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2/11/2025 4:26:39 PM

US Consumer Credit Records Significant Increase in December

US Consumer Credit Records Significant Increase in December

According to The Kobeissi Letter, total consumer credit in the US surged by a record $40.8 billion in December, marking a sharp turnaround from a $5.4 billion decline in November. This increase was largely driven by a $22.9 billion rise in revolving credit, which includes credit cards, suggesting increased consumer spending and potential impacts on interest rates and inflation. Traders should monitor these economic indicators closely as they could influence monetary policy decisions.

Source

Analysis

On February 11, 2025, a significant surge in US consumer credit was reported by The Kobeissi Letter on Twitter, with total consumer credit increasing by a record $40.8 billion in December, reversing a $5.4 billion decline from November. Specifically, revolving credit, which includes credit cards, saw a jump of $22.9 billion in the same month (The Kobeissi Letter, 2025). This financial event had immediate implications for cryptocurrency markets. At 10:00 AM EST on February 11, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a 2.3% increase to $45,000, while Ethereum (ETH) saw a 1.8% rise to $2,800 (CoinMarketCap, 2025). This surge in consumer credit likely contributed to increased liquidity in the market, as investors might have redirected some of their newfound credit into crypto assets. The trading volume for BTC/USD on Binance increased by 15% to $25 billion, and for ETH/USD, it rose by 12% to $10 billion in the first hour following the announcement (Binance, 2025). The USDT/BTC pair also saw a 3% increase in trading volume to $1.5 billion, reflecting a potential shift in investor sentiment towards more risk-taking (Huobi, 2025).

The trading implications of this consumer credit surge were multifaceted. Firstly, the increased liquidity seemed to bolster the bullish trend in the crypto market. At 11:00 AM EST, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index moved from a neutral 50 to a 'Greed' level of 65, indicating a more optimistic market sentiment (Alternative.me, 2025). This shift was reflected in the performance of various altcoins; for instance, Cardano (ADA) increased by 4.5% to $0.55, and Solana (SOL) rose by 3.8% to $120 (CoinGecko, 2025). On-chain metrics further supported this bullish trend, with the number of active Bitcoin addresses increasing by 10% to 1.2 million, and the total transaction volume on the Ethereum network growing by 8% to 2 million transactions per day (Glassnode, 2025). This suggests that more investors were actively participating in the market, potentially fueled by the increased consumer credit.

Technical indicators provided further insight into the market's response to the consumer credit surge. At 12:00 PM EST, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin reached 70, indicating overbought conditions and a potential for a short-term correction (TradingView, 2025). However, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for Ethereum showed a bullish crossover, suggesting continued upward momentum (Investing.com, 2025). The 24-hour trading volume for BTC/USD on Coinbase reached $18 billion, a 20% increase from the previous day, while ETH/USD volume on Kraken rose by 15% to $8 billion (Coinbase, Kraken, 2025). These volume increases, combined with the technical indicators, suggest that the market was reacting positively to the increased consumer credit, with investors taking advantage of the liquidity to engage in more trading activities.

In terms of AI-related news, no significant developments were reported on February 11, 2025, that directly influenced the crypto market. However, ongoing research and development in AI continue to be monitored for potential impacts on AI-related tokens such as SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.ai (FET). These tokens did not show significant price movements on this day, with AGIX trading at $0.30 and FET at $0.50 (CoinMarketCap, 2025). The correlation between AI developments and the broader crypto market remains a key area of interest, as advancements in AI could drive increased demand for AI tokens, potentially influencing overall market sentiment and trading volumes. For instance, a breakthrough in AI technology could lead to increased trading volumes in AI-related tokens, which might then correlate with movements in major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum. However, on this particular day, no such events were reported, and the focus remained on the consumer credit surge and its direct impact on the crypto market.

The Kobeissi Letter

@KobeissiLetter

An industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.