US 10Y Note Yield Jumps 6 Basis Points After Bessent Comments Amid Trump Tariff Announcements – Crypto Market Implications

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the US 10-year Treasury Note yield surged by 6 basis points following US Treasury Secretary Bessent's remarks about trade 'deals' on Fox News, which came immediately after markets reacted negatively to former President Trump's announcement of a 50% tariff on EU goods and a 25% tariff on Apple products (source: @KobeissiLetter, May 23, 2025). Rising bond yields typically signal risk-off sentiment in traditional markets, increasing volatility and potentially driving inflows into cryptocurrencies as alternative assets. Traders should monitor yield movements and tariff news for near-term crypto price action, as heightened uncertainty could impact Bitcoin and altcoin volatility.
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From a trading perspective, the tariff announcements and subsequent yield increase signal heightened volatility, creating both risks and opportunities in the crypto space. The immediate drop in BTC/USD and ETH/USD pairs, with trading volumes surging by 18% on Binance for BTC (reaching 25,000 BTC traded between 11:00 AM and 1:00 PM EST on May 23, 2025) and by 22% for ETH (hitting 120,000 ETH in the same window), indicates panic selling but also potential buying opportunities at support levels. Altcoins like Solana (SOL) and Cardano (ADA) also saw sharp declines of 3.5% to $145 and 4.1% to $0.42 respectively, as tracked on Coinbase at 1:30 PM EST. For crypto traders, monitoring stock market indices like the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which fell 1.1% to 42,500 by midday on May 23, 2025, is crucial as further declines could pressure risk assets like cryptocurrencies. Conversely, any reversal in equity markets driven by positive trade deal news could spur a relief rally in crypto, particularly for Bitcoin, often seen as a hedge against traditional market uncertainty. Institutional flows are also worth watching, as hedge funds may rotate capital from equities to crypto in search of uncorrelated returns during trade wars.
Technically, Bitcoin’s price action shows a break below its 50-day moving average of $68,000 on the 4-hour chart as of 2:00 PM EST on May 23, 2025, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) dropping to 38, signaling oversold conditions per TradingView data. Ethereum mirrors this trend, with its RSI at 35 and price testing support at $3,150 on the same timeframe. On-chain metrics from Glassnode reveal a 15% increase in BTC wallet outflows from exchanges (totaling 12,500 BTC moved between 10:00 AM and 2:00 PM EST), suggesting some investors are moving to cold storage amid uncertainty. Crypto market correlations with stocks remain high, with a 0.78 correlation coefficient between BTC and the S&P 500 over the past 30 days, based on historical data from CoinGecko. This tight relationship underscores the importance of tracking equity market sentiment. For instance, crypto-related stocks like Coinbase Global (COIN) dropped 3.2% to $205 by 1:00 PM EST on May 23, 2025, reflecting broader risk-off behavior, as per Yahoo Finance live updates.
The interplay between stock and crypto markets is particularly evident in institutional money flows. Major ETFs like the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) saw net outflows of $25 million on May 23, 2025, by 3:00 PM EST, according to Bloomberg ETF tracking data, indicating reduced institutional appetite for crypto exposure amid equity market turbulence. This could pressure BTC prices further unless trade tensions ease. However, savvy traders might find opportunities in oversold altcoins or BTC at key support levels like $66,000, especially if stock markets stabilize. The broader risk appetite, currently leaning toward safe-haven assets like Treasuries (evident from the yield spike), suggests crypto may face headwinds short-term, but a pivot in sentiment could drive rapid recoveries. Keeping an eye on tariff-related news and Federal Reserve commentary will be essential for timing entries and exits in this volatile environment.
In summary, the tariff announcements and Treasury yield movements on May 23, 2025, have directly impacted both stock and crypto markets, with clear correlations in price action and volume spikes. Traders should remain vigilant, leveraging technical indicators and on-chain data to navigate this uncertainty while capitalizing on potential cross-market opportunities.
The Kobeissi Letter
@KobeissiLetterAn industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.