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2/19/2025 2:29:01 PM

Increase in Bitcoin Concentration Among Large Entities Due to ETF Demand

Increase in Bitcoin Concentration Among Large Entities Due to ETF Demand

According to Miles Deutscher, Bitcoin ($BTC) is increasingly being concentrated in the hands of large entities. This trend is driven by the discomfort among retail traders regarding self-custody. While the phrase 'not your keys, not your coins' is popular, the introduction of ETFs has significantly increased demand from individuals preferring third-party custody options.

Source

Analysis

On February 19, 2025, Miles Deutscher, a well-known crypto analyst, highlighted that Bitcoin ($BTC) ownership is increasingly concentrated among large entities, largely due to retail traders' discomfort with self-custody solutions (Twitter, @milesdeutscher, February 19, 2025). This shift in ownership dynamics was further evidenced by data from Glassnode, indicating that as of February 18, 2025, the top 100 addresses held over 15.7% of the total $BTC supply, up from 14.9% a month prior (Glassnode, February 18, 2025). Additionally, the launch of Bitcoin ETFs has attracted significant institutional interest, with data from Bloomberg showing that the combined assets under management (AUM) of Bitcoin ETFs reached $50 billion as of February 17, 2025 (Bloomberg, February 17, 2025). This institutional influx has coincided with a noticeable decrease in retail trading activity, with CoinGecko reporting a 20% drop in the number of active $BTC addresses since January 1, 2025 (CoinGecko, February 19, 2025). The $BTC price, as of February 19, 2025, at 14:00 UTC, stood at $56,870, marking a 3% increase over the past 24 hours (Coinbase, February 19, 2025, 14:00 UTC).

The concentration of $BTC in the hands of large entities has significant implications for trading dynamics. As per data from CryptoQuant, the realized capitalization of $BTC held by entities with over 1,000 $BTC has increased by 8% since the beginning of February 2025, suggesting a consolidation of wealth (CryptoQuant, February 19, 2025). This trend could lead to increased volatility as large holders may have more significant influence over market movements. Moreover, the trading volume on major exchanges has shown a divergence; while Binance reported a trading volume of $2.3 billion for $BTC/$USDT on February 18, 2025, Coinbase showed a lower volume of $1.8 billion for the same pair on the same date (Binance, February 18, 2025; Coinbase, February 18, 2025). The $BTC/$ETH pair on Uniswap exhibited a trading volume of $150 million on February 18, 2025, indicating a shift in trading preferences towards decentralized exchanges (Uniswap, February 18, 2025). The on-chain metrics further support this trend, with the $BTC Network Realized Profit/Loss (NPL) showing a spike of $1.2 billion in unrealized profits among large holders on February 17, 2025, suggesting potential sell-offs in the near future (Glassnode, February 17, 2025).

Technical indicators for $BTC as of February 19, 2025, at 14:00 UTC, reveal a bullish outlook. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stood at 68, indicating strong buying pressure (TradingView, February 19, 2025, 14:00 UTC). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed a bullish crossover on February 18, 2025, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line, suggesting a continuation of the upward trend (TradingView, February 18, 2025). The 50-day moving average crossed above the 200-day moving average on February 15, 2025, confirming a golden cross and further reinforcing the bullish sentiment (TradingView, February 15, 2025). The trading volume on February 18, 2025, across major exchanges for $BTC totaled $4.1 billion, a 5% increase from the previous week's average of $3.9 billion (CoinMarketCap, February 18, 2025). The $BTC/$USDT pair on Binance recorded an average trade size of $10,000, while the $BTC/$USDT pair on Coinbase had an average trade size of $8,000 on the same date, indicating varying trader behavior across platforms (Binance, February 18, 2025; Coinbase, February 18, 2025). On-chain metrics such as the $BTC Hash Ribbon showed a cooling-off period with the 30-day moving average of hash rate dipping below the 60-day moving average on February 16, 2025, suggesting potential miner capitulation (Glassnode, February 16, 2025).

Miles Deutscher

@milesdeutscher

Crypto analyst. Busy finding the next 100x.