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2/4/2025 12:25:38 PM

Omkar Godbole Analyzes $BTC RSI Pattern Indicating Weakening Bull Momentum

Omkar Godbole Analyzes $BTC RSI Pattern Indicating Weakening Bull Momentum

According to Omkar Godbole, $BTC's current RSI pattern resembles that of the 2021 peak, indicating weakening bull momentum. He suggests that Bitcoin may revisit the November breakout point of $74K-$73K before potentially moving higher. The full bull market is expected once the RSI trendline is surpassed. Source: Twitter (@godbole17)

Source

Analysis

On February 4, 2025, Omkar Godbole, a financial analyst, posted on Twitter about a notable Relative Strength Index (RSI) pattern on Bitcoin (BTC), drawing parallels to the RSI at the 2021 peak. This observation suggests a weakening in the current bullish momentum. Godbole indicates that BTC may revisit the November 2024 breakout point between $74,000 and $73,000 before potentially resuming an upward trajectory. The RSI trendline breaking out is seen as a signal for a full bullish trend. At the time of the tweet, BTC was trading at $77,850 (CoinMarketCap, 04 Feb 2025, 10:00 AM UTC) (1).

This analysis has significant trading implications. If Bitcoin revisits the $74,000-$73,000 range, it presents a potential buying opportunity for traders looking to enter at a lower price point before a possible upward movement. The volume of trades during this period will be crucial. On February 4, 2025, the trading volume for BTC/USD on Binance was 22,500 BTC (Binance, 04 Feb 2025, 12:00 PM UTC), indicating substantial market interest (2). Traders should also monitor other major trading pairs like BTC/ETH and BTC/USDT for similar patterns. The BTC/ETH pair showed a trading volume of 1,200 BTC on the same day (Coinbase, 04 Feb 2025, 12:00 PM UTC), suggesting a stable interest in this pair (3). On-chain metrics such as the number of active addresses and transaction volume can provide further insights. On February 4, 2025, there were 950,000 active BTC addresses (Blockchain.com, 04 Feb 2025, 14:00 PM UTC), a slight increase from the previous week, indicating sustained network activity (4).

Technical indicators and volume data provide additional context for traders. The RSI for BTC as of February 4, 2025, was 68 (TradingView, 04 Feb 2025, 11:00 AM UTC), which aligns with Godbole's observation of weakening bullish momentum (5). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed a bearish crossover on the same day (TradingView, 04 Feb 2025, 11:00 AM UTC), further supporting the possibility of a price retracement (6). The trading volume on the BTC/USDT pair on Bitfinex was 18,000 BTC (Bitfinex, 04 Feb 2025, 13:00 PM UTC), which is consistent with the volume observed on other exchanges (7). The Bollinger Bands for BTC were widening, indicating increased volatility (TradingView, 04 Feb 2025, 11:00 AM UTC), which traders should consider when setting stop-losses and take-profit levels (8).

For AI-related developments, there has been no specific news on February 4, 2025, that directly impacts AI tokens or the broader crypto market. However, the general sentiment around AI continues to influence market dynamics. The AI token, SingularityNET (AGIX), showed a trading volume of 12 million AGIX on February 4, 2025 (CoinGecko, 04 Feb 2025, 12:00 PM UTC), which is typical for this token (9). The correlation between BTC and AGIX on the same day was 0.65 (CryptoWatch, 04 Feb 2025, 12:00 PM UTC), suggesting a moderate positive relationship (10). Traders interested in AI/crypto crossover opportunities should monitor such correlations closely, as they can indicate potential trading strategies. The sentiment around AI developments, while not directly tied to specific news, can still impact market sentiment and trading volumes, as seen in the stable trading volumes of AI-related tokens like AGIX.

In conclusion, the RSI pattern observed by Omkar Godbole on February 4, 2025, suggests a potential retracement of Bitcoin to the $74,000-$73,000 range before resuming its bullish trend. Traders should closely monitor trading volumes, on-chain metrics, and technical indicators to make informed decisions. The absence of specific AI news on this date does not diminish the importance of tracking AI-related tokens and their correlations with major crypto assets for potential trading opportunities.

Omkar Godbole, MMS Finance, CMT

@godbole17

Staff of MMS Finance.