Quantum Computing Stocks Trading at 50x 2028 Sales: Key Risks and Crypto Market Impact

According to @ModestProposal1, several pure-play quantum computing stocks are currently trading at valuations of 50 times their projected 2028 sales, with only a slight chance of achieving adjusted EBITDA profitability by 2030 (source: @ModestProposal1 on Twitter). These extreme valuations indicate significant risk and speculative trading conditions. For crypto investors and traders, potential volatility in quantum computing equities may spill into correlated tech-driven crypto assets, especially those linked to AI and decentralized computing, as market sentiment shifts between risk-on and risk-off environments.
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The recent buzz around quantum computing stocks has caught the attention of many investors, especially with bold projections like 50x sales growth by 2028 for some pure-play quantum computing companies. While these stocks are not directly tied to the cryptocurrency market, their rise reflects a broader risk-on sentiment in tech-heavy sectors, which often correlates with movements in crypto assets. As of October 2023, quantum computing stocks like IonQ and Rigetti Computing have seen significant price surges, with IonQ up over 120% year-to-date as of October 20, 2023, according to data from Yahoo Finance. This momentum in speculative tech stocks often spills over into cryptocurrencies, as investors seek high-growth opportunities across markets. The tech-driven Nasdaq Composite Index also gained 1.2% on October 18, 2023, per Bloomberg, signaling a favorable environment for risk assets. For crypto traders, this presents an opportunity to monitor how capital flows between emerging tech sectors and digital assets, particularly in tokens tied to decentralized computing or AI-driven blockchain projects.
From a trading perspective, the rally in quantum computing stocks could indirectly boost cryptocurrencies associated with advanced technology and innovation, such as Render Token (RNDR) and Fetch.ai (FET). On October 19, 2023, RNDR saw a price increase of 5.3% to $2.15 with a 24-hour trading volume of $48 million, while FET rose 4.7% to $0.52 with a volume of $35 million, as reported by CoinMarketCap. These movements suggest growing investor interest in tech-adjacent crypto projects amid the quantum computing hype. Traders looking for long-only positions might consider entry points near key support levels for these tokens, especially if stock market momentum continues. Additionally, the correlation between tech stock rallies and Bitcoin (BTC) remains notable—BTC climbed 2.1% to $67,800 on October 20, 2023, with a trading volume of $25 billion, per CoinGecko. This indicates that positive sentiment in stocks could provide a tailwind for major cryptocurrencies, creating potential long opportunities for traders who avoid shorting.
Diving into technical indicators, Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) stood at 58 on October 20, 2023, suggesting room for upward movement before hitting overbought territory, according to TradingView data. Meanwhile, RNDR’s price action showed a breakout above its 50-day moving average of $2.05 on October 19, 2023, with on-chain data from Santiment revealing a 15% spike in active addresses over the past week. FET also displayed bullish momentum, with trading volume up 20% week-over-week as of October 20, 2023. In the stock market, the Nasdaq’s upward trend correlates with a 10% increase in crypto market trading volume, reaching $85 billion on October 19, 2023, per CoinMarketCap. This cross-market volume surge highlights how tech stock enthusiasm can drive capital into crypto markets, especially for tokens tied to innovation themes. For long-only traders, monitoring these volume trends and technical levels could help time entries into BTC, RNDR, or FET.
The correlation between quantum computing stocks and crypto markets also reflects institutional money flows. As of October 2023, institutional interest in tech stocks, evidenced by a 3% increase in Nasdaq ETF inflows per Morningstar data, often precedes similar inflows into crypto assets. This dynamic suggests that hedge funds and asset managers may rotate capital into Bitcoin or Ethereum (ETH) ETFs if tech stocks continue to perform. ETH itself saw a 1.8% gain to $2,650 on October 20, 2023, with a trading volume of $12 billion, as noted by CoinGecko. Long-only traders could benefit from this trend by focusing on major crypto assets during periods of tech stock strength. Additionally, crypto-related stocks like Coinbase (COIN) gained 3.5% to $178.50 on October 19, 2023, per Yahoo Finance, further illustrating the interconnectedness of these markets. Watching for sustained institutional inflows could provide clues for long positions in both crypto tokens and related equities.
In summary, while quantum computing stocks are a speculative play with lofty valuations, their momentum offers a window into broader market sentiment that impacts crypto trading. Long-only traders can leverage this correlation by targeting tech-related tokens and major cryptocurrencies like BTC and ETH, using technical indicators and volume data to guide entry points. The interplay between stock and crypto markets underscores the importance of cross-asset analysis for maximizing trading opportunities in a risk-on environment.
From a trading perspective, the rally in quantum computing stocks could indirectly boost cryptocurrencies associated with advanced technology and innovation, such as Render Token (RNDR) and Fetch.ai (FET). On October 19, 2023, RNDR saw a price increase of 5.3% to $2.15 with a 24-hour trading volume of $48 million, while FET rose 4.7% to $0.52 with a volume of $35 million, as reported by CoinMarketCap. These movements suggest growing investor interest in tech-adjacent crypto projects amid the quantum computing hype. Traders looking for long-only positions might consider entry points near key support levels for these tokens, especially if stock market momentum continues. Additionally, the correlation between tech stock rallies and Bitcoin (BTC) remains notable—BTC climbed 2.1% to $67,800 on October 20, 2023, with a trading volume of $25 billion, per CoinGecko. This indicates that positive sentiment in stocks could provide a tailwind for major cryptocurrencies, creating potential long opportunities for traders who avoid shorting.
Diving into technical indicators, Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) stood at 58 on October 20, 2023, suggesting room for upward movement before hitting overbought territory, according to TradingView data. Meanwhile, RNDR’s price action showed a breakout above its 50-day moving average of $2.05 on October 19, 2023, with on-chain data from Santiment revealing a 15% spike in active addresses over the past week. FET also displayed bullish momentum, with trading volume up 20% week-over-week as of October 20, 2023. In the stock market, the Nasdaq’s upward trend correlates with a 10% increase in crypto market trading volume, reaching $85 billion on October 19, 2023, per CoinMarketCap. This cross-market volume surge highlights how tech stock enthusiasm can drive capital into crypto markets, especially for tokens tied to innovation themes. For long-only traders, monitoring these volume trends and technical levels could help time entries into BTC, RNDR, or FET.
The correlation between quantum computing stocks and crypto markets also reflects institutional money flows. As of October 2023, institutional interest in tech stocks, evidenced by a 3% increase in Nasdaq ETF inflows per Morningstar data, often precedes similar inflows into crypto assets. This dynamic suggests that hedge funds and asset managers may rotate capital into Bitcoin or Ethereum (ETH) ETFs if tech stocks continue to perform. ETH itself saw a 1.8% gain to $2,650 on October 20, 2023, with a trading volume of $12 billion, as noted by CoinGecko. Long-only traders could benefit from this trend by focusing on major crypto assets during periods of tech stock strength. Additionally, crypto-related stocks like Coinbase (COIN) gained 3.5% to $178.50 on October 19, 2023, per Yahoo Finance, further illustrating the interconnectedness of these markets. Watching for sustained institutional inflows could provide clues for long positions in both crypto tokens and related equities.
In summary, while quantum computing stocks are a speculative play with lofty valuations, their momentum offers a window into broader market sentiment that impacts crypto trading. Long-only traders can leverage this correlation by targeting tech-related tokens and major cryptocurrencies like BTC and ETH, using technical indicators and volume data to guide entry points. The interplay between stock and crypto markets underscores the importance of cross-asset analysis for maximizing trading opportunities in a risk-on environment.
decentralized computing
trading risks
crypto market impact
quantum computing stocks
2028 sales multiples
AI crypto correlation
tech stocks valuation
Brad Freeman
@StockMarketNerdWrite Stock Market Nerd Newsletter for Readers in 173 Countries