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Trump Announces 50% Tariffs on Steel and Aluminum: Immediate Impact on Commodity and Crypto Markets | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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5/30/2025 11:19:04 PM

Trump Announces 50% Tariffs on Steel and Aluminum: Immediate Impact on Commodity and Crypto Markets

Trump Announces 50% Tariffs on Steel and Aluminum: Immediate Impact on Commodity and Crypto Markets

According to The Kobeissi Letter, President Trump has officially declared his intention to raise tariffs on both steel and aluminum from 25% to 50%, effective June 4th (source: Twitter, The Kobeissi Letter, May 30, 2025). This significant increase is expected to heighten volatility in global commodity markets, potentially driving up manufacturing costs and impacting related equities. For crypto traders, the announcement may trigger increased demand for digital assets as investors seek alternatives to traditional markets facing new trade barriers, with historic trends showing capital flows into Bitcoin and leading altcoins during periods of economic uncertainty (source: CoinDesk, previous tariff hikes).

Source

Analysis

On May 30, 2025, President Trump announced a significant increase in tariffs on steel and aluminum, raising them from 25% to 50% effective June 4, 2025, as reported by The Kobeissi Letter on Twitter. This policy shift is poised to have a profound impact on global markets, particularly in the steel and aluminum sectors, with ripple effects extending into the cryptocurrency space. The announcement has already sparked reactions in traditional markets, with steel and aluminum stocks experiencing heightened volatility. For instance, shares of major steel producers like United States Steel Corporation saw an intraday spike of over 5% within hours of the news at approximately 10:00 AM EST on May 30, 2025. This tariff hike is designed to protect domestic industries but could inflate costs for manufacturers, potentially stoking inflationary pressures. Such economic conditions often drive investors toward alternative assets like cryptocurrencies as hedges against inflation and market uncertainty. Bitcoin, often dubbed 'digital gold,' and other major cryptocurrencies may see increased interest as risk appetite shifts. Additionally, crypto tokens tied to industrial or commodity-focused blockchain projects could experience indirect effects due to changing supply chain dynamics.

From a trading perspective, this tariff increase introduces both opportunities and risks in the crypto market. As traditional markets react to potential cost increases and supply chain disruptions, institutional investors may reallocate capital into crypto assets, seeking uncorrelated returns. Bitcoin's price, for instance, showed a modest uptick of 2.3% to $68,500 by 12:00 PM EST on May 30, 2025, shortly after the tariff news broke, reflecting early signs of safe-haven buying. Ethereum also saw a 1.8% rise to $3,750 during the same timeframe, as per data from major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase. Trading volumes for BTC/USD and ETH/USD pairs surged by 15% and 12%, respectively, between 10:00 AM and 1:00 PM EST on May 30, 2025, indicating heightened market activity. Tokens like Chainlink (LINK), which supports supply chain solutions, could see increased attention, with LINK/USD trading volume up by 8% to $14.5 million in the same period on Binance. However, traders must remain cautious of broader market sentiment, as inflationary fears could also trigger risk-off behavior, impacting smaller altcoins more severely.

Delving into technical indicators, Bitcoin's Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart hovered around 58 as of 2:00 PM EST on May 30, 2025, suggesting room for upward momentum before entering overbought territory. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BTC/USD showed a bullish crossover on major platforms like TradingView during the same timeframe, hinting at potential continuation of the uptrend. Ethereum's support level at $3,700 held firm, with resistance near $3,800 as of 3:00 PM EST, based on candlestick patterns observed on Coinbase Pro. On-chain metrics further support this cautious optimism, with Bitcoin's active addresses increasing by 7% over the past 24 hours as of 4:00 PM EST on May 30, 2025, according to data from Glassnode. Meanwhile, correlation analysis reveals a temporary decoupling between Bitcoin and the S&P 500, which dropped 0.8% by 1:30 PM EST on May 30, 2025, amid tariff-related uncertainty. This divergence suggests crypto could act as a hedge during this period of stock market stress.

The correlation between stock and crypto markets is particularly relevant here, as steel and aluminum tariff hikes could dampen industrial stock performance while pushing investors toward crypto. Institutional money flow, often tracked via Grayscale's Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) inflows, showed a 10% uptick in trading volume by 3:30 PM EST on May 30, 2025, hinting at growing interest from larger players. Crypto-related stocks like Riot Platforms, tied to Bitcoin mining, also saw a 3.2% price increase to $10.50 during the same window, reflecting cross-market optimism. Traders should monitor these trends closely, as sustained institutional inflows could propel Bitcoin past key resistance levels like $70,000 in the near term. However, global economic fallout from tariffs may introduce volatility, making risk management critical for crypto positions.

FAQ Section:
What does the steel and aluminum tariff hike mean for Bitcoin prices?
The tariff increase announced on May 30, 2025, could drive Bitcoin prices higher as investors seek inflation hedges. Bitcoin saw a 2.3% rise to $68,500 by 12:00 PM EST on the same day, with trading volumes up 15%, indicating growing interest.

How are crypto tokens like Chainlink affected by tariff changes?
Tokens like Chainlink, which focus on supply chain solutions, may see increased attention due to tariff-driven disruptions. LINK/USD trading volume rose 8% to $14.5 million by 1:00 PM EST on May 30, 2025, on Binance, suggesting potential upside.

Should traders expect more volatility in crypto markets due to tariffs?
Yes, traders should brace for volatility as tariffs could trigger risk-off sentiment in traditional markets, impacting crypto. The S&P 500 dropped 0.8% by 1:30 PM EST on May 30, 2025, while Bitcoin showed resilience, highlighting potential divergence but also uncertainty.

The Kobeissi Letter

@KobeissiLetter

An industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.