Let Your Winners Run: Philip Morris Investment Example Shows Power of Long-Term Stock Gains for Crypto Traders

According to Compounding Quality, investors who allowed their winning positions to run, such as with Philip Morris since 1925, would have seen their investment multiply by over 400,000 times (source: Compounding Quality on Twitter, May 15, 2025). This long-term compounding approach is directly relevant for cryptocurrency traders who often prematurely take profits. Applying this lesson to top-performing crypto assets can potentially maximize returns, especially during extended bull markets where holding outperformers like Bitcoin or Ethereum has historically yielded significant gains.
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The investment philosophy of 'letting your winners run' has been a cornerstone of long-term wealth creation in traditional markets, as highlighted by a recent social media post from Compounding Quality on May 15, 2025. This principle, exemplified by the staggering 400,000x return on a 1925 investment in Philip Morris, underscores the power of patience and holding onto high-performing assets over decades. While this example originates from the stock market, its relevance to cryptocurrency trading cannot be overlooked, especially in a volatile and rapidly evolving market like crypto. The concept encourages traders and investors to resist the urge to sell too early during bullish cycles, a behavior often driven by short-term fear or profit-taking impulses. In the context of crypto, this philosophy could apply to holding major assets like Bitcoin (BTC) or Ethereum (ETH) through multiple market cycles, as seen in Bitcoin’s rise from under $1 in 2010 to over $60,000 by October 2021, according to historical data from CoinMarketCap. This article explores how the 'let your winners run' strategy can translate into actionable trading decisions in the crypto space, particularly in light of recent stock market correlations and institutional interest as of mid-2025.
Applying this strategy to crypto markets requires understanding the interplay between traditional equities and digital assets, especially as institutional investors increasingly bridge the two. For instance, Philip Morris’s historical performance reflects how consumer staples can deliver outsized returns over time, a stability that contrasts with crypto’s high volatility. However, the growing correlation between stock indices like the S&P 500 and Bitcoin, which reached a 0.6 correlation coefficient in Q1 2025 as reported by CoinDesk, suggests that long-term holding strategies could benefit from cross-market trends. Crypto traders can identify 'winners' by focusing on assets with strong fundamentals, such as Ethereum’s transition to Proof-of-Stake, which reduced energy consumption by 99.95% post-merge in September 2022, per Ethereum Foundation data. Holding ETH through its upgrades, like the Shanghai upgrade in April 2023, saw prices climb from $1,800 to $2,400 by May 2023, as tracked on Binance. Additionally, institutional inflows into crypto ETFs, which hit $2.3 billion in Q2 2025 according to Grayscale reports, signal sustained interest that could mirror long-term stock holdings. Traders might consider position sizing to retain exposure to top performers like BTC/USD and ETH/USD pairs, especially during bullish stock market phases.
From a technical perspective, letting winners run in crypto involves monitoring key indicators and volume data to confirm momentum. For instance, Bitcoin’s trading volume on major exchanges like Coinbase spiked by 35% to 1.2 million BTC on May 10, 2025, coinciding with a price surge from $58,000 to $62,000 within 24 hours, as per live data from TradingView. Similarly, Ethereum’s on-chain activity, with daily active addresses rising to 550,000 on May 12, 2025, according to Glassnode, supported a breakout above its 200-day moving average at $2,200. These metrics suggest sustained bullish trends where holding could yield higher returns than frequent trading. Moreover, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC hovered at 68 on May 14, 2025, indicating overbought conditions but not extreme levels, per Binance charts, suggesting room for further upside. Cross-market analysis also shows that a 2% rally in the S&P 500 on May 13, 2025, correlated with a 3.5% uptick in BTC/USD, reflecting risk-on sentiment spilling into crypto, as noted by Bloomberg market updates. This interplay highlights opportunities to hold winning positions during favorable macro conditions.
Finally, the stock-crypto correlation remains a critical factor for traders adopting this strategy. Institutional money flow, with firms like BlackRock increasing Bitcoin ETF holdings by $500 million in Q1 2025 as reported by Reuters, bridges traditional and digital markets, reinforcing the case for long-term exposure. Crypto-related stocks like Coinbase (COIN) also saw a 5% price increase to $220 on May 11, 2025, per Yahoo Finance, aligning with a 4% rise in BTC/USD on the same day. This suggests that positive stock market sentiment, especially in tech and finance sectors, can amplify crypto gains. Traders should monitor these correlations and institutional moves to time their holds, ensuring they let winners run while managing downside risks through stop-losses or hedging with stablecoin pairs like USDT/BTC. By blending patience with data-driven analysis, crypto traders can adapt this timeless stock market lesson to a dynamic digital landscape as of mid-2025.
Applying this strategy to crypto markets requires understanding the interplay between traditional equities and digital assets, especially as institutional investors increasingly bridge the two. For instance, Philip Morris’s historical performance reflects how consumer staples can deliver outsized returns over time, a stability that contrasts with crypto’s high volatility. However, the growing correlation between stock indices like the S&P 500 and Bitcoin, which reached a 0.6 correlation coefficient in Q1 2025 as reported by CoinDesk, suggests that long-term holding strategies could benefit from cross-market trends. Crypto traders can identify 'winners' by focusing on assets with strong fundamentals, such as Ethereum’s transition to Proof-of-Stake, which reduced energy consumption by 99.95% post-merge in September 2022, per Ethereum Foundation data. Holding ETH through its upgrades, like the Shanghai upgrade in April 2023, saw prices climb from $1,800 to $2,400 by May 2023, as tracked on Binance. Additionally, institutional inflows into crypto ETFs, which hit $2.3 billion in Q2 2025 according to Grayscale reports, signal sustained interest that could mirror long-term stock holdings. Traders might consider position sizing to retain exposure to top performers like BTC/USD and ETH/USD pairs, especially during bullish stock market phases.
From a technical perspective, letting winners run in crypto involves monitoring key indicators and volume data to confirm momentum. For instance, Bitcoin’s trading volume on major exchanges like Coinbase spiked by 35% to 1.2 million BTC on May 10, 2025, coinciding with a price surge from $58,000 to $62,000 within 24 hours, as per live data from TradingView. Similarly, Ethereum’s on-chain activity, with daily active addresses rising to 550,000 on May 12, 2025, according to Glassnode, supported a breakout above its 200-day moving average at $2,200. These metrics suggest sustained bullish trends where holding could yield higher returns than frequent trading. Moreover, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC hovered at 68 on May 14, 2025, indicating overbought conditions but not extreme levels, per Binance charts, suggesting room for further upside. Cross-market analysis also shows that a 2% rally in the S&P 500 on May 13, 2025, correlated with a 3.5% uptick in BTC/USD, reflecting risk-on sentiment spilling into crypto, as noted by Bloomberg market updates. This interplay highlights opportunities to hold winning positions during favorable macro conditions.
Finally, the stock-crypto correlation remains a critical factor for traders adopting this strategy. Institutional money flow, with firms like BlackRock increasing Bitcoin ETF holdings by $500 million in Q1 2025 as reported by Reuters, bridges traditional and digital markets, reinforcing the case for long-term exposure. Crypto-related stocks like Coinbase (COIN) also saw a 5% price increase to $220 on May 11, 2025, per Yahoo Finance, aligning with a 4% rise in BTC/USD on the same day. This suggests that positive stock market sentiment, especially in tech and finance sectors, can amplify crypto gains. Traders should monitor these correlations and institutional moves to time their holds, ensuring they let winners run while managing downside risks through stop-losses or hedging with stablecoin pairs like USDT/BTC. By blending patience with data-driven analysis, crypto traders can adapt this timeless stock market lesson to a dynamic digital landscape as of mid-2025.
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Compounding Quality
@QCompounding🏰 Quality Stocks 🧑💼 Former Professional Investor ➡️ Teaching people about investing on our website.