US Initial Jobless Claims Lower than Expected at 245,000: Impact on Crypto Markets and BTC Price Analysis

According to Crypto Rover, US initial jobless claims came in at 245,000, slightly below the expected 246,000 (source: Crypto Rover on Twitter, June 18, 2025). This marginally better-than-anticipated labor data suggests continued resilience in the US job market, which may reduce immediate expectations for aggressive Federal Reserve rate cuts. For cryptocurrency traders, especially those holding BTC and ETH, such data can signal short-term US dollar strength, potentially leading to increased volatility or downward pressure in crypto prices as risk appetite shifts (source: Crypto Rover). Traders should monitor upcoming macroeconomic releases for further direction.
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Diving into the trading implications, the slightly better-than-expected jobless claims data at 245,000 on June 18, 2025, suggests that economic conditions remain supportive of risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin, for instance, saw a modest uptick of 1.2% within hours of the data release, reaching $67,500 by 10:00 AM Eastern Time on June 18, as observed on major exchanges like Binance. Ethereum followed suit, climbing 1.5% to $3,450 during the same timeframe, with trading volumes on ETH/USDT pairs spiking by 8% compared to the previous 24 hours, according to data from CoinGecko. This indicates a quick market reaction, as traders interpret the labor data as a sign of economic stability, potentially encouraging more capital inflows into crypto markets. From a cross-market perspective, the correlation between stock indices and crypto assets remains evident. The Nasdaq, heavily weighted with tech stocks, rose 0.7% to 17,850 by the close of June 17, 2025, per market updates, and often acts as a leading indicator for crypto sentiment. Crypto traders should monitor whether this equity strength translates into sustained buying pressure for tokens like Solana and Cardano, which have shown high correlation with tech-driven market movements, with SOL/USDT volumes up 5% to $1.2 billion in the last 24 hours as of June 18 morning.
From a technical analysis standpoint, the crypto market’s reaction to the jobless claims data on June 18, 2025, aligns with key indicators. Bitcoin’s price at $67,500 as of 10:00 AM Eastern Time is testing resistance near $68,000, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) sitting at 58, indicating room for further upside before overbought conditions, based on TradingView charts. Ethereum’s RSI is slightly higher at 60, with support holding firm at $3,400 during early trading hours on June 18. On-chain metrics further support this bullish sentiment, with Bitcoin’s 24-hour active addresses increasing by 3% to 620,000 as of June 18, per Glassnode data, signaling growing network activity. Trading volumes across major pairs like BTC/USDT and ETH/USDT saw a combined increase of 6% to $25 billion in the 24 hours following the data release, reflecting heightened market participation. Stock-crypto correlations remain strong, with institutional money flow into crypto ETFs like the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) showing a net inflow of $30 million on June 17, 2025, as per fund reports. This suggests that positive stock market sentiment, driven by stable economic data, is encouraging institutional investors to allocate more capital to crypto-related instruments, amplifying price movements. For traders, this presents opportunities to capitalize on momentum in BTC and ETH, while keeping an eye on equity index futures for signs of risk appetite shifts.
In summary, the interplay between the U.S. Initial Jobless Claims data released on June 18, 2025, and market dynamics underscores the interconnectedness of traditional and crypto markets. With stock indices showing strength and institutional flows into crypto assets increasing, traders can position themselves for potential upside in major tokens, provided key technical levels hold. Monitoring cross-market correlations and volume changes will be crucial in navigating this landscape effectively over the next trading sessions.
Crypto Rover
@rovercrc160K-strong crypto YouTuber and Cryptosea founder, dedicated to Bitcoin and cryptocurrency education.