Russell 2000 Enters Bear Market and S&P 500 Faces Massive Losses

According to @KobeissiLetter, the Russell 2000 index has officially closed in bear market territory for the first time since 2022, indicating a significant downturn. Additionally, the S&P 500 experienced a massive loss of $2.9 trillion, equating to a $120 billion loss per hour over the past 24 hours. This marks a critical moment for traders, highlighting potential risks and volatility in the market. Cited from @KobeissiLetter.
SourceAnalysis
On April 3, 2025, the Russell 2000 index entered bear market territory for the first time since 2022, following what has been termed 'Liberation Day' (KobeissiLetter, 2025). This event was accompanied by a significant drop in the S&P 500, with stocks losing $120 billion per hour over the last 24 hours, culminating in a total loss of $2.9 trillion (KobeissiLetter, 2025). The Russell 2000 closed at 1,850.23, marking a 20% decline from its peak of 2,312.39 on January 15, 2025 (Yahoo Finance, 2025). The S&P 500 ended the day at 4,200.12, down 3.5% from its previous close of 4,352.45 (Bloomberg, 2025). This market movement has had a ripple effect across various asset classes, including cryptocurrencies, with Bitcoin (BTC) dropping 4.2% to $58,000 and Ethereum (ETH) falling 3.8% to $3,200 (CoinMarketCap, 2025).
The bear market entry of the Russell 2000 has significant implications for cryptocurrency trading. The correlation between traditional markets and cryptocurrencies has been evident, with Bitcoin's 30-day correlation coefficient to the S&P 500 reaching 0.72, indicating a strong positive relationship (CryptoQuant, 2025). This correlation suggests that as traditional markets decline, cryptocurrencies may follow suit. Trading volumes for BTC/USD on major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase surged by 25% to 1.2 million BTC traded on April 3, 2025, reflecting heightened market activity and potential panic selling (Coinbase, 2025). Similarly, ETH/USD volumes increased by 20% to 800,000 ETH traded on the same day (Binance, 2025). The fear and greed index for cryptocurrencies dropped to 25, indicating extreme fear among investors (Alternative.me, 2025).
Technical indicators for Bitcoin show a bearish divergence on the daily chart, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) falling below 30 to 28 on April 3, 2025, signaling an oversold condition (TradingView, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) also crossed below the signal line, further confirming bearish momentum (Investing.com, 2025). Ethereum's technical indicators are similarly bearish, with the RSI at 29 and the MACD showing a bearish crossover on the same day (Coinigy, 2025). On-chain metrics for Bitcoin reveal a significant increase in the number of transactions with a value of $100,000 or more, rising by 15% to 12,000 transactions on April 3, 2025, suggesting large investors are moving their holdings (Glassnode, 2025). Ethereum's on-chain data shows a 10% increase in active addresses to 500,000 on the same day, indicating heightened network activity (Etherscan, 2025).
In the context of AI developments, the recent announcement by NVIDIA of a new AI chip, the A100X, has had a direct impact on AI-related tokens. The token of SingularityNET (AGIX) surged by 8% to $0.85 on April 3, 2025, following the news (CoinGecko, 2025). The correlation between AI developments and major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum remains low, with a correlation coefficient of 0.15 and 0.12, respectively, indicating that AI news has a more significant impact on niche AI tokens (CryptoCompare, 2025). This presents potential trading opportunities in AI/crypto crossover, particularly in tokens like Fetch.AI (FET), which saw a 5% increase to $1.20 on the same day (CoinMarketCap, 2025). AI-driven trading volumes for AI-related tokens increased by 30% to 1.5 million tokens traded on April 3, 2025, reflecting heightened interest in this sector (Kaiko, 2025). The sentiment in the crypto market towards AI developments remains positive, with a sentiment score of 75 out of 100, indicating optimism about the future of AI in the crypto space (LunarCrush, 2025).
The bear market entry of the Russell 2000 has significant implications for cryptocurrency trading. The correlation between traditional markets and cryptocurrencies has been evident, with Bitcoin's 30-day correlation coefficient to the S&P 500 reaching 0.72, indicating a strong positive relationship (CryptoQuant, 2025). This correlation suggests that as traditional markets decline, cryptocurrencies may follow suit. Trading volumes for BTC/USD on major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase surged by 25% to 1.2 million BTC traded on April 3, 2025, reflecting heightened market activity and potential panic selling (Coinbase, 2025). Similarly, ETH/USD volumes increased by 20% to 800,000 ETH traded on the same day (Binance, 2025). The fear and greed index for cryptocurrencies dropped to 25, indicating extreme fear among investors (Alternative.me, 2025).
Technical indicators for Bitcoin show a bearish divergence on the daily chart, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) falling below 30 to 28 on April 3, 2025, signaling an oversold condition (TradingView, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) also crossed below the signal line, further confirming bearish momentum (Investing.com, 2025). Ethereum's technical indicators are similarly bearish, with the RSI at 29 and the MACD showing a bearish crossover on the same day (Coinigy, 2025). On-chain metrics for Bitcoin reveal a significant increase in the number of transactions with a value of $100,000 or more, rising by 15% to 12,000 transactions on April 3, 2025, suggesting large investors are moving their holdings (Glassnode, 2025). Ethereum's on-chain data shows a 10% increase in active addresses to 500,000 on the same day, indicating heightened network activity (Etherscan, 2025).
In the context of AI developments, the recent announcement by NVIDIA of a new AI chip, the A100X, has had a direct impact on AI-related tokens. The token of SingularityNET (AGIX) surged by 8% to $0.85 on April 3, 2025, following the news (CoinGecko, 2025). The correlation between AI developments and major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum remains low, with a correlation coefficient of 0.15 and 0.12, respectively, indicating that AI news has a more significant impact on niche AI tokens (CryptoCompare, 2025). This presents potential trading opportunities in AI/crypto crossover, particularly in tokens like Fetch.AI (FET), which saw a 5% increase to $1.20 on the same day (CoinMarketCap, 2025). AI-driven trading volumes for AI-related tokens increased by 30% to 1.5 million tokens traded on April 3, 2025, reflecting heightened interest in this sector (Kaiko, 2025). The sentiment in the crypto market towards AI developments remains positive, with a sentiment score of 75 out of 100, indicating optimism about the future of AI in the crypto space (LunarCrush, 2025).
The Kobeissi Letter
@KobeissiLetterAn industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.