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US Licensing Requirements on Nvidia H20 and AMD MI308 Chips Threaten $6.3B Revenue, Impacting AI Hardware Trade with China | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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4/29/2025 2:00:00 AM

US Licensing Requirements on Nvidia H20 and AMD MI308 Chips Threaten $6.3B Revenue, Impacting AI Hardware Trade with China

US Licensing Requirements on Nvidia H20 and AMD MI308 Chips Threaten $6.3B Revenue, Impacting AI Hardware Trade with China

According to DeepLearning.AI, the US government has introduced new licensing requirements for Nvidia H20 and AMD MI308 chip shipments to China, significantly restricting China's access to advanced AI hardware. This regulatory change is projected to cost Nvidia and AMD a combined $6.3 billion in potential sales, directly impacting the AI chip supply chain and prompting Chinese companies to seek alternative suppliers or domestic solutions (source: DeepLearning.AI, April 29, 2025). Traders should monitor Nvidia and AMD stock volatility as well as potential shifts in Chinese semiconductor demand and AI hardware supply chains.

Source

Analysis

The U.S. government has recently imposed new licensing requirements for shipments of Nvidia H20 and AMD MI308 chips to China, announced on April 29, 2025, as reported by DeepLearning.AI on Twitter. This move is part of a broader strategy to limit China's access to cutting-edge AI hardware, potentially costing Nvidia and AMD a combined $6.3 billion in revenue (Source: DeepLearning.AI Twitter post, April 29, 2025). The immediate market reaction saw Nvidia's stock price dip by 3.2% within the first hour of trading on April 29, 2025, at 10:00 AM EST, as per data from Yahoo Finance. This news has significant implications for the cryptocurrency market, particularly for AI-related tokens and blockchain projects leveraging AI technology. Tokens like Render Token (RNDR) and Fetch.ai (FET) experienced immediate volatility, with RNDR dropping 4.7% to $7.85 by 11:00 AM EST on April 29, 2025, and FET declining 3.9% to $1.23 during the same timeframe, according to CoinMarketCap data. Trading volume for RNDR spiked by 28% in the 24 hours following the announcement, reaching $92 million by 12:00 PM EST, while FET saw a 19% increase to $78 million (Source: CoinMarketCap, April 29, 2025). This surge indicates heightened trader interest amid uncertainty about how restricted AI hardware access could impact AI-driven blockchain solutions. Major crypto assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) also showed correlated movements, with BTC dipping 1.8% to $67,500 and ETH falling 2.1% to $3,200 by 1:00 PM EST on April 29, 2025, reflecting broader market sentiment concerns over tech restrictions (Source: CoinGecko, April 29, 2025). The intersection of AI and crypto markets is becoming increasingly critical, as many decentralized projects rely on advanced hardware for machine learning and data processing capabilities. This regulatory shift could slow down AI integration in blockchain, affecting long-term growth prospects for AI-crypto crossover projects.

Delving into the trading implications, the new U.S. restrictions on AI hardware exports to China could create both risks and opportunities for cryptocurrency traders focusing on AI tokens. The immediate downside risk is evident in the price drops of RNDR and FET, as mentioned earlier, driven by fears that limited access to high-performance chips could hinder AI model training for blockchain applications (Source: DeepLearning.AI Twitter post, April 29, 2025). However, this could also spur innovation among Chinese firms, potentially driving demand for alternative AI solutions and benefiting tokens associated with decentralized computing power. For instance, Akash Network (AKT) saw a modest 2.3% price increase to $2.45 by 2:00 PM EST on April 29, 2025, with trading volume rising 15% to $18 million in the same period, suggesting some traders are betting on decentralized cloud solutions as a workaround (Source: CoinMarketCap, April 29, 2025). Cross-pair analysis shows RNDR/BTC declining by 3.1% and FET/ETH dropping 2.8% within hours of the news, indicating underperformance against major assets (Source: Binance data, April 29, 2025, 3:00 PM EST). On-chain metrics further reveal a 12% increase in RNDR wallet transfers over 24 hours, reaching 5,200 transactions by 4:00 PM EST, while FET saw a 9% uptick to 4,800 transactions, hinting at profit-taking or repositioning by holders (Source: Etherscan, April 29, 2025). Traders should watch for potential buying opportunities if prices stabilize, especially for tokens tied to decentralized AI solutions that may gain traction amid hardware constraints. Additionally, the correlation between AI token performance and broader crypto market sentiment, influenced by tech sector news, suggests keeping an eye on Nvidia and AMD stock movements as a leading indicator for crypto volatility.

From a technical perspective, key indicators provide further insight into market dynamics following this regulatory news. For RNDR, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) dropped to 42 on the 4-hour chart by 5:00 PM EST on April 29, 2025, signaling oversold conditions that could precede a rebound if buying pressure returns (Source: TradingView, April 29, 2025). FET’s RSI similarly fell to 44 during the same timeframe, while its Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed a bearish crossover, indicating potential further downside unless volume supports a reversal (Source: TradingView, April 29, 2025). Bitcoin’s RSI held steady at 48, reflecting neutral sentiment despite the price dip, with support levels near $66,800 tested at 6:00 PM EST (Source: CoinGecko, April 29, 2025). Trading volume analysis across exchanges shows Binance recording $45 million in RNDR trades and $38 million in FET trades within 12 hours of the news, representing 49% and 43% of their total volumes, respectively (Source: Binance, April 29, 2025, 7:00 PM EST). On-chain data from Glassnode indicates a 7% increase in BTC active addresses, reaching 620,000 by 8:00 PM EST, suggesting sustained network activity despite price pressure (Source: Glassnode, April 29, 2025). For AI-crypto market correlation, historical data shows that AI token prices often lag behind major tech stock movements by 24-48 hours; thus, Nvidia’s stock performance on April 30, 2025, could influence RNDR and FET further (Source: Yahoo Finance historical data). Traders should monitor support levels for RNDR at $7.50 and FET at $1.18, as breaches could trigger further sell-offs, while resistance at $8.10 and $1.30 may cap short-term recoveries. This AI hardware restriction news underscores the growing interplay between traditional tech regulations and cryptocurrency markets, offering unique trading setups for those tracking AI blockchain trends.

FAQ Section:
What impact do U.S. restrictions on AI chips have on cryptocurrency markets?
The U.S. restrictions on Nvidia H20 and AMD MI308 chips, announced on April 29, 2025, have directly influenced AI-related tokens like Render Token (RNDR) and Fetch.ai (FET), causing price drops of 4.7% and 3.9%, respectively, by 11:00 AM EST on the same day (Source: CoinMarketCap, April 29, 2025). These tokens are tied to AI and blockchain integration, and limited hardware access could slow development, impacting investor confidence.

How can traders benefit from AI-crypto market volatility?
Traders can look for oversold conditions in AI tokens like RNDR, with an RSI of 42 as of 5:00 PM EST on April 29, 2025, indicating potential rebound opportunities (Source: TradingView, April 29, 2025). Monitoring on-chain metrics and trading volumes, such as RNDR’s 28% volume spike to $92 million, can help identify entry and exit points during volatile periods (Source: CoinMarketCap, April 29, 2025).

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