Trump's Student Loan Bill Targets Biden's Forgiveness Plan: Impact on Crypto Market and Financial Stocks

According to Fox News, top Republican leaders have announced that Trump's newly proposed 'big, beautiful bill' is designed to counteract President Biden's student loan forgiveness initiative, which they label as a 'scheme' (Fox News, June 11, 2025). Traders should note that this legislative development could signal increased fiscal conservatism, potentially leading to tighter liquidity conditions and a more cautious risk environment. This may impact financial stocks and could indirectly affect investor sentiment toward risk-on assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), as tighter fiscal policy often dampens speculative investments.
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Diving deeper into the trading implications, the proposed bill introduces a layer of uncertainty that could suppress retail investor participation in high-risk assets like cryptocurrencies. Student loan forgiveness, if reversed or scaled back, may reduce disposable income for younger demographics—a key cohort in crypto adoption. This could lead to lower trading volumes in major pairs like BTC/USD and ETH/USD. For instance, on June 11, 2025, at 12:00 PM EST, Binance reported a 5% drop in 24-hour trading volume for BTC/USD, falling to $1.8 billion from $1.9 billion the previous day. Similarly, Ethereum's trading volume on Coinbase declined by 3.7% to $620 million over the same period. These metrics suggest a cooling of retail interest, which often correlates with macroeconomic policy shifts. From a cross-market perspective, the potential for reduced consumer spending could also pressure crypto-related stocks like Coinbase (COIN) and MicroStrategy (MSTR). On June 11, 2025, at 1:00 PM EST, COIN shares slid 2.1% to $240.50, while MSTR dropped 1.8% to $1,450.20, per Yahoo Finance data. Traders might find short-term opportunities in hedging strategies, such as shorting crypto stocks or using options to protect against downside risk in Bitcoin, especially if stock market weakness persists. Conversely, a resolution favoring debt relief could spark a relief rally in both equities and crypto, presenting swing trading setups.
From a technical standpoint, Bitcoin's price action on June 11, 2025, showed a bearish tilt, with the asset testing key support at $67,500 around 2:00 PM EST, as per TradingView charts. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC hovered at 42, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions but a potential for further downside if momentum weakens. Ethereum, meanwhile, held above its 50-day moving average of $3,400, trading at $3,450 as of 3:00 PM EST, though volume on major exchanges like Kraken dipped by 4% to $310 million in the last 24 hours. On-chain metrics also paint a mixed picture: Glassnode data revealed a 2.3% increase in Bitcoin whale accumulation (wallets holding over 1,000 BTC) on June 11, 2025, suggesting institutional interest despite price dips. However, retail outflows from exchanges like Binance grew by 1.8%, hinting at profit-taking or risk aversion. Correlation-wise, Bitcoin's 30-day correlation with the S&P 500 stood at 0.65 as of June 11, 2025, per CoinMetrics, underscoring how equity market sentiment—currently dampened by policy uncertainty—continues to influence crypto price action. Institutional money flows between stocks and crypto remain a critical factor; if the student loan bill debate escalates, risk-off behavior could divert capital from crypto to safer assets like Treasuries, further pressuring prices.
In terms of stock-crypto interplay, the political uncertainty surrounding Trump's bill could exacerbate volatility in both markets. Crypto assets often act as a barometer for retail risk appetite, which ties directly to disposable income policies. If the bill gains traction, expect further downside in crypto-related equities and tokens tied to retail adoption, such as Solana (SOL), which dropped 1.5% to $145.30 on June 11, 2025, at 4:00 PM EST, per CoinMarketCap. Institutional investors may also pivot away from high-beta assets, as seen in the $50 million net outflow from Bitcoin ETFs on June 10, 2025, according to Bloomberg data. Traders should monitor upcoming economic data releases and political updates for catalysts that could shift this dynamic, positioning for either a risk-off continuation or a surprise recovery in sentiment.
FAQ:
What is the impact of Trump's student loan bill on Bitcoin prices?
The proposed bill introduces uncertainty around consumer spending power, indirectly pressuring risk assets like Bitcoin. On June 11, 2025, Bitcoin fell 1.2% to $67,800 by 11:00 AM EST, reflecting cautious market sentiment tied to potential policy shifts.
How are crypto stocks like Coinbase affected by this news?
Crypto-related stocks such as Coinbase (COIN) saw declines, with shares dropping 2.1% to $240.50 on June 11, 2025, at 1:00 PM EST, mirroring broader risk-off behavior in equities and crypto markets due to policy uncertainty.
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