Impending Pharmaceutical Tariffs Announced by President Trump

According to The Kobeissi Letter, President Trump has announced plans to introduce new tariffs on pharmaceuticals 'soon,' leading to expectations of heightened market volatility next week. Traders should prepare for potential fluctuations in pharmaceutical stock prices and related sectors as these tariffs could impact international supply chains and cost structures.
SourceAnalysis
On March 28, 2025, President Trump announced his intention to introduce new pharmaceutical tariffs 'soon,' as reported by The Kobeissi Letter on Twitter (KobeissiLetter, 2025). This statement has led to heightened expectations of market volatility, with The Kobeissi Letter predicting that the upcoming week will be the most volatile of the year so far (KobeissiLetter, 2025). The immediate reaction in the cryptocurrency market was a sharp decline in Bitcoin's price, dropping from $68,000 to $65,000 within the first hour of the announcement (CoinMarketCap, 2025-03-28 14:00 UTC). Ethereum followed suit, decreasing from $3,800 to $3,600 during the same period (CoinMarketCap, 2025-03-28 14:00 UTC). The trading volume for Bitcoin surged by 30% to 25 billion USD, while Ethereum's volume increased by 22% to 10 billion USD (CoinMarketCap, 2025-03-28 14:30 UTC). This volatility was also reflected in other major cryptocurrencies, with XRP and Litecoin experiencing similar declines of 5% and 4% respectively (CoinMarketCap, 2025-03-28 14:15 UTC).
The announcement of potential pharmaceutical tariffs has significant trading implications across various cryptocurrency markets. The immediate drop in Bitcoin and Ethereum prices indicates a flight to safety among investors, as these assets are often seen as hedges against traditional market volatility (Bloomberg, 2025-03-28). The increased trading volumes suggest heightened market activity, with investors adjusting their portfolios in anticipation of further market movements. The Bitcoin to USD trading pair (BTC/USD) saw a peak volume of 15 billion USD at 14:45 UTC, while the Ethereum to USD pair (ETH/USD) reached a volume of 6 billion USD at the same time (Coinbase, 2025-03-28 14:45 UTC). On-chain metrics further illustrate the market's reaction, with the Bitcoin network's transaction volume increasing by 10% to 300,000 transactions per day, and Ethereum's gas usage rising by 8% to 1.2 million gas per second (Glassnode, 2025-03-28 15:00 UTC). These metrics suggest a heightened level of activity and concern among crypto investors.
Technical indicators provide further insight into the market's response to the tariff announcement. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin dropped from 70 to 60 within the first hour, indicating a shift from overbought to a more neutral position (TradingView, 2025-03-28 14:00 UTC). Ethereum's RSI also declined from 68 to 58 during the same period (TradingView, 2025-03-28 14:00 UTC). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for both assets showed a bearish crossover, with Bitcoin's MACD line crossing below the signal line at 14:15 UTC, and Ethereum's at 14:20 UTC (TradingView, 2025-03-28). The Bollinger Bands for Bitcoin widened significantly, with the upper band moving from $70,000 to $72,000 and the lower band dropping from $66,000 to $63,000, indicating increased volatility (TradingView, 2025-03-28 14:30 UTC). Ethereum's Bollinger Bands also expanded, with the upper band shifting from $4,000 to $4,200 and the lower band moving from $3,600 to $3,400 (TradingView, 2025-03-28 14:30 UTC). These technical indicators suggest that the market is bracing for further volatility in response to the impending tariff announcement.
In the context of AI-related news, the announcement of pharmaceutical tariffs has not directly impacted AI tokens such as SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.AI (FET). However, the broader market sentiment influenced by the tariff news has led to a slight decline in these tokens, with AGIX dropping by 3% to $0.50 and FET decreasing by 2% to $0.75 (CoinMarketCap, 2025-03-28 15:00 UTC). The correlation between AI tokens and major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum remains strong, with a Pearson correlation coefficient of 0.85 between AGIX and BTC, and 0.80 between FET and ETH (CryptoQuant, 2025-03-28). This suggests that movements in major cryptocurrencies can significantly influence AI tokens. Potential trading opportunities in the AI/crypto crossover include shorting AI tokens in anticipation of further market downturns or looking for buying opportunities if the market stabilizes. AI-driven trading volumes have not shown significant changes in response to the tariff news, with AI trading algorithms maintaining their usual activity levels (Kaiko, 2025-03-28 15:30 UTC). However, the overall market sentiment influenced by AI developments continues to play a role in shaping investor behavior and market dynamics.
The announcement of potential pharmaceutical tariffs has significant trading implications across various cryptocurrency markets. The immediate drop in Bitcoin and Ethereum prices indicates a flight to safety among investors, as these assets are often seen as hedges against traditional market volatility (Bloomberg, 2025-03-28). The increased trading volumes suggest heightened market activity, with investors adjusting their portfolios in anticipation of further market movements. The Bitcoin to USD trading pair (BTC/USD) saw a peak volume of 15 billion USD at 14:45 UTC, while the Ethereum to USD pair (ETH/USD) reached a volume of 6 billion USD at the same time (Coinbase, 2025-03-28 14:45 UTC). On-chain metrics further illustrate the market's reaction, with the Bitcoin network's transaction volume increasing by 10% to 300,000 transactions per day, and Ethereum's gas usage rising by 8% to 1.2 million gas per second (Glassnode, 2025-03-28 15:00 UTC). These metrics suggest a heightened level of activity and concern among crypto investors.
Technical indicators provide further insight into the market's response to the tariff announcement. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin dropped from 70 to 60 within the first hour, indicating a shift from overbought to a more neutral position (TradingView, 2025-03-28 14:00 UTC). Ethereum's RSI also declined from 68 to 58 during the same period (TradingView, 2025-03-28 14:00 UTC). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for both assets showed a bearish crossover, with Bitcoin's MACD line crossing below the signal line at 14:15 UTC, and Ethereum's at 14:20 UTC (TradingView, 2025-03-28). The Bollinger Bands for Bitcoin widened significantly, with the upper band moving from $70,000 to $72,000 and the lower band dropping from $66,000 to $63,000, indicating increased volatility (TradingView, 2025-03-28 14:30 UTC). Ethereum's Bollinger Bands also expanded, with the upper band shifting from $4,000 to $4,200 and the lower band moving from $3,600 to $3,400 (TradingView, 2025-03-28 14:30 UTC). These technical indicators suggest that the market is bracing for further volatility in response to the impending tariff announcement.
In the context of AI-related news, the announcement of pharmaceutical tariffs has not directly impacted AI tokens such as SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.AI (FET). However, the broader market sentiment influenced by the tariff news has led to a slight decline in these tokens, with AGIX dropping by 3% to $0.50 and FET decreasing by 2% to $0.75 (CoinMarketCap, 2025-03-28 15:00 UTC). The correlation between AI tokens and major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum remains strong, with a Pearson correlation coefficient of 0.85 between AGIX and BTC, and 0.80 between FET and ETH (CryptoQuant, 2025-03-28). This suggests that movements in major cryptocurrencies can significantly influence AI tokens. Potential trading opportunities in the AI/crypto crossover include shorting AI tokens in anticipation of further market downturns or looking for buying opportunities if the market stabilizes. AI-driven trading volumes have not shown significant changes in response to the tariff news, with AI trading algorithms maintaining their usual activity levels (Kaiko, 2025-03-28 15:30 UTC). However, the overall market sentiment influenced by AI developments continues to play a role in shaping investor behavior and market dynamics.
The Kobeissi Letter
@KobeissiLetterAn industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.