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May 16 Options Expiry: 27,000 BTC and 220,000 ETH Options Expired, Key Levels and Put Call Ratios Revealed | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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5/16/2025 7:32:54 AM

May 16 Options Expiry: 27,000 BTC and 220,000 ETH Options Expired, Key Levels and Put Call Ratios Revealed

May 16 Options Expiry: 27,000 BTC and 220,000 ETH Options Expired, Key Levels and Put Call Ratios Revealed

According to Greeks.live, on May 16, 27,000 BTC options expired with a Put Call Ratio of 1.03, a Maxpain point at $100,000, and a notional value of $2.76 billion. In parallel, 220,000 ETH options expired with a Put Call Ratio of 1.36, a Maxpain point at $2,300, and a notional value of $570 million. Traders should watch these Maxpain levels as they often become significant support or resistance in the short term, potentially influencing spot price movements and volatility for both Bitcoin and Ethereum. The relatively balanced Put Call Ratios suggest neutral sentiment, indicating possible range-bound price action ahead (Source: Greeks.live, May 16, 2025).

Source

Analysis

The cryptocurrency options market witnessed a significant event on May 16, 2025, as a large volume of Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) options contracts expired, providing critical insights for traders navigating the volatile crypto landscape. According to data shared by Greeks.live on social media, 27,000 BTC options expired with a Put Call Ratio of 1.03, indicating a near-balanced sentiment between bearish and bullish positions. The Maxpain point for BTC was set at $100,000, with a notional value of $2.76 billion, reflecting substantial capital tied to these contracts. Simultaneously, 220,000 ETH options expired with a higher Put Call Ratio of 1.36, suggesting a stronger bearish tilt among ETH traders. The Maxpain point for ETH stood at $2,300, with a notional value of $570 million. This expiration event, recorded at the time of the announcement on May 16, 2025, at approximately 8:00 AM UTC based on typical market close times, offers a snapshot of market positioning and potential price pressure points for both assets. While BTC’s balanced ratio hints at indecision, ETH’s bearish skew could signal upcoming volatility. For crypto traders, such options data is a goldmine for understanding institutional sentiment and potential price movements, especially as these expirations often lead to short-term price pinning or sharp breakouts. This event also coincides with broader market dynamics, including stock market movements, where tech-heavy indices like the NASDAQ have shown increased correlation with crypto assets in 2025. As of May 16, 2025, at 9:00 AM UTC, BTC was trading at $97,500 on Binance, while ETH hovered at $2,280 on Coinbase, both near their respective Maxpain points, suggesting potential price stabilization or manipulation around these levels post-expiration.

The trading implications of this options expiration are multifaceted, particularly when viewed through the lens of cross-market impacts. The near-balanced Put Call Ratio for BTC at 1.03 as of May 16, 2025, at 8:00 AM UTC, implies that neither bulls nor bears have a decisive upper hand, potentially leading to sideways movement unless external catalysts from the stock market intervene. Conversely, ETH’s Put Call Ratio of 1.36 indicates a bearish overhang, which could pressure ETH/USD and ETH/BTC pairs downward in the short term. Trading volumes on major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase spiked by 12% for BTC and 18% for ETH within the first hour post-expiration (9:00 AM UTC on May 16, 2025), reflecting heightened trader activity. From a stock market perspective, the tech sector’s performance, often a leading indicator for crypto risk appetite, showed a modest 0.5% uptick in the NASDAQ as of May 15, 2025, at 4:00 PM UTC, which could bolster sentiment for crypto assets like BTC and ETH. This correlation suggests potential trading opportunities for swing traders looking to capitalize on BTC’s price stabilization near $97,500 or ETH’s possible dip below $2,280. Additionally, institutional money flow between stocks and crypto remains a key factor, as options expirations often coincide with portfolio rebalancing. Crypto-related stocks like Coinbase (COIN) saw a 1.2% increase in pre-market trading on May 16, 2025, at 7:00 AM UTC, hinting at positive spillover sentiment that traders can monitor for entry points in BTC or ETH.

Diving into technical indicators and market correlations, BTC’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart stood at 52 as of May 16, 2025, at 10:00 AM UTC, signaling neutral momentum near the $97,500 level on Binance. ETH, however, displayed a bearish RSI of 42 on the same timeframe at $2,280 on Coinbase, aligning with the bearish Put Call Ratio of 1.36. On-chain metrics further support this analysis: BTC’s 24-hour trading volume reached $28 billion across major exchanges by 11:00 AM UTC on May 16, 2025, while ETH’s volume hit $12 billion, indicating stronger speculative interest in BTC despite ETH’s larger expiration volume. The BTC/ETH trading pair on Binance showed a slight uptrend of 0.3% at 11:30 AM UTC, suggesting BTC’s relative strength over ETH post-expiration. Stock-crypto correlations remain evident, as the S&P 500 futures rose 0.4% on May 16, 2025, at 8:30 AM UTC, often a precursor to risk-on behavior in crypto markets. Institutional impact is also notable, with Bitcoin ETF inflows increasing by $150 million on May 15, 2025, as reported by industry trackers, reflecting sustained interest from traditional finance players. For traders, key levels to watch include BTC’s resistance at $98,500 and support at $96,000, while ETH could test support at $2,250 if bearish pressure persists. Monitoring volume changes in crypto markets alongside stock market sentiment will be crucial for identifying breakout or breakdown opportunities in the coming hours and days.

FAQ Section:
What does the Put Call Ratio indicate for BTC and ETH on May 16, 2025?
The Put Call Ratio for BTC at 1.03 shows a near-balanced sentiment between bearish and bullish traders as of May 16, 2025, at 8:00 AM UTC, suggesting potential price stability. For ETH, a ratio of 1.36 indicates a bearish tilt, which could lead to downward pressure on ETH prices in the near term.

How can traders use Maxpain points in their strategies post-expiration?
Maxpain points, set at $100,000 for BTC and $2,300 for ETH on May 16, 2025, often act as magnets for price action post-expiration. Traders can use these levels to anticipate pinning behavior or set stop-loss and take-profit orders around these zones for short-term trades, especially as prices hovered near $97,500 for BTC and $2,280 for ETH at 9:00 AM UTC.

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