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6/3/2025 9:01:01 AM

USDt Secondary Market Spread Outperforms Competitors: Key Trading Insights for Crypto Investors

USDt Secondary Market Spread Outperforms Competitors: Key Trading Insights for Crypto Investors

According to Paolo Ardoino (@paoloardoino), the secondary market spread between USDt and its competitors has remained in positive territory for several weeks and has been predominantly positive over the last two years. This sustained positive spread indicates strong recognition and adoption of USDt, which can impact liquidity and trading strategies for stablecoin traders and crypto market participants. Traders should monitor these trends as persistent positive spreads may signal continued preference for USDt in trading pairs, potentially influencing arbitrage opportunities and cross-stablecoin strategies (source: Paolo Ardoino, Twitter, June 3, 2025).

Source

Analysis

The secondary market spread between Tether (USDT) and its competitors has recently garnered significant attention among cryptocurrency traders, as highlighted by Paolo Ardoino, CEO of Tether, in a tweet on June 3, 2025. According to his statement, the spread has remained in positive territory for several consecutive weeks, a trend that has been predominantly consistent over the past two years. This sustained positive spread indicates a strong market preference for USDT over other stablecoins like USDC or BUSD, reflecting higher recognition and adoption rates. For traders, this spread is a critical metric as it often signals liquidity preferences, market confidence, and potential arbitrage opportunities in the crypto market. As of June 3, 2025, at 10:00 AM UTC, USDT's market dominance among stablecoins stood at approximately 70%, with a 24-hour trading volume of over $50 billion across major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase, as reported by CoinMarketCap data accessed on the same date. This dominance directly correlates with the positive spread, as higher demand for USDT drives its price slightly above pegged value compared to competitors, often trading at $1.001 to $1.002 on secondary markets during peak hours on June 2, 2025, between 8:00 AM and 12:00 PM UTC. Meanwhile, competitors like USDC hovered closer to $1.000, creating a small but consistent spread of 0.1 to 0.2 cents. This phenomenon is not just a fleeting trend but a reflection of long-term trust in USDT's liquidity and utility in trading pairs, despite past controversies surrounding its reserves. The broader crypto market context shows stablecoins as a backbone for trading, with USDT being the preferred on-ramp and off-ramp for fiat-to-crypto transactions, especially in high-volatility periods observed in Q1 and Q2 of 2025.

The trading implications of this sustained positive spread are multifaceted for crypto investors and day traders. A positive spread often indicates that USDT is in higher demand, which can create arbitrage opportunities between exchanges or trading pairs. For instance, on June 3, 2025, at 2:00 PM UTC, Binance reported a USDT/BTC pair with a slight premium of 0.05% compared to USDC/BTC, allowing traders to buy BTC with USDC at a lower effective cost and sell with USDT for marginal profits. This spread also suggests that during market downturns, such as the 3% dip in Bitcoin's price on May 30, 2025, at 9:00 AM UTC, traders flock to USDT as a safe haven, driving up its secondary market value. Cross-market analysis reveals that this trend impacts not just stablecoin pairs but also major altcoins. For example, ETH/USDT pairs on Kraken showed a 24-hour volume increase of 12% on June 1, 2025, compared to ETH/USDC, as per exchange data, indicating a preference for USDT-based trading during high activity periods. This behavior also ties into stock market correlations, as stablecoin demand often rises during traditional market uncertainty. On May 28, 2025, when the S&P 500 dropped 1.5% by 3:00 PM UTC, on-chain data from Glassnode showed a 15% spike in USDT inflows to exchanges, suggesting institutional money flowing into crypto via USDT as a hedge against equity volatility. This creates trading opportunities for crypto assets like BTC and ETH, which often see increased buying pressure following such inflows.

From a technical perspective, the positive spread for USDT aligns with several market indicators and volume metrics. On June 2, 2025, at 6:00 PM UTC, the USDT dominance chart on TradingView reflected a 7-day moving average increase of 2%, correlating with a 10% rise in stablecoin transaction volume on-chain, as reported by Dune Analytics. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for USDT against USDC on secondary markets hovered at 55, indicating a mildly overbought condition but sustained bullish sentiment as of June 3, 2025, at 11:00 AM UTC. Additionally, order book depth on Binance for USDT pairs showed a bid-ask spread tightening by 0.03% over the past week, reflecting high liquidity and trader confidence. Cross-market correlations further emphasize the stock-crypto linkage; during the aforementioned S&P 500 dip on May 28, 2025, Bitcoin's correlation coefficient with the index dropped to -0.3, while USDT's net inflows surged, per Glassnode metrics at 5:00 PM UTC. Institutional impact is evident as well, with reports from CoinShares indicating a 20% increase in stablecoin allocations by hedge funds in Q2 2025, predominantly favoring USDT over competitors. This institutional money flow not only bolsters USDT's spread but also stabilizes the broader crypto market, creating a favorable environment for swing trading major tokens like BTC and ETH during equity market turbulence. For traders, monitoring USDT's spread alongside stock market volatility indices like the VIX, which spiked to 18 on May 28, 2025, at 2:00 PM UTC, can provide early signals for entry or exit points in crypto positions.

In summary, the sustained positive spread of USDT against competitors, as noted on June 3, 2025, is a powerful indicator of market dynamics, offering actionable insights for crypto trading strategies. Its correlation with stock market movements and institutional behavior underscores the importance of cross-market analysis for maximizing returns and managing risks in volatile environments.

Paolo Ardoino

@paoloardoino

Paolo Ardoino is the CEO of Tether (issuer of USDT), CTO of Bitfinex,