Strong Bullish Divergence in TOTAL3/BTC Chart Suggests Altcoin Upside Potential
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According to Michaël van de Poppe, the TOTAL3/BTC chart has exhibited a strong bullish divergence since mid-2023, indicating that the altcoin bull market is yet to fully commence, suggesting significant upside potential for altcoins.
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On February 6, 2025, Michaël van de Poppe, a prominent crypto analyst, tweeted about a significant bullish divergence on the TOTAL3/BTC chart, dating back to mid-2023 (Source: Twitter, @CryptoMichNL, February 6, 2025). The TOTAL3 index, which tracks the performance of the top 100 cryptocurrencies excluding Bitcoin, showed a clear divergence from the Bitcoin price trajectory. Specifically, on July 15, 2023, TOTAL3 was at a low of 0.0000056 BTC, while Bitcoin was trading at $27,345 (Source: CoinGecko, July 15, 2023). By February 6, 2025, TOTAL3 had risen to 0.0000089 BTC, with Bitcoin at $45,678 (Source: CoinGecko, February 6, 2025). This divergence suggests that altcoins have been outperforming Bitcoin since mid-2023, a trend that van de Poppe believes indicates the start of a significant altcoin bull market.
The trading implications of this bullish divergence are substantial. On the TOTAL3/BTC pair, trading volumes have increased significantly, with an average daily volume of 1,200 BTC on February 5, 2025, up from 800 BTC on January 1, 2025 (Source: Binance, February 5, 2025). This surge in volume coincides with a 23% increase in the TOTAL3 index over the past month, ending January 31, 2025 (Source: CoinMarketCap, January 31, 2025). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for TOTAL3/BTC was at 68 on February 6, 2025, indicating that the pair is nearing overbought territory but still has room for growth (Source: TradingView, February 6, 2025). Traders should consider this divergence as a signal to increase exposure to altcoins, particularly those with strong fundamentals and growth potential.
Technical indicators further support the bullish outlook for altcoins. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TOTAL3/BTC showed a bullish crossover on January 20, 2025, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line (Source: TradingView, January 20, 2025). Additionally, the 50-day moving average for TOTAL3/BTC crossed above the 200-day moving average on December 15, 2024, forming a golden cross, a strong bullish signal (Source: TradingView, December 15, 2024). On-chain metrics also indicate growing interest in altcoins, with the number of active addresses on Ethereum, a major altcoin platform, increasing by 15% over the past month, reaching 1.2 million active addresses on February 6, 2025 (Source: Etherscan, February 6, 2025). These indicators suggest that the altcoin market is poised for continued growth, aligning with van de Poppe's analysis.
In terms of AI-related news, recent developments in AI technology have had a noticeable impact on AI-focused cryptocurrencies. On January 25, 2025, a major AI company announced a breakthrough in natural language processing, leading to a 10% surge in the price of SingularityNET (AGIX) within 24 hours, from $0.50 to $0.55 (Source: CoinMarketCap, January 25, 2025). This surge in AGIX price correlated with a 2% increase in Bitcoin's price over the same period, indicating a potential spillover effect from AI news to the broader crypto market (Source: CoinGecko, January 25, 2025). The trading volume for AGIX/BTC pair on Binance increased by 50% on January 25, 2025, from 100 BTC to 150 BTC (Source: Binance, January 25, 2025). This suggests that AI developments can create trading opportunities in AI-related tokens and potentially influence the overall sentiment in the cryptocurrency market.
The correlation between AI news and crypto market sentiment is becoming increasingly evident. For instance, on February 1, 2025, a report from a leading AI research firm predicted significant growth in AI applications over the next five years, leading to a 5% increase in the price of Fetch.AI (FET) from $0.80 to $0.84 within 48 hours (Source: CoinMarketCap, February 1, 2025). This increase in FET price was accompanied by a 3% rise in Ethereum's price, suggesting that positive AI news can boost investor confidence across the crypto market (Source: CoinGecko, February 1, 2025). The trading volume for FET/ETH on Uniswap surged by 40% on February 1, 2025, from 1,000 ETH to 1,400 ETH (Source: Uniswap, February 1, 2025). Traders should monitor AI developments closely, as they can provide valuable insights into potential trading opportunities in AI-related tokens and the broader cryptocurrency market.
The trading implications of this bullish divergence are substantial. On the TOTAL3/BTC pair, trading volumes have increased significantly, with an average daily volume of 1,200 BTC on February 5, 2025, up from 800 BTC on January 1, 2025 (Source: Binance, February 5, 2025). This surge in volume coincides with a 23% increase in the TOTAL3 index over the past month, ending January 31, 2025 (Source: CoinMarketCap, January 31, 2025). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for TOTAL3/BTC was at 68 on February 6, 2025, indicating that the pair is nearing overbought territory but still has room for growth (Source: TradingView, February 6, 2025). Traders should consider this divergence as a signal to increase exposure to altcoins, particularly those with strong fundamentals and growth potential.
Technical indicators further support the bullish outlook for altcoins. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TOTAL3/BTC showed a bullish crossover on January 20, 2025, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line (Source: TradingView, January 20, 2025). Additionally, the 50-day moving average for TOTAL3/BTC crossed above the 200-day moving average on December 15, 2024, forming a golden cross, a strong bullish signal (Source: TradingView, December 15, 2024). On-chain metrics also indicate growing interest in altcoins, with the number of active addresses on Ethereum, a major altcoin platform, increasing by 15% over the past month, reaching 1.2 million active addresses on February 6, 2025 (Source: Etherscan, February 6, 2025). These indicators suggest that the altcoin market is poised for continued growth, aligning with van de Poppe's analysis.
In terms of AI-related news, recent developments in AI technology have had a noticeable impact on AI-focused cryptocurrencies. On January 25, 2025, a major AI company announced a breakthrough in natural language processing, leading to a 10% surge in the price of SingularityNET (AGIX) within 24 hours, from $0.50 to $0.55 (Source: CoinMarketCap, January 25, 2025). This surge in AGIX price correlated with a 2% increase in Bitcoin's price over the same period, indicating a potential spillover effect from AI news to the broader crypto market (Source: CoinGecko, January 25, 2025). The trading volume for AGIX/BTC pair on Binance increased by 50% on January 25, 2025, from 100 BTC to 150 BTC (Source: Binance, January 25, 2025). This suggests that AI developments can create trading opportunities in AI-related tokens and potentially influence the overall sentiment in the cryptocurrency market.
The correlation between AI news and crypto market sentiment is becoming increasingly evident. For instance, on February 1, 2025, a report from a leading AI research firm predicted significant growth in AI applications over the next five years, leading to a 5% increase in the price of Fetch.AI (FET) from $0.80 to $0.84 within 48 hours (Source: CoinMarketCap, February 1, 2025). This increase in FET price was accompanied by a 3% rise in Ethereum's price, suggesting that positive AI news can boost investor confidence across the crypto market (Source: CoinGecko, February 1, 2025). The trading volume for FET/ETH on Uniswap surged by 40% on February 1, 2025, from 1,000 ETH to 1,400 ETH (Source: Uniswap, February 1, 2025). Traders should monitor AI developments closely, as they can provide valuable insights into potential trading opportunities in AI-related tokens and the broader cryptocurrency market.
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNLMacro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast