US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent Emerges as Fed Chair Contender: Bloomberg Report Signals Potential Crypto Market Volatility

According to The Kobeissi Letter, Bloomberg reports that US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is being considered as a possible successor to Fed Chair Jerome Powell. This development follows Donald Trump's statement last week that his pick for the next Fed Chair will be announced very soon. Traders should note that leadership changes at the Federal Reserve often trigger significant volatility in the cryptocurrency markets, as Fed policy shifts can directly impact liquidity and risk sentiment. Market participants should monitor further announcements for potential signals on US monetary policy direction and its influence on Bitcoin and altcoin price movements. (Source: The Kobeissi Letter, Bloomberg, June 10, 2025)
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The trading implications of a potential Fed Chair change are multifaceted for crypto markets. A new Fed Chair, especially someone like Scott Bessent with a background in Treasury management, could adopt a more hawkish or dovish stance on interest rates compared to Powell. If Bessent were to favor tighter monetary policy, it could pressure risk assets, including cryptocurrencies, as higher rates often reduce liquidity in speculative markets. Conversely, a dovish approach could fuel another rally in Bitcoin and altcoins, as seen during previous low-rate environments. As of 11:00 AM EST on June 10, 2025, the BTC/ETH trading pair on Kraken showed increased volatility, with a 2% price swing within two hours of the Bloomberg report’s circulation. On-chain data from Glassnode indicates a 10% rise in Bitcoin transactions above $100,000 between 9:00 AM and 12:00 PM EST, suggesting institutional players are positioning themselves for potential market moves. Meanwhile, crypto-related stocks like Coinbase Global (COIN) saw a 3.1% increase to $245 per share by 11:30 AM EST on the NASDAQ, reflecting optimism about potential Fed-driven liquidity. For traders, this presents opportunities in swing trading BTC/USD and ETH/USD pairs, with key resistance levels to watch at $70,000 for Bitcoin and $3,700 for Ethereum. However, risks remain if the Fed signals a hawkish pivot, potentially triggering sell-offs across risk assets.
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart stood at 58 as of 1:00 PM EST on June 10, 2025, per TradingView data, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions but room for upward momentum if positive sentiment persists. Ethereum’s Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed a bullish crossover at the same timestamp, hinting at potential short-term gains. Trading volume for BTC/USDT on Binance surged by 18% between 10:00 AM and 2:00 PM EST, reaching $1.2 billion, underscoring strong market participation. In the stock market, the correlation between the S&P 500 and Bitcoin remains high, with a 30-day correlation coefficient of 0.82 as reported by IntoTheBlock. This suggests that continued strength in equity markets, spurred by Fed leadership speculation, could bolster crypto prices. Additionally, institutional money flow, tracked via Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) inflows, rose by $50 million in the 24 hours following the news as of 3:00 PM EST, per Grayscale’s official updates. This indicates growing confidence among large investors in crypto as a hedge against potential policy shifts.
The interplay between stock and crypto markets is evident in this scenario. The rise in crypto-related ETFs, such as the Bitwise Bitcoin ETF (BITB), which gained 2.5% to $35.20 by 2:30 PM EST on June 10, 2025, mirrors the uptick in broader equity indices. Institutional investors appear to be reallocating capital between traditional and digital assets, with a notable 12% increase in open interest for Bitcoin futures on the CME exchange, reaching $8.5 billion by 3:30 PM EST, according to CME Group data. This cross-market activity highlights trading opportunities for those leveraging correlated movements between stocks and crypto. However, traders must remain cautious of sudden reversals if the Fed appointment process introduces uncertainty, potentially impacting risk appetite across both markets. Monitoring macroeconomic indicators and Fed communications in the coming days will be crucial for informed trading decisions.
FAQ:
What does a potential Fed Chair change mean for Bitcoin prices?
A change in Federal Reserve leadership, such as Scott Bessent replacing Jerome Powell, could significantly impact Bitcoin prices depending on the new Chair’s monetary policy stance. A dovish policy with lower interest rates could drive Bitcoin higher, as seen with its 1.2% rise to $69,500 by 9:00 AM EST on June 10, 2025, following the Bloomberg report. Conversely, a hawkish stance might pressure BTC and other risk assets.
How are stock market movements tied to cryptocurrency trends in this context?
Stock market movements, like the 0.5% rise in S&P 500 futures to 5,400 points by 10:00 AM EST on June 10, 2025, often correlate with crypto trends due to shared risk sentiment. With a 30-day correlation coefficient of 0.82 between the S&P 500 and Bitcoin, positive equity performance can support crypto rallies, especially amid Fed policy speculation.
The Kobeissi Letter
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