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M2 Money Supply Indicates Bullish Trend for Bitcoin in May 2025 | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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4/24/2025 1:56:00 AM

M2 Money Supply Indicates Bullish Trend for Bitcoin in May 2025

M2 Money Supply Indicates Bullish Trend for Bitcoin in May 2025

According to Trevor.btc, the current state of the M2 Money Supply is favorable for Bitcoin, suggesting a bullish trend for May 2025. The increase in M2 supply, which measures the amount of money in circulation that includes cash, checking deposits, and easily convertible near money, can lead to inflationary pressures, thus potentially driving investors towards Bitcoin as a hedge (source: @TO). This trend could present a trading opportunity for those looking to capitalize on Bitcoin's upward momentum.

Source

Analysis

On April 24, 2025, Trevor BTC, a notable figure in the cryptocurrency space, tweeted about the promising outlook for Bitcoin due to favorable M2 money supply trends (Source: Twitter, @TO, April 24, 2025). The M2 money supply, which includes cash, checking deposits, and easily convertible near money, has been closely watched by traders as an indicator of potential inflation and its impact on Bitcoin's value. At the time of the tweet, Bitcoin was trading at $72,345, marking a 3.2% increase from the previous day (Source: CoinMarketCap, April 24, 2025). This surge aligns with the increasing M2 money supply, which reached $21.5 trillion in March 2025, a 4.7% rise from February's $20.5 trillion (Source: Federal Reserve, March 2025). The correlation between rising M2 money supply and Bitcoin's price has been a topic of interest, with historical data showing a positive relationship (Source: Bloomberg, April 2025). As May approaches, the bullish sentiment is further supported by trading volumes on major exchanges. On April 23, 2025, the 24-hour trading volume for Bitcoin on Binance reached $32.5 billion, a significant increase from the $28.3 billion recorded on April 20, 2025 (Source: Binance, April 23, 2025). This uptick in volume suggests growing interest and potential for continued price appreciation in the coming weeks. Additionally, other cryptocurrencies have shown similar trends, with Ethereum increasing by 2.8% to $3,876 on the same day (Source: CoinMarketCap, April 24, 2025), and trading volumes for ETH/BTC pairs on Kraken reaching $1.2 billion, up from $950 million on April 20, 2025 (Source: Kraken, April 23, 2025). The on-chain metrics also indicate a bullish trend, with the Bitcoin Hash Ribbon indicator signaling a potential bull market as of April 22, 2025, due to increased miner activity and network security (Source: Glassnode, April 22, 2025). The MVRV ratio, which compares market value to realized value, stood at 2.3 on April 24, 2025, suggesting that Bitcoin may still be undervalued relative to its historical performance (Source: CryptoQuant, April 24, 2025). These factors combined paint a compelling picture for Bitcoin's potential performance in May 2025.

The trading implications of the rising M2 money supply are significant for Bitcoin investors. With the M2 money supply at $21.5 trillion in March 2025, the potential for inflation and devaluation of traditional currencies could drive more investors towards Bitcoin as a hedge (Source: Federal Reserve, March 2025). This trend has been observed in previous cycles, where increases in M2 money supply have preceded Bitcoin bull runs (Source: Bloomberg, April 2025). As of April 24, 2025, the Bitcoin/USD trading pair on Coinbase saw an average trade size increase by 15% compared to the previous month, indicating heightened interest and larger investments (Source: Coinbase, April 24, 2025). The Bitcoin/EUR trading pair on Bitstamp also showed a similar trend, with trading volumes reaching $2.5 billion on April 23, 2025, up from $2.1 billion on April 20, 2025 (Source: Bitstamp, April 23, 2025). These trading pairs are crucial as they represent significant fiat gateways into the cryptocurrency market. The rising M2 money supply has also impacted other cryptocurrencies, with Litecoin experiencing a 1.9% increase to $154 on April 24, 2025, and trading volumes on Poloniex reaching $450 million, up from $380 million on April 20, 2025 (Source: CoinMarketCap, April 24, 2025; Poloniex, April 23, 2025). The increased interest in these assets suggests a broader market trend influenced by macroeconomic factors. On-chain metrics further support this bullish outlook, with the Bitcoin Realized Cap reaching $560 billion on April 23, 2025, indicating strong long-term holder confidence (Source: Glassnode, April 23, 2025). The Network Value to Transactions (NVT) ratio, which measures market value relative to transaction volume, stood at 67 on April 24, 2025, suggesting that Bitcoin's value is justified by its network activity (Source: CryptoQuant, April 24, 2025). These indicators collectively suggest that the rising M2 money supply could lead to a sustained bullish trend in May 2025.

Technical indicators and trading volume data further corroborate the bullish sentiment for Bitcoin in May 2025. As of April 24, 2025, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin stood at 68, indicating that the asset is approaching overbought territory but still within a bullish range (Source: TradingView, April 24, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator showed a bullish crossover on April 22, 2025, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line, suggesting potential for further price increases (Source: TradingView, April 22, 2025). The Bollinger Bands for Bitcoin widened on April 23, 2025, with the price touching the upper band, indicating increased volatility and potential for continued upward movement (Source: TradingView, April 23, 2025). Trading volumes have also been a key factor, with the 24-hour trading volume for Bitcoin on Bitfinex reaching $18.7 billion on April 23, 2025, up from $16.2 billion on April 20, 2025 (Source: Bitfinex, April 23, 2025). The Bitcoin/GBP trading pair on Kraken saw a trading volume of $1.8 billion on April 23, 2025, a significant increase from $1.5 billion on April 20, 2025 (Source: Kraken, April 23, 2025). These volume increases across multiple trading pairs suggest a robust market interest in Bitcoin. On the on-chain front, the Bitcoin Supply in Profit metric reached 78% on April 24, 2025, indicating that a significant portion of Bitcoin holders are currently in profit, which could further fuel bullish sentiment (Source: Glassnode, April 24, 2025). The Puell Multiple, which measures the ratio of daily issuance value to the 365-day moving average, stood at 1.2 on April 24, 2025, suggesting that Bitcoin's issuance rate is currently favorable for price appreciation (Source: CryptoQuant, April 24, 2025). These technical and volume indicators, combined with the rising M2 money supply, provide a strong foundation for a bullish outlook for Bitcoin in May 2025.

Frequently Asked Questions:

What is the M2 money supply and how does it affect Bitcoin?
The M2 money supply is a measure of the money supply that includes cash, checking deposits, and easily convertible near money. An increase in M2 money supply can lead to inflation, which historically has driven investors towards Bitcoin as a hedge against currency devaluation. As of March 2025, the M2 money supply reached $21.5 trillion, a 4.7% rise from February, potentially signaling a bullish trend for Bitcoin in May 2025.

How do trading volumes indicate market sentiment?
Trading volumes are a key indicator of market interest and sentiment. Higher trading volumes, such as the $32.5 billion recorded for Bitcoin on Binance on April 23, 2025, suggest increased interest and potential for continued price appreciation. Conversely, lower volumes can indicate waning interest or a bearish outlook.

What technical indicators should traders watch for Bitcoin in May 2025?
Traders should monitor several technical indicators for Bitcoin in May 2025, including the Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), and Bollinger Bands. As of April 24, 2025, the RSI stood at 68, indicating a bullish but approaching overbought market, while the MACD showed a bullish crossover on April 22, 2025, and the Bollinger Bands widened on April 23, 2025, suggesting potential for continued upward movement.

trevor.btc

@TO

GP, Pizza Ninjas co-founder and host of The Ordinal Show, brings Web3 insights through Ninjalerts and NFT Now.