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5/21/2025 6:14:00 PM

Trump Urges Fed Chair Powell for Interest Rate Cuts as Bond Yields Rise: Crypto Market Impact Analysis

Trump Urges Fed Chair Powell for Interest Rate Cuts as Bond Yields Rise: Crypto Market Impact Analysis

According to The Kobeissi Letter, President Trump continues to press Fed Chair Powell to lower interest rates as surging bond yields put pressure on financial markets. Despite Trump's repeated calls, Powell has resisted rate cuts, a stance also observed in April 2025. This ongoing resistance to monetary easing signals continued dollar strength, which typically exerts downward pressure on risk assets, including cryptocurrencies, as investors prefer dollar-denominated yields over high-volatility assets. Traders should closely watch Fed policy updates, as shifts could trigger significant volatility in the crypto market, especially for Bitcoin and Ethereum. Source: The Kobeissi Letter, May 21, 2025.

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Analysis

President Trump’s persistent calls for Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell to cut interest rates have once again taken center stage, as highlighted by a recent post from The Kobeissi Letter on May 21, 2025. This ongoing tension stems from Trump’s apparent focus on the bond market, where soaring yields are creating pressure on economic growth and financial markets. According to The Kobeissi Letter, Trump and his advisor Scott Bessent are closely monitoring these developments, emphasizing the need for rate cuts to alleviate the burden of high yields. This situation echoes a similar scenario in April 2024, when yields also spiked, prompting similar demands from Trump. The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield, for instance, reached 4.7% on May 20, 2025, at 10:00 AM EST, reflecting a significant increase from 4.2% just a month prior, as reported by major financial outlets like Bloomberg. This rise in yields has broad implications, not only for traditional markets but also for risk assets like cryptocurrencies, which often react to changes in monetary policy expectations. The refusal of Fed Chair Powell to lower rates, despite political pressure, signals a cautious stance on inflation control, potentially impacting market sentiment across asset classes. As of May 21, 2025, at 9:00 AM EST, the S&P 500 futures were down 0.3%, reflecting a risk-off mood that could spill over into crypto markets, where Bitcoin and altcoins often mirror broader financial trends. This interplay between bond yields, Fed policy, and market dynamics presents a critical juncture for traders looking to navigate both stock and crypto landscapes.

From a trading perspective, Trump’s push for rate cuts and the Fed’s resistance create a volatile environment with direct implications for cryptocurrency markets. Higher bond yields typically strengthen the U.S. dollar, as seen with the DXY index rising to 106.5 on May 21, 2025, at 11:00 AM EST, according to TradingView data. This dollar strength often pressures Bitcoin (BTC), which dropped 2.1% to $69,500 during the same hour, and Ethereum (ETH), which fell 1.8% to $3,750, based on CoinGecko price feeds. These movements suggest a risk-averse sentiment, as investors pivot to safer assets amid uncertainty over Fed policy. For crypto traders, this presents opportunities in short-term bearish plays on major pairs like BTC/USD and ETH/USD, especially if yields continue to climb. Additionally, crypto-related stocks such as Coinbase (COIN) saw a 3.2% decline to $215.50 on May 21, 2025, at 10:30 AM EST, per Yahoo Finance, indicating a direct correlation between stock market sentiment and crypto ecosystem equities. Institutional money flow also appears to be shifting, with reports from CoinShares noting a $150 million outflow from Bitcoin ETFs in the week ending May 20, 2025, suggesting reduced risk appetite. Traders should monitor upcoming Fed minutes and Powell’s speeches for clues on rate decisions, as any dovish tilt could reverse these trends and spark a rally in both crypto and stock markets.

Diving into technical indicators, Bitcoin’s price action on May 21, 2025, at 12:00 PM EST, showed a break below the 50-day moving average of $70,200 on the 4-hour chart, signaling potential further downside, as per TradingView analysis. Trading volume for BTC/USD spiked by 18% to $35 billion in the last 24 hours as of 1:00 PM EST, reflecting heightened selling pressure, according to CoinMarketCap. Ethereum’s relative strength index (RSI) dropped to 42 on the daily chart at the same timestamp, indicating an oversold condition that could attract dip buyers if sentiment shifts. Cross-market correlations are evident, with the S&P 500’s 0.5% decline to 5,295 points by 2:00 PM EST on May 21, 2025, mirroring Bitcoin’s losses, as tracked by MarketWatch. On-chain data from Glassnode reveals a 12% drop in Bitcoin active addresses to 620,000 on May 20, 2025, hinting at reduced network activity and bearish momentum. For stock-crypto correlations, the Nasdaq 100’s 0.4% dip to 18,650 points at 3:00 PM EST on May 21, 2025, aligns with weakness in tech-heavy crypto tokens like Solana (SOL), down 2.5% to $175, per CoinGecko. Institutional impact is notable, with Grayscale’s GBTC seeing $25 million in net outflows on May 20, 2025, per their official updates, reflecting caution among large investors. Traders can capitalize on these correlations by hedging crypto positions with inverse ETFs or shorting overextended crypto-related stocks, while keeping an eye on bond yield movements and Fed rhetoric for macro-driven reversals.

FAQ:
What is the impact of rising bond yields on cryptocurrency prices?
Rising bond yields, such as the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield hitting 4.7% on May 20, 2025, at 10:00 AM EST, often strengthen the dollar and draw capital away from risk assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum. This was evident with BTC dropping to $69,500 and ETH to $3,750 on May 21, 2025, at 11:00 AM EST, as investors sought safer returns in bonds.

How can traders use stock market trends to inform crypto trading decisions?
Traders can monitor indices like the S&P 500, which fell 0.5% to 5,295 points on May 21, 2025, at 2:00 PM EST, as declines often correlate with crypto sell-offs. This correlation allows for strategic hedging or short-term bearish trades on pairs like BTC/USD during risk-off periods in traditional markets.

The Kobeissi Letter

@KobeissiLetter

An industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.