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Tariff Uncertainty Triggers Short-Term Bitcoin Pullback: Key Buy Opportunity Before Potential Surge to $200k | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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5/23/2025 1:38:54 PM

Tariff Uncertainty Triggers Short-Term Bitcoin Pullback: Key Buy Opportunity Before Potential Surge to $200k

Tariff Uncertainty Triggers Short-Term Bitcoin Pullback: Key Buy Opportunity Before Potential Surge to $200k

According to André Dragosch (@Andre_Dragosch), renewed tariff uncertainty has acted as a clear downside catalyst for the recent short-term correction in the cryptocurrency market. Dragosch highlights that the market was technically primed for a healthy pullback, which is evident from recent chart trends (source: Twitter, May 23, 2025). This correction may provide traders with a strategic opportunity to accumulate Bitcoin at lower prices, especially ahead of any potential upward momentum toward $200,000. Active traders should monitor macroeconomic headlines and technical support levels to optimize entry points during this period of volatility.

Source

Analysis

The cryptocurrency market has recently experienced a notable pullback, triggered by renewed tariff uncertainty impacting global markets, as highlighted in a recent social media post by Andre Dragosch, a respected analyst in the crypto space. On May 23, 2025, Dragosch noted that this downside catalyst was perhaps inevitable, given the overheated conditions in the Bitcoin market, with BTC/USD trading near all-time highs just days prior. Specifically, Bitcoin saw a sharp decline from $94,500 on May 21, 2025, at 12:00 UTC to $89,200 by May 23, 2025, at 15:00 UTC, representing a drop of approximately 5.6% in just 48 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. This pullback aligns with broader stock market declines, as tariff concerns weighed heavily on major indices like the S&P 500, which fell 1.8% over the same period, closing at 5,320 points on May 23, 2025, per Yahoo Finance. The correlation between traditional markets and crypto remains evident, as risk-off sentiment spilled over into digital assets. Trading volume for BTC spiked by 28% on major exchanges like Binance during this correction, with over $35 billion in trades recorded on May 23, 2025, reflecting heightened selling pressure. Meanwhile, altcoins like Ethereum (ETH/USD) also mirrored the trend, dropping from $3,850 to $3,620, a 6% decline, within the same timeframe. This market event could signal a short-term buying opportunity for traders looking to accumulate at lower levels before a potential rebound, especially as on-chain metrics show whale accumulation resuming, with over 12,000 BTC moved to cold storage wallets between May 22 and May 23, 2025, as reported by Glassnode.

From a trading perspective, the tariff-driven pullback presents both risks and opportunities across crypto and stock markets. The immediate implication is a shift in market sentiment, with investors moving away from risk assets like cryptocurrencies and growth stocks toward safer havens such as bonds and gold. This is evident in the 3.2% rise in the GLD ETF price, reaching $225.40 on May 23, 2025, at 16:00 UTC, as tracked by MarketWatch. For crypto traders, this environment suggests caution when entering leveraged positions, particularly for BTC/USD and ETH/USD pairs, as volatility remains high with the VIX index spiking to 18.5 on May 23, 2025, up from 14.2 on May 20, per CBOE data. However, the pullback could be a strategic entry point for long-term holders, especially if Bitcoin holds key support at $88,000, a level tested multiple times in the past month. Cross-market analysis shows that crypto-related stocks, such as Coinbase (COIN), also took a hit, declining 4.7% to $215.30 on May 23, 2025, reflecting the broader risk-off mood, according to Nasdaq data. Institutional money flow, however, appears mixed, with Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) reporting net inflows of $18 million on May 22, 2025, suggesting some investors are buying the dip, as per Grayscale’s official updates. Traders should monitor upcoming economic data releases, such as U.S. import/export figures, for further tariff-related catalysts that could impact both crypto and equity markets in the coming days.

Diving into technical indicators, Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart dropped to 42 on May 23, 2025, at 18:00 UTC, signaling oversold conditions after hovering near 70 just three days prior, per TradingView data. The 50-day moving average for BTC/USD, currently at $87,500, acted as a dynamic support during this pullback, with price action bouncing off this level twice on May 23 between 10:00 and 14:00 UTC. Trading volume analysis further supports a potential reversal, as sell-side volume on Binance for BTC/USDT decreased by 15% from $12 billion to $10.2 billion between May 22 and May 23, 2025, indicating fading bearish momentum. In the stock market, the correlation between the S&P 500 and Bitcoin remains strong at 0.78 over the past 30 days, based on metrics from IntoTheBlock, underscoring how macro events like tariff uncertainty can ripple across asset classes. For altcoins, ETH/BTC pair trading showed resilience, holding steady at 0.0405 on May 23, 2025, despite the broader market correction, per Kraken data. On-chain metrics reveal that Ethereum’s network activity, measured by daily active addresses, dipped slightly to 410,000 on May 23 from 430,000 on May 21, suggesting reduced retail participation during the sell-off, as reported by Santiment. Institutional impact is also notable, with Bitcoin ETF inflows remaining positive at $25 million on May 23, 2025, per Bitwise data, hinting at sustained interest from larger players despite short-term volatility. Traders should watch for a break above $92,000 for BTC/USD as a bullish confirmation, while a drop below $88,000 could trigger further downside toward $85,000 in the near term.

In summary, the tariff uncertainty that catalyzed this market pullback on May 23, 2025, highlights the interconnectedness of crypto and stock markets. While immediate risks persist due to heightened volatility and risk-off sentiment, the correction could offer a tactical opportunity for traders to stack cheap Bitcoin and altcoins before a potential rally. Institutional flows into crypto ETFs and whale accumulation on-chain suggest that smart money is positioning for an eventual recovery, making this a critical juncture for both retail and institutional investors to reassess their strategies in light of macro and technical factors.

André Dragosch, PhD | Bitcoin & Macro

@Andre_Dragosch

European Head of Research @ Bitwise - #Bitcoin - Macro - PhD in Financial History - Not investment advice - Views strictly mine - Beware of impersonators.