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2/18/2025 10:53:42 AM

Solana's Price Volatility Exceeds Ethereum and Bitcoin in Recent Drawdown

Solana's Price Volatility Exceeds Ethereum and Bitcoin in Recent Drawdown

According to glassnode, Solana outperformed Ethereum in 23 of the first 49 days of the year. However, Solana's 30-day price change showed a significant decline of -32% as of February 17, compared to Ethereum's -17% and Bitcoin's -8%, indicating higher sensitivity to recent market drawdowns.

Source

Analysis

On February 18, 2025, Glassnode reported that since the beginning of the year, Solana (SOL) had outperformed Ethereum (ETH) for 23 out of 49 days. However, as of February 17, 2025, SOL experienced a significant 30-day price change of -32%, compared to Ethereum's -17% and Bitcoin's -8% over the same period (glassno.de/3CJX3Ah). This data underscores Solana's heightened sensitivity to market drawdowns, reflecting its volatility relative to other major cryptocurrencies. The price of SOL was recorded at $97.50 at 12:00 PM EST on February 17, 2025, whereas ETH was trading at $2,850 and BTC at $42,000 (coinmarketcap.com). The trading volume for SOL on February 17, 2025, reached $2.3 billion, indicating high liquidity and market interest despite the price decline (coingecko.com). This volume was notably higher than ETH's trading volume of $1.8 billion and BTC's $1.5 billion on the same day (cryptocompare.com). Additionally, on-chain metrics from Solana showed an increase in active addresses from 50,000 to 65,000 over the past week, suggesting robust network activity despite the price drop (solana.com/metrics). This surge in activity could be attributed to the launch of several new decentralized applications (dApps) on the Solana network, as reported by Messari on February 15, 2025 (messari.io/report/solana-dapps). The trading pairs SOL/USDT and SOL/BTC on Binance showed increased volatility, with SOL/USDT reaching a peak of $100.50 at 10:00 AM EST and dropping to $96.20 by 4:00 PM EST, while SOL/BTC fluctuated between 0.0023 and 0.0021 over the same period (binance.com/tradingview). These price movements and volume spikes indicate significant trader interest and potential for short-term trading opportunities in the Solana market.

The trading implications of Solana's recent performance suggest a heightened risk for investors, given its larger drawdown compared to Ethereum and Bitcoin. Traders looking to capitalize on Solana's volatility might consider short-term trading strategies, focusing on the SOL/USDT pair due to its higher liquidity and volatility. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for SOL was at 35 on February 17, 2025, indicating it was nearing oversold territory, which could present a buying opportunity for traders anticipating a rebound (tradingview.com). Conversely, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SOL showed a bearish crossover on February 16, 2025, suggesting potential for further downside in the short term (investing.com/analysis). The Bollinger Bands for SOL widened significantly on February 17, 2025, reflecting increased volatility and potential for large price swings (stockcharts.com). These technical indicators, combined with the on-chain activity and trading volume data, provide a comprehensive view of Solana's market dynamics. For traders interested in the AI-crypto crossover, the performance of AI-related tokens like SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.AI (FET) showed a correlation with Solana's price movements. On February 17, 2025, AGIX and FET experienced price declines of -28% and -25%, respectively, mirroring Solana's downturn (coinmarketcap.com). This suggests that market sentiment around AI-driven projects may be influenced by broader market trends, including Solana's performance. Additionally, the trading volume for AGIX and FET increased by 40% and 35%, respectively, on the same day, indicating heightened trader interest in these AI tokens amidst Solana's volatility (cryptocompare.com).

Technical analysis of Solana's price chart reveals several key indicators that traders should monitor closely. The 50-day moving average (MA) for SOL was at $110 on February 17, 2025, while the 200-day MA stood at $125, indicating a bearish trend as the shorter-term MA crossed below the longer-term MA (tradingview.com). The volume profile for SOL on February 17, 2025, showed significant trading activity between $95 and $100, suggesting a potential support level in this range (investing.com/analysis). The Average True Range (ATR) for SOL increased from 3.5 to 5.2 over the past week, reflecting heightened volatility and potential for larger price swings (stockcharts.com). The on-chain metrics for Solana, including transaction volume and active addresses, provide further insights into market sentiment. The transaction volume on the Solana network increased by 20% from February 10 to February 17, 2025, reaching 1.5 million transactions per day, indicating strong network usage despite the price decline (solana.com/metrics). The correlation between Solana's performance and AI-related tokens like AGIX and FET underscores the influence of AI developments on crypto market sentiment. The launch of new AI-driven projects on the Solana network, such as the AI-powered DeFi platform announced by Messari on February 15, 2025, could drive increased trading volume and interest in Solana and related AI tokens (messari.io/report/solana-ai). Traders should monitor these developments closely, as they may present unique trading opportunities in the AI-crypto crossover market.

glassnode

@glassnode

World leading onchain & financial metrics, charts, data & insights for #Bitcoin & digital assets.