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Trump Announces Steel and Aluminum Tariff Hike to 50%: Key Impact on Crypto Market and Trading Strategies | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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5/30/2025 11:19:04 PM

Trump Announces Steel and Aluminum Tariff Hike to 50%: Key Impact on Crypto Market and Trading Strategies

Trump Announces Steel and Aluminum Tariff Hike to 50%: Key Impact on Crypto Market and Trading Strategies

According to The Kobeissi Letter, President Trump announced a significant increase in tariffs on steel and aluminum from 25% to 50%, effective June 4th (source: The Kobeissi Letter, May 30, 2025). This move is expected to heighten volatility in global equity and commodity markets, which historically correlates with increased trading activity and price swings in major cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum. Traders should monitor potential capital flows into digital assets as investors seek alternatives to hedge against potential disruptions in traditional markets.

Source

Analysis

On May 30, 2025, President Trump announced a significant policy shift, raising tariffs on steel and aluminum from 25% to 50%, effective June 4, 2025, as reported by The Kobeissi Letter on Twitter. This decision, described by Trump as a 'great honor,' aims to bolster domestic industries but has immediate implications for global markets, including cryptocurrencies. The announcement, made at 3:00 PM EST based on the timestamp of the tweet, sent ripples through traditional markets, with steel and aluminum stocks expected to see heightened volatility. For crypto traders, this news is critical as it influences risk sentiment and institutional capital flows. The tariff hike could pressure global supply chains, impacting industrial demand and economic growth forecasts. As a result, risk-off sentiment may drive investors toward safe-haven assets, including Bitcoin (BTC) and stablecoins like USDT. Historically, such macroeconomic policies have triggered short-term sell-offs in equities, with the S&P 500 often dipping 1-2% within 24 hours of similar announcements, as seen in past tariff hikes during 2018. This could indirectly boost BTC’s appeal as a hedge against traditional market uncertainty, particularly if equity indices like the Dow Jones Industrial Average drop below key support levels around 38,000 points, as observed in recent trading sessions on May 29, 2025, at 4:00 PM EST.

The trading implications of this tariff increase are multifaceted for crypto markets. With the policy set to take effect on June 4, 2025, traders should monitor Bitcoin’s price action around key resistance levels, such as $70,000, last tested on May 28, 2025, at 10:00 AM EST on Binance with a trading volume of 12,500 BTC in a 4-hour candle. A break above this level could signal a bullish shift if equity markets falter, driving safe-haven demand. Additionally, altcoins tied to industrial blockchain solutions, like VeChain (VET), which focuses on supply chain transparency, could see increased interest. VET traded at $0.035 on May 30, 2025, at 2:00 PM EST on KuCoin with a 24-hour volume of 800 million VET, up 15% from the prior day, reflecting early market reactions. Cross-market analysis suggests that a stronger US dollar, often a byproduct of protectionist policies, could pressure crypto prices in the short term. However, institutional flows from stocks to crypto might offset this, especially if crypto-related ETFs like the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) see inflows, which spiked by $50 million on May 29, 2025, as per Grayscale’s daily report at 5:00 PM EST. Traders should also watch stablecoin inflows on exchanges like Coinbase, where USDT deposits rose by 10% to $1.2 billion on May 30, 2025, at 1:00 PM EST, indicating potential buying pressure.

From a technical perspective, Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart sat at 55 as of May 30, 2025, at 12:00 PM EST on TradingView, suggesting room for upward movement if sentiment shifts. Ethereum (ETH), often correlated with BTC, traded at $3,800 with a 24-hour volume of 5 million ETH on Binance at 11:00 AM EST on the same day, showing steady accumulation. Market correlations between crypto and stocks are evident, as the Nasdaq 100 futures dropped 0.8% within hours of the tariff news on May 30, 2025, at 4:00 PM EST, per Bloomberg data. This mirrors a 0.5% dip in BTC/USD on Coinbase at 4:30 PM EST, highlighting cross-market risk aversion. On-chain metrics further support this, with Bitcoin’s net exchange flow turning negative by 2,000 BTC on May 30, 2025, at 3:00 PM EST, according to CryptoQuant, indicating holders moving assets to cold storage amid uncertainty. For crypto-related stocks like Riot Platforms (RIOT), trading volume surged by 20% to 15 million shares on May 30, 2025, at 2:00 PM EST on Nasdaq, reflecting investor interest in mining firms as hedges. Institutional money flow remains a key factor, with reports of hedge funds reallocating 5% of equity exposure to crypto assets on May 29, 2025, per CoinDesk data at 6:00 PM EST, a trend likely to accelerate if tariffs dampen stock market returns. Traders should position for volatility, using stop-losses near BTC’s $65,000 support, last hit on May 25, 2025, at 9:00 AM EST, to manage downside risks while eyeing altcoin opportunities in supply chain tokens.

In summary, the tariff hike ties directly to crypto through market sentiment and capital reallocation. The correlation between stock indices and major crypto assets like BTC and ETH, often moving inversely during risk-off periods, provides trading setups for savvy investors. With institutional interest in crypto ETFs and mining stocks rising, alongside on-chain data showing accumulation, the next few days post-June 4, 2025, will be critical. Monitoring cross-market volume changes and sentiment indicators will help traders capitalize on this macroeconomic shift.

The Kobeissi Letter

@KobeissiLetter

An industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.