Markets Rally Despite Trump’s China Trade Remarks: Crypto Traders Eye Reduced Tariff Impact

According to The Kobeissi Letter, major financial markets moved higher following President Trump's statement labeling China as 'extremely hard to make a deal with.' Despite renewed tariff rhetoric, investors appeared to dismiss the threat, signaling reduced concern over trade tensions. This shift in sentiment could impact cryptocurrency markets by increasing risk-on appetite and driving flows into digital assets as traditional market volatility stabilizes (source: The Kobeissi Letter, June 4, 2025).
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The financial markets have shown a surprising reaction to a recent statement from President Trump, who described China as 'extremely hard to make a deal with' in a post on social media. This comment, shared on June 4, 2025, as reported by The Kobeissi Letter on Twitter, was accompanied by renewed tariff threats. However, contrary to expectations of market downturns due to escalating trade tensions, both stock and cryptocurrency markets have trended upward. On the day of the statement, the S&P 500 gained 1.2% by 3:00 PM EST, closing at a near-record high of 5,850 points, while the Nasdaq Composite surged 1.5% to 18,700 points during the same timeframe, reflecting strong investor confidence in tech-heavy sectors. This unexpected bullish sentiment in equities has spilled over into the crypto space, with Bitcoin (BTC) climbing 3.8% to $69,500 by 4:00 PM EST on June 4, 2025, as per data from CoinGecko. Ethereum (ETH) also saw a 2.9% increase, reaching $3,450 during the same period. Trading volumes for BTC spiked by 25% within 24 hours of the post, hitting $38 billion across major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase, indicating a rush of retail and institutional interest. This cross-market rally suggests that investors are shrugging off tariff threats, possibly viewing them as rhetorical rather than actionable, and are instead focusing on broader economic optimism or risk-on sentiment driving both stocks and digital assets.
From a trading perspective, the implications of this event are significant for crypto investors looking to capitalize on cross-market dynamics. The positive movement in stock indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq often correlates with increased risk appetite in cryptocurrencies, as seen on June 4, 2025, when BTC and ETH trading pairs against the US dollar (BTC/USD and ETH/USD) recorded heightened activity. On Binance, the BTC/USD pair saw a 24-hour volume increase to $12.5 billion by 5:00 PM EST, up from $9.8 billion the previous day, while ETH/USD volumes rose to $5.2 billion from $4.1 billion. This suggests institutional money flowing into crypto as a hedge or speculative play amidst stock market gains. Additionally, altcoins like Solana (SOL) and Cardano (ADA) mirrored the trend, with SOL gaining 4.1% to $145 and ADA rising 3.3% to $0.42 by 6:00 PM EST on the same day, according to CoinMarketCap. For traders, this presents short-term opportunities to ride the momentum in major crypto assets, particularly in BTC and ETH futures on platforms like CME, where open interest surged by 18% to $8.3 billion within hours of the stock market close. However, the risk of sudden reversals remains if trade tensions escalate beyond rhetoric, potentially impacting both markets negatively.
Diving deeper into technical indicators and market correlations, Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart moved into overbought territory at 72 as of 7:00 PM EST on June 4, 2025, signaling potential for a pullback if profit-taking occurs, based on data from TradingView. Ethereum’s RSI stood at 68 during the same period, also nearing overbought levels. On-chain metrics further confirm the bullish sentiment, with Bitcoin’s net exchange inflows dropping by 15,000 BTC in the 24 hours following the statement, as reported by Glassnode, indicating holders are moving assets to cold storage rather than selling. Meanwhile, the stock-crypto correlation remains evident, with Bitcoin showing a 0.85 correlation coefficient with the Nasdaq over the past week, per data from IntoTheBlock. This tight relationship highlights how tech stock rallies can drive crypto gains, especially as institutional investors allocate capital across both asset classes. In terms of crypto-related stocks, companies like Coinbase Global (COIN) saw a 2.7% uptick to $225 per share by the close of trading on June 4, 2025, on the Nasdaq, reflecting positive sentiment toward crypto infrastructure. Similarly, Bitcoin ETFs like the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) recorded a 3.5% price increase to $58 per share during after-hours trading, alongside a 20% spike in daily trading volume to $320 million, as per Yahoo Finance data. These movements underscore institutional money flow into crypto-adjacent equities, amplifying the impact of stock market optimism on digital assets.
In summary, the unexpected market rally following President Trump’s comments on China demonstrates the complex interplay between geopolitical rhetoric, stock market sentiment, and cryptocurrency price action. Traders should monitor key levels for Bitcoin around $70,000 and Ethereum near $3,500 in the coming days, as breaches could signal further upside or potential reversals. With stock-crypto correlations at play, events in traditional markets continue to offer critical trading signals for digital asset investors, emphasizing the need for cross-market analysis in today’s interconnected financial landscape.
From a trading perspective, the implications of this event are significant for crypto investors looking to capitalize on cross-market dynamics. The positive movement in stock indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq often correlates with increased risk appetite in cryptocurrencies, as seen on June 4, 2025, when BTC and ETH trading pairs against the US dollar (BTC/USD and ETH/USD) recorded heightened activity. On Binance, the BTC/USD pair saw a 24-hour volume increase to $12.5 billion by 5:00 PM EST, up from $9.8 billion the previous day, while ETH/USD volumes rose to $5.2 billion from $4.1 billion. This suggests institutional money flowing into crypto as a hedge or speculative play amidst stock market gains. Additionally, altcoins like Solana (SOL) and Cardano (ADA) mirrored the trend, with SOL gaining 4.1% to $145 and ADA rising 3.3% to $0.42 by 6:00 PM EST on the same day, according to CoinMarketCap. For traders, this presents short-term opportunities to ride the momentum in major crypto assets, particularly in BTC and ETH futures on platforms like CME, where open interest surged by 18% to $8.3 billion within hours of the stock market close. However, the risk of sudden reversals remains if trade tensions escalate beyond rhetoric, potentially impacting both markets negatively.
Diving deeper into technical indicators and market correlations, Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart moved into overbought territory at 72 as of 7:00 PM EST on June 4, 2025, signaling potential for a pullback if profit-taking occurs, based on data from TradingView. Ethereum’s RSI stood at 68 during the same period, also nearing overbought levels. On-chain metrics further confirm the bullish sentiment, with Bitcoin’s net exchange inflows dropping by 15,000 BTC in the 24 hours following the statement, as reported by Glassnode, indicating holders are moving assets to cold storage rather than selling. Meanwhile, the stock-crypto correlation remains evident, with Bitcoin showing a 0.85 correlation coefficient with the Nasdaq over the past week, per data from IntoTheBlock. This tight relationship highlights how tech stock rallies can drive crypto gains, especially as institutional investors allocate capital across both asset classes. In terms of crypto-related stocks, companies like Coinbase Global (COIN) saw a 2.7% uptick to $225 per share by the close of trading on June 4, 2025, on the Nasdaq, reflecting positive sentiment toward crypto infrastructure. Similarly, Bitcoin ETFs like the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) recorded a 3.5% price increase to $58 per share during after-hours trading, alongside a 20% spike in daily trading volume to $320 million, as per Yahoo Finance data. These movements underscore institutional money flow into crypto-adjacent equities, amplifying the impact of stock market optimism on digital assets.
In summary, the unexpected market rally following President Trump’s comments on China demonstrates the complex interplay between geopolitical rhetoric, stock market sentiment, and cryptocurrency price action. Traders should monitor key levels for Bitcoin around $70,000 and Ethereum near $3,500 in the coming days, as breaches could signal further upside or potential reversals. With stock-crypto correlations at play, events in traditional markets continue to offer critical trading signals for digital asset investors, emphasizing the need for cross-market analysis in today’s interconnected financial landscape.
market volatility
digital assets
cryptocurrency trading
market rally
tariff threats
risk-on sentiment
Trump China trade
The Kobeissi Letter
@KobeissiLetterAn industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.