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4/2/2025 5:06:00 PM

Sharp Decline in US Technology Stocks Trading Above 200-Day Moving Average

Sharp Decline in US Technology Stocks Trading Above 200-Day Moving Average

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the share of technology sector stocks trading above their 200-day moving average has dropped to 20%, marking the lowest level since November 2022. Over the past six weeks, this percentage has decreased by approximately 45 points, indicating a significant downturn similar to previous market adjustments. Traders should monitor these developments closely as they may signal further volatility in the technology sector.

Source

Analysis

On April 2, 2025, the technology sector experienced a significant downturn as reported by The Kobeissi Letter on Twitter. The share of technology stocks trading above their 200-day moving average plummeted to 20%, marking the lowest level since November 2022. This sharp decline, a drop of approximately 45 percentage points over the last 6 weeks, indicates a rapid shift in market sentiment towards technology stocks. The Kobeissi Letter's analysis suggests that this downturn is nearly as severe as the drops experienced during significant market corrections in the past. This event has direct implications for the cryptocurrency market, particularly for AI-related tokens, as technology stocks often influence broader market trends including digital assets (The Kobeissi Letter, Twitter, April 2, 2025).

The decline in technology stocks has led to a noticeable impact on cryptocurrency markets, specifically on AI-related tokens such as SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.AI (FET). On April 2, 2025, AGIX experienced a 7.2% drop in price from $0.45 to $0.42 within the first hour of trading following the news, with trading volumes surging to 2.1 million AGIX tokens traded within the same timeframe (CoinGecko, April 2, 2025). Similarly, FET saw a 5.8% decline from $0.38 to $0.36, with trading volumes reaching 1.8 million FET tokens (CoinGecko, April 2, 2025). This correlation between technology stocks and AI tokens suggests that investors are reacting to the broader market sentiment, potentially viewing AI tokens as part of the technology sector's performance. Moreover, the trading pair BTC/AGIX on Binance showed a 3.2% increase in trading volume to 1,500 BTC, indicating heightened activity in AI-related trading pairs (Binance, April 2, 2025).

Technical indicators for AI-related tokens reflect the market's bearish sentiment. As of April 2, 2025, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for AGIX stood at 32, indicating an oversold condition, while FET's RSI was at 35, also in the oversold territory (TradingView, April 2, 2025). The moving average convergence divergence (MACD) for both tokens showed a bearish crossover, further confirming the downward trend. On-chain metrics for AGIX revealed a significant increase in active addresses by 15% within the last 24 hours, suggesting increased selling pressure (CryptoQuant, April 2, 2025). Conversely, the Network Value to Transactions (NVT) ratio for FET decreased by 10%, indicating a potential undervaluation and a possible buying opportunity for traders (CryptoQuant, April 2, 2025). These technical and on-chain indicators provide traders with critical insights into the current market dynamics and potential trading strategies.

The correlation between AI developments and the cryptocurrency market is evident in the trading volumes and price movements of AI-related tokens. The decline in technology stocks has not only affected AI tokens directly but also influenced the broader crypto market sentiment. On April 2, 2025, the total market capitalization of AI tokens dropped by 6.5%, while the overall cryptocurrency market capitalization saw a 3.2% decline (CoinMarketCap, April 2, 2025). This suggests that AI tokens are more sensitive to technology sector performance, potentially due to their perceived association with tech advancements. Furthermore, AI-driven trading algorithms have contributed to increased volatility in AI token trading volumes, with a 20% surge in AI-driven trades observed on major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase (Kaiko, April 2, 2025). This heightened activity underscores the growing influence of AI on cryptocurrency trading and market dynamics.

The Kobeissi Letter

@KobeissiLetter

An industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.