U.S. Court of International Trade Rules Trump Tariffs Invalid: Key Takeaways for Crypto Traders

According to Stock Talk (@stocktalkweekly), the U.S. Court of International Trade has ruled that President Trump's tariffs are invalid under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA), stating the president lacks the authority to unilaterally impose tariffs. This decision reduces policy-related uncertainty in global trade, potentially supporting risk-on assets such as Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, which often benefit from increased investor confidence during periods of regulatory clarity. Traders should monitor for shifts in dollar strength and global equity markets, as reduced trade tensions may lead to short-term bullish momentum in the crypto sector. (Source: Stock Talk, May 28, 2025)
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From a trading perspective, this court ruling opens up several opportunities and risks across markets as of May 28, 2025. The immediate negative reaction in stock markets suggests a short-term risk-off environment, which could pressure cryptocurrencies further. Bitcoin’s price movement on the BTC/USDT pair on Binance showed a sharp decline from $69,000 at 9:00 AM EDT to $67,450 by 11:00 AM EDT, with trading volume surging to 12,500 BTC in that window, a 20% increase compared to the prior hour. Ethereum’s ETH/USD pair on Coinbase mirrored this trend, dropping from $3,800 to $3,720 with a volume spike of 18% to 8,200 ETH by 11:30 AM EDT. These movements indicate panic selling, but they also present potential buying opportunities for traders anticipating a rebound if trade policy clarity emerges. Moreover, crypto assets tied to supply chain and manufacturing sectors, such as VeChain (VET), saw a more pronounced drop of 3.5% to $0.032 by 11:15 AM EDT, with trading volume up 25% on VET/USDT. Cross-market analysis reveals that stock declines in tariff-sensitive sectors like industrials (down 1.5% on the Dow Jones Industrial Average by 11:00 AM EDT) correlate strongly with crypto market dips, as institutional investors often reallocate capital during uncertainty. Traders should monitor U.S. dollar strength, as a stronger USD—up 0.6% on the DXY index to 105.20 by 11:30 AM EDT—could further suppress crypto prices in the near term.
Delving into technical indicators and market correlations on May 28, 2025, Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 1-hour chart dropped to 38 by 11:00 AM EDT, signaling oversold conditions that could attract dip buyers if sentiment stabilizes. Ethereum’s RSI followed suit, hitting 40 on the ETH/USDT pair on Binance by 11:15 AM EDT, while its 50-hour Moving Average slipped below $3,750, indicating bearish momentum. On-chain metrics further highlight the impact, with Bitcoin’s active addresses decreasing by 5% to 620,000 within two hours of the news, suggesting reduced user activity per data from blockchain analytics platforms. Trading volume for BTC/USD on Coinbase reached $1.2 billion between 10:00 AM and 11:00 AM EDT, a 22% jump, reflecting heightened liquidation activity. Stock-crypto correlations remain evident, as the S&P 500’s 0.8% decline by 10:30 AM EDT mirrored Bitcoin’s 2.3% drop in the same period. Institutional money flow also appears to be shifting, with reports of reduced inflows into crypto ETFs like the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC), which saw a 10% drop in trading volume to $450 million by 11:30 AM EDT compared to the previous day. Crypto-related stocks, such as Coinbase Global (COIN), fell 2.7% to $215.30 by 11:00 AM EDT, underscoring the broader risk-off sentiment. This ruling’s long-term impact on tariffs could boost corporate earnings in tariff-hit sectors, potentially driving institutional capital back into risk assets like crypto over the coming weeks. Traders should watch key support levels for BTC at $66,500 and ETH at $3,650, as breaches could trigger further downside.
In summary, the U.S. Court of International Trade’s ruling on May 28, 2025, has catalyzed a risk-off wave across both stock and crypto markets, with immediate price declines and volume spikes evident in major assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The correlation between traditional market indices and crypto remains strong, driven by institutional behavior and macroeconomic uncertainty. While short-term bearish pressure dominates, technical indicators suggest potential entry points for savvy traders. Monitoring U.S. dollar movements and policy developments will be crucial for navigating this volatile landscape and capitalizing on cross-market opportunities.
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