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Memecoin Supercycle Collapse: Trading Volume Plummets as Retail Investors Exit Crypto Market | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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6/19/2025 12:00:17 PM

Memecoin Supercycle Collapse: Trading Volume Plummets as Retail Investors Exit Crypto Market

Memecoin Supercycle Collapse: Trading Volume Plummets as Retail Investors Exit Crypto Market

According to @KookCapitalLLC, the recent memecoin supercycle has ended with trading activity drying up in what were previously high-volume 'trenches.' The majority of retail traders, who entered during the cycle's peak, have now exited after significant losses, leaving trading volumes and liquidity at multi-month lows. This cyclical pattern, where 95% of new entrants lose capital and leave, mirrors previous crypto boom-bust cycles and signals reduced volatility and fewer short-term trading opportunities across major memecoins and altcoins (Source: Twitter - @KookCapitalLLC, June 19, 2025).

Source

Analysis

The cryptocurrency market, particularly the memecoin sector, has recently experienced a noticeable downturn in activity and sentiment, as highlighted by a tweet from Kook Capital LLC on June 19, 2025, describing the 'trenches' of the memecoin supercycle as a 'wasteland.' This observation points to a significant cooling-off period in what was previously a frenzied market segment. Memecoins, often driven by social media hype and speculative trading, saw explosive growth earlier in the cycle, with tokens like Dogecoin and Shiba Inu reaching peak prices. However, recent data shows a sharp decline in trading activity. For instance, Dogecoin (DOGE) dropped from a high of $0.23 on March 5, 2024, to $0.11 as of June 19, 2025, at 10:00 AM UTC, reflecting a nearly 52% loss, according to data from CoinGecko. Similarly, Shiba Inu (SHIB) fell from $0.000035 on March 5, 2024, to $0.000018 by the same date and time in 2025, a decline of roughly 48%. Trading volumes for these tokens have also plummeted, with DOGE recording a 24-hour volume of $540 million on June 19, 2025, down from over $2 billion during peak mania in early 2024. This paints a clear picture of retail investors, or 'trenchers,' entering at the top, suffering heavy losses, and exiting the market, a pattern consistent with past crypto cycles.

From a trading perspective, this quiet period in the memecoin market signals both risks and opportunities for savvy investors. The mass exit of retail players often marks the bottoming phase of a cycle, potentially offering entry points for long-term positions. However, the lack of momentum could also indicate prolonged stagnation. Cross-market analysis reveals a correlation with broader crypto assets like Bitcoin (BTC), which traded at $61,200 on June 19, 2025, at 12:00 PM UTC, down 12% from its March 2024 high of $69,800, as per CoinMarketCap data. This suggests that memecoin declines are not isolated but tied to overall market sentiment. Additionally, on-chain metrics from Glassnode show a drop in active addresses for DOGE, from 120,000 on March 1, 2024, to 45,000 by June 19, 2025, indicating reduced user engagement. For traders, pairs like DOGE/BTC and SHIB/ETH present opportunities to gauge relative strength; DOGE/BTC, for instance, hit a low of 0.0000018 on June 19, 2025, at 11:00 AM UTC, signaling potential undervaluation against Bitcoin. Monitoring social media sentiment and volume spikes could also provide early signals of a reversal in this segment.

Technical indicators further underscore the bearish outlook for memecoins, with DOGE trading below its 50-day moving average of $0.14 as of June 19, 2025, at 1:00 PM UTC, and its Relative Strength Index (RSI) sitting at 32, indicating oversold conditions but no immediate reversal signal, based on TradingView data. SHIB mirrors this trend, with an RSI of 29 and a price below its 200-day moving average of $0.000022 on the same date and time. Volume analysis shows a consistent decline, with SHIB’s 24-hour trading volume dropping to $210 million on June 19, 2025, from a high of $1.2 billion in March 2024, per CoinGecko. In the broader market, the correlation between memecoins and major assets remains evident; Bitcoin’s dominance index rose to 54% on June 19, 2025, at 2:00 PM UTC, up from 50% in March 2024, suggesting capital rotation away from altcoins and memecoins into safer assets. For stock market correlations, memecoin sentiment often mirrors speculative tech stocks; the Nasdaq Composite, down 3% since May 2025 as of June 19 at 3:00 PM UTC per Yahoo Finance, reflects a similar risk-off attitude impacting crypto retail flows. Institutional money flow, tracked via Grayscale’s fund updates, shows reduced inflows into altcoin products, with only $12 million entering on June 18, 2025, compared to $50 million in March 2024, indicating waning interest.

This interplay between crypto and stock markets highlights a broader risk aversion trend. Memecoin traders should watch for macroeconomic triggers, such as Federal Reserve rate decisions, which often influence both Nasdaq movements and crypto sentiment. A potential trading opportunity lies in crypto-related stocks like Coinbase (COIN), which dropped 5% to $210 on June 19, 2025, at 4:00 PM UTC, correlating with lower crypto volumes, as reported by MarketWatch. If memecoin activity rebounds, such stocks could see parallel gains. Overall, while the trenches may feel deserted now, historical cycles suggest that quiet periods often precede renewed interest—provided traders time their entries with precision using volume and sentiment data.

FAQ:
What caused the memecoin market to become a wasteland in 2025?
The memecoin market saw a significant drop in activity due to retail investors entering at peak prices in early 2024, suffering losses as high as 52% for Dogecoin and 48% for Shiba Inu by June 19, 2025, and subsequently exiting, leading to reduced trading volumes and engagement.

Are there trading opportunities in memecoins during this quiet period?
Yes, the current low activity and oversold indicators like an RSI of 32 for DOGE and 29 for SHIB as of June 19, 2025, suggest potential entry points for long-term positions, especially in pairs like DOGE/BTC, though traders must monitor volume and sentiment for confirmation of a reversal.

kook

@KookCapitalLLC

Retired crypto hunter seeking 1000x gems through BullX strategies

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