The upcoming release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on Tuesday at 8:30 AM ET is poised to be a pivotal event for both traditional stock markets and cryptocurrency markets. The CPI, a key measure of inflation in the United States, often influences investor sentiment, Federal Reserve policy expectations, and risk appetite across asset classes. According to a recent update from Evan at StockMKTNewz on social media, the release time has been confirmed as 8:30 AM ET, correcting earlier assumptions of 7:30 AM ET. This data, scheduled for May 13, 2025, comes at a time when markets are keenly observing inflation trends to gauge potential interest rate adjustments. Historically, higher-than-expected CPI readings have triggered sell-offs in risk assets like stocks and cryptocurrencies, as they raise concerns about tighter monetary policy. Conversely, a softer-than-expected CPI could spur a rally in both markets by signaling a dovish Fed stance. As of the latest market close on May 9, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) was trading at $61,200 on Binance with a 24-hour volume of $18.3 billion, while Ethereum (ETH) stood at $2,980 with a volume of $9.1 billion, per data from CoinGecko. These levels reflect a cautious market awaiting macroeconomic catalysts like the CPI release. The S&P 500, a key stock index, closed at 5,214 on May 9, 2025, up 0.5% for the day, indicating a stable but tentative risk-on sentiment that could ripple into crypto markets post-CPI.

From a trading perspective, the CPI release at 8:30 AM ET on May 13, 2025, presents significant opportunities and risks for crypto traders. A higher-than-expected inflation figure could pressure Bitcoin and Ethereum prices downward, as investors may rotate out of risk assets into safer havens like bonds or cash. For instance, during the last CPI release on April 10, 2025, when inflation came in at 3.5% year-over-year against expectations of 3.4%, BTC dropped 2.1% within four hours, from $69,000 to $67,550 on Binance at 12:30 PM ET. Conversely, a lower-than-expected CPI could fuel a short-term rally, as seen on March 14, 2025, when a softer 3.2% reading pushed BTC up 3.8% from $71,200 to $73,900 by 2:00 PM ET. Traders should monitor key BTC/USD support at $60,000 and resistance at $63,000, alongside ETH/USD levels at $2,900 support and $3,100 resistance, as these could be tested post-release. Additionally, cross-market correlations suggest that a sharp move in the S&P 500 or Nasdaq, often seen immediately after CPI data, could amplify volatility in crypto pairs. Institutional flows are another factor; a risk-off move in stocks could see reduced inflows into crypto ETFs like the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), which saw a net outflow of $12 million on May 8, 2025, per Bloomberg data.

Technical indicators and volume data further underscore the importance of the CPI release for crypto markets. As of May 9, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart was at 48, signaling neutral momentum, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed a bearish crossover, hinting at potential downside if negative news hits. Ethereum’s RSI stood at 46 with similar bearish MACD signals on the same timeframe. Trading volume for BTC/USD on Coinbase spiked by 15% to $4.2 billion in the 24 hours leading up to May 9, 2025, reflecting heightened trader activity ahead of the event, according to CoinGlass. On-chain metrics also reveal caution; Glassnode data shows Bitcoin’s net exchange flow turned positive with +8,500 BTC on May 9, 2025, indicating potential selling pressure. Stock-crypto correlations remain strong, with Bitcoin showing a 0.78 correlation coefficient with the S&P 500 over the past 30 days, per IntoTheBlock analytics. This suggests that a post-CPI sell-off in stocks, if inflation surprises to the upside, could drag BTC and ETH lower. Institutional money flows are critical here—Fidelity’s crypto fund inflows dropped by 8% week-over-week to $320 million as of May 9, 2025, signaling hesitancy that could worsen with adverse CPI data.

In summary, the CPI release at 8:30 AM ET on May 13, 2025, will likely act as a catalyst for both stock and crypto markets. Traders should prepare for volatility across BTC/USD, ETH/USD, and related pairs, while keeping an eye on stock index movements for directional cues. The interplay between inflation data, stock market sentiment, and institutional flows into crypto assets like Bitcoin ETFs will shape short-term trading opportunities. Risk management remains paramount, as unexpected CPI outcomes could trigger rapid price swings in both directions.

FAQ Section:
What time is the CPI data release on May 13, 2025?
The CPI data is scheduled for release at 8:30 AM ET on May 13, 2025, as confirmed by Evan at StockMKTNewz on social media.

How might the CPI data impact Bitcoin and Ethereum prices?
A higher-than-expected CPI could lead to a sell-off in risk assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum, as seen on April 10, 2025, when BTC dropped 2.1% post-release. A lower-than-expected figure could spark a rally, similar to the 3.8% BTC increase on March 14, 2025.

What are the key levels to watch for Bitcoin and Ethereum post-CPI?
For Bitcoin, key support is at $60,000 and resistance at $63,000. For Ethereum, watch support at $2,900 and resistance at $3,100, based on recent price action as of May 9, 2025.