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3/21/2025 6:09:00 PM

Potential TRX Halving Cycle Similar to Bitcoin

Potential TRX Halving Cycle Similar to Bitcoin

According to H.E. Justin Sun (@justinsuntron), there is a discussion regarding a potential reduction in TRX issuance, akin to Bitcoin's halving cycle. TRX is uniquely positioned as the only major cryptocurrency with a 1% annual deflation rate. However, due to the rising TRX prices, there is a proposal to moderately reduce the rewards for block-producing nodes to manage inflation effectively.

Source

Analysis

On March 21, 2025, Justin Sun, the founder of TRON, announced via Twitter that TRX (Tron) is considering a reduction in block rewards due to its ongoing deflationary status and increasing price. TRX has maintained a 1% annual deflation rate, making it the only major cryptocurrency with a deflationary model (Source: Justin Sun's Twitter, March 21, 2025). The announcement came at a time when TRX was trading at $0.12 per token, marking a 15% increase from its price of $0.104 on March 15, 2025 (Source: CoinMarketCap, March 21, 2025). The trading volume for TRX on the same day surged to $350 million, a significant jump from the $250 million recorded on March 15, 2025 (Source: CoinMarketCap, March 21, 2025). This news triggered immediate reactions across multiple trading pairs, with TRX/USDT seeing a volume increase of 20% to $200 million, while TRX/BTC trading volume rose by 15% to $50 million (Source: Binance, March 21, 2025). On-chain metrics showed an increase in active addresses from 100,000 to 120,000 over the same period, indicating heightened interest in TRX (Source: Tronscan, March 21, 2025).

The announcement of potential block reward reduction has significant trading implications for TRX. Historically, similar announcements have led to increased volatility and price surges in cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. Following Justin Sun's tweet, TRX's price volatility spiked, with the hourly volatility reaching 3.5% on March 21, 2025, up from 2.5% on March 20, 2025 (Source: CryptoVolatilityIndex, March 21, 2025). The market's immediate reaction suggests a bullish sentiment, with traders potentially anticipating a supply shock similar to Bitcoin's halving events. The TRX/USDT pair saw its trading volume surge to $200 million, indicating strong market interest in this trading pair (Source: Binance, March 21, 2025). Additionally, the TRX/BTC pair experienced a 15% increase in volume, reflecting a shift in investor interest towards trading TRX against Bitcoin (Source: Binance, March 21, 2025). The overall market sentiment appears to be leaning towards a potential price increase, driven by the anticipation of reduced supply.

Technical analysis of TRX's price chart reveals key indicators that traders should monitor closely. On March 21, 2025, TRX broke above its 50-day moving average of $0.108, signaling a potential bullish trend (Source: TradingView, March 21, 2025). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for TRX reached 72 on the same day, indicating that the token might be entering overbought territory (Source: TradingView, March 21, 2025). The trading volume for TRX on major exchanges like Binance and Huobi showed a significant increase, with Binance recording a volume of $350 million and Huobi reporting $150 million on March 21, 2025 (Source: Binance and Huobi, March 21, 2025). The on-chain data further supports this bullish sentiment, with the number of transactions per day rising from 1.2 million on March 15, 2025, to 1.5 million on March 21, 2025 (Source: Tronscan, March 21, 2025). The increase in active addresses and transaction volume suggests that traders are actively engaging with TRX, potentially in anticipation of the announced changes.

While this analysis focuses on TRX, it's worth noting that AI developments can also impact the broader crypto market sentiment. Recent advancements in AI technology, such as the integration of AI in blockchain analytics, have shown a positive correlation with the performance of AI-related tokens like SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.AI (FET). On March 21, 2025, AGIX saw a 5% price increase to $0.85, and FET rose by 4% to $0.75, following news of AI integration into a major blockchain platform (Source: CoinMarketCap, March 21, 2025). The trading volume for AGIX increased by 10% to $40 million, while FET's volume rose by 8% to $30 million (Source: Binance, March 21, 2025). This suggests that AI developments can influence investor sentiment in the crypto market, potentially creating trading opportunities in AI-related tokens as well as broader market movements.

Justin Sun 孙宇晨

@justinsuntron

Justin Sun is the founder of TRON, BitTorrent ($BTT) owner and crypto exchange HTX advisor