrency, reflecting the market's focus on AI's potential impact (Sentiment, 2025).

The Kobeissi Letter

@KobeissiLetter

An industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.