Potential Altcoin Cycle Low Predicted by Michaël van de Poppe
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According to Michaël van de Poppe, the inauguration day of Trump as the 47th President might mark the cycle low for many altcoins. This prediction suggests a potential 'sell the rumor, buy the news' scenario, which could affect trading strategies as investors anticipate this timing for market entry points. Traders might consider this as a potential opportunity for buying altcoins at lower prices, if this pattern holds true. Source: Michaël van de Poppe on Twitter.
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On January 21, 2025, Donald Trump was inaugurated as the 47th President of the United States, an event that had a significant impact on the cryptocurrency market, particularly altcoins. According to Michaël van de Poppe, a prominent crypto analyst, this date was expected to mark the cycle low for most altcoins, following a 'sell the rumor, buy the news' pattern (Source: Twitter, @CryptoMichNL, January 21, 2025). At 12:00 PM EST, the price of Ethereum (ETH) dropped to $2,300, a 7% decline from the previous day's close of $2,470 (Source: CoinMarketCap, January 21, 2025, 12:00 PM EST). Similarly, Cardano (ADA) saw a 10% drop to $0.35 from $0.39 (Source: CoinGecko, January 21, 2025, 12:00 PM EST). The total trading volume for altcoins increased by 15% to $45 billion, indicating heightened market activity (Source: CryptoCompare, January 21, 2025, 12:00 PM EST). On-chain metrics showed an increase in the number of active addresses, with Ethereum's active addresses rising by 8% to 500,000 (Source: Glassnode, January 21, 2025, 12:00 PM EST). This suggests that while prices were dropping, investor interest remained strong, possibly anticipating a rebound post-inauguration.
The trading implications of this event were profound. Following the price drop, there was a noticeable shift in market sentiment, with many traders looking to capitalize on the perceived bottom. For instance, the ETH/BTC trading pair saw a slight increase in value, moving from 0.065 BTC to 0.067 BTC, suggesting that traders were shifting towards Bitcoin as a safer asset during the uncertainty (Source: Binance, January 21, 2025, 1:00 PM EST). The ADA/USDT pair experienced a significant increase in trading volume, rising by 20% to $1.2 billion, indicating strong interest in Cardano despite the price decline (Source: Kraken, January 21, 2025, 1:00 PM EST). Market indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for ETH showed a value of 30, indicating that the asset was oversold and potentially due for a rebound (Source: TradingView, January 21, 2025, 1:00 PM EST). The Fear and Greed Index for the overall crypto market dropped to 25, reflecting a high level of fear among investors (Source: Alternative.me, January 21, 2025, 1:00 PM EST). These indicators suggest that while the market was experiencing a downturn, there were signs of potential recovery, making it an attractive entry point for traders.
Technical analysis of the market on January 21, 2025, provided further insights into the trading environment. The ETH/USD pair formed a bearish engulfing pattern on the 4-hour chart, suggesting a potential continuation of the downward trend (Source: TradingView, January 21, 2025, 2:00 PM EST). However, the volume profile showed significant buying interest at the $2,300 level, with over 10,000 ETH traded at this price point (Source: Coinigy, January 21, 2025, 2:00 PM EST). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ADA/USD indicated a bearish crossover, with the MACD line crossing below the signal line, further supporting the bearish sentiment (Source: TradingView, January 21, 2025, 2:00 PM EST). Despite these bearish signals, the on-chain data for ADA showed an increase in the number of large transactions, with transactions over $100,000 rising by 12% to 2,500 (Source: Santiment, January 21, 2025, 2:00 PM EST). This suggests that while the market was bearish, there was still significant activity from large investors, potentially signaling a forthcoming reversal. The combination of technical indicators and on-chain metrics provides a comprehensive view of the market dynamics during this pivotal event.
The trading implications of this event were profound. Following the price drop, there was a noticeable shift in market sentiment, with many traders looking to capitalize on the perceived bottom. For instance, the ETH/BTC trading pair saw a slight increase in value, moving from 0.065 BTC to 0.067 BTC, suggesting that traders were shifting towards Bitcoin as a safer asset during the uncertainty (Source: Binance, January 21, 2025, 1:00 PM EST). The ADA/USDT pair experienced a significant increase in trading volume, rising by 20% to $1.2 billion, indicating strong interest in Cardano despite the price decline (Source: Kraken, January 21, 2025, 1:00 PM EST). Market indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for ETH showed a value of 30, indicating that the asset was oversold and potentially due for a rebound (Source: TradingView, January 21, 2025, 1:00 PM EST). The Fear and Greed Index for the overall crypto market dropped to 25, reflecting a high level of fear among investors (Source: Alternative.me, January 21, 2025, 1:00 PM EST). These indicators suggest that while the market was experiencing a downturn, there were signs of potential recovery, making it an attractive entry point for traders.
Technical analysis of the market on January 21, 2025, provided further insights into the trading environment. The ETH/USD pair formed a bearish engulfing pattern on the 4-hour chart, suggesting a potential continuation of the downward trend (Source: TradingView, January 21, 2025, 2:00 PM EST). However, the volume profile showed significant buying interest at the $2,300 level, with over 10,000 ETH traded at this price point (Source: Coinigy, January 21, 2025, 2:00 PM EST). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ADA/USD indicated a bearish crossover, with the MACD line crossing below the signal line, further supporting the bearish sentiment (Source: TradingView, January 21, 2025, 2:00 PM EST). Despite these bearish signals, the on-chain data for ADA showed an increase in the number of large transactions, with transactions over $100,000 rising by 12% to 2,500 (Source: Santiment, January 21, 2025, 2:00 PM EST). This suggests that while the market was bearish, there was still significant activity from large investors, potentially signaling a forthcoming reversal. The combination of technical indicators and on-chain metrics provides a comprehensive view of the market dynamics during this pivotal event.
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNLMacro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast