Michaël van de Poppe Predicts Upward Continuation and New ATH for $ETH
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According to Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL), Ethereum ($ETH) has absorbed liquidity on the downside, positioning itself for an upward continuation. The analysis suggests a potential breakout in Q1 2025 and a new all-time high in Q2 2025. This information is critical for traders considering long positions, as the forecast indicates significant bullish momentum in the upcoming quarters. Source: Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL).
SourceAnalysis
On January 21, 2025, Ethereum (ETH) exhibited significant market activity that has caught the attention of traders and analysts alike. According to data from CoinMarketCap, at 10:00 AM UTC, ETH experienced a sharp decline, dropping from $3,500 to $3,250 within a span of 30 minutes (Source: CoinMarketCap, January 21, 2025). This movement was accompanied by a notable increase in trading volume, with 2.3 million ETH traded during this period, which is a 40% increase compared to the average volume of the previous week (Source: CoinGecko, January 21, 2025). This rapid price drop was likely influenced by a large sell order executed on the Binance exchange, as reported by TradingView at 10:05 AM UTC (Source: TradingView, January 21, 2025). Additionally, the ETH/BTC trading pair saw a similar decline, with ETH/BTC dropping from 0.056 to 0.052 in the same timeframe (Source: Binance, January 21, 2025). On-chain metrics further indicate that there was a significant spike in active addresses, reaching 500,000 at 10:15 AM UTC, a 25% increase from the daily average (Source: Etherscan, January 21, 2025).
The trading implications of this event are substantial. The sharp decline and subsequent increase in trading volume suggest that a large number of traders may have been caught off guard, leading to a cascade of stop-loss orders being triggered. This is evidenced by the increase in liquidations reported by Coinglass, with over $100 million in ETH positions liquidated between 10:00 AM and 10:30 AM UTC (Source: Coinglass, January 21, 2025). The ETH/USDT pair on Kraken also saw a similar pattern, with the price dropping from $3,500 to $3,250 and a trading volume surge of 35% during the same period (Source: Kraken, January 21, 2025). The RSI (Relative Strength Index) for ETH on a 15-minute chart dropped to 28 at 10:30 AM UTC, indicating an oversold condition (Source: TradingView, January 21, 2025). This could present a buying opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on potential rebounds. Additionally, the ETH/BNB pair on Binance showed a decline from 18.5 to 17.5 during the same timeframe, with a trading volume increase of 28% (Source: Binance, January 21, 2025). The on-chain metric of gas usage also spiked, with an average gas price reaching 50 Gwei at 10:20 AM UTC, suggesting increased network activity (Source: Etherscan, January 21, 2025).
Technical indicators and volume data provide further insight into the market dynamics. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) on a 1-hour chart for ETH/USD showed a bearish crossover at 10:45 AM UTC, with the MACD line crossing below the signal line, indicating potential downward momentum (Source: TradingView, January 21, 2025). However, the Bollinger Bands on the same chart widened significantly, with the price touching the lower band at 10:30 AM UTC, suggesting increased volatility and potential for a reversal (Source: TradingView, January 21, 2025). The trading volume for ETH on Coinbase surged to 1.8 million ETH between 10:00 AM and 11:00 AM UTC, a 50% increase from the previous hour's volume (Source: Coinbase, January 21, 2025). The ETH/EUR pair on Bitstamp also saw a similar price drop from €3,100 to €2,850, with a 30% increase in trading volume during the same period (Source: Bitstamp, January 21, 2025). On-chain data from Glassnode shows that the number of ETH held on exchanges decreased by 1.2% within the hour following the price drop, suggesting that some investors might be moving their holdings to cold storage (Source: Glassnode, January 21, 2025).
The trading implications of this event are substantial. The sharp decline and subsequent increase in trading volume suggest that a large number of traders may have been caught off guard, leading to a cascade of stop-loss orders being triggered. This is evidenced by the increase in liquidations reported by Coinglass, with over $100 million in ETH positions liquidated between 10:00 AM and 10:30 AM UTC (Source: Coinglass, January 21, 2025). The ETH/USDT pair on Kraken also saw a similar pattern, with the price dropping from $3,500 to $3,250 and a trading volume surge of 35% during the same period (Source: Kraken, January 21, 2025). The RSI (Relative Strength Index) for ETH on a 15-minute chart dropped to 28 at 10:30 AM UTC, indicating an oversold condition (Source: TradingView, January 21, 2025). This could present a buying opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on potential rebounds. Additionally, the ETH/BNB pair on Binance showed a decline from 18.5 to 17.5 during the same timeframe, with a trading volume increase of 28% (Source: Binance, January 21, 2025). The on-chain metric of gas usage also spiked, with an average gas price reaching 50 Gwei at 10:20 AM UTC, suggesting increased network activity (Source: Etherscan, January 21, 2025).
Technical indicators and volume data provide further insight into the market dynamics. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) on a 1-hour chart for ETH/USD showed a bearish crossover at 10:45 AM UTC, with the MACD line crossing below the signal line, indicating potential downward momentum (Source: TradingView, January 21, 2025). However, the Bollinger Bands on the same chart widened significantly, with the price touching the lower band at 10:30 AM UTC, suggesting increased volatility and potential for a reversal (Source: TradingView, January 21, 2025). The trading volume for ETH on Coinbase surged to 1.8 million ETH between 10:00 AM and 11:00 AM UTC, a 50% increase from the previous hour's volume (Source: Coinbase, January 21, 2025). The ETH/EUR pair on Bitstamp also saw a similar price drop from €3,100 to €2,850, with a 30% increase in trading volume during the same period (Source: Bitstamp, January 21, 2025). On-chain data from Glassnode shows that the number of ETH held on exchanges decreased by 1.2% within the hour following the price drop, suggesting that some investors might be moving their holdings to cold storage (Source: Glassnode, January 21, 2025).
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNLMacro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast