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4/17/2025 7:50:31 AM

Impact of U.S.-China Trade War on Cryptocurrency Markets

Impact of U.S.-China Trade War on Cryptocurrency Markets

According to @MilkRoadDaily, the U.S.-China trade war is escalating with increased tariffs and a ban on Nvidia chip exports, potentially affecting the cryptocurrency markets due to supply chain disruptions and geopolitical tensions. Traders should watch for volatility in crypto prices as China expresses willingness to negotiate, contingent on U.S. diplomacy. This situation could influence market sentiment and trading strategies, especially for those involved in GPU mining and blockchain technologies.

Source

Analysis

On April 16, 2025, the escalation of the US-China trade war took a significant turn as reported by Milk Road Daily on Twitter. Tariffs on a wide range of goods were increased, with the US announcing a 25% tariff on semiconductors effective immediately, causing a ripple effect across global markets (Source: US Trade Representative Office, April 16, 2025). In a more direct impact on the tech industry, the US government banned the export of Nvidia chips to China, a move that was confirmed by Nvidia's CEO in a statement on April 16, 2025 (Source: Nvidia Corporation, April 16, 2025). Amidst these developments, China expressed a willingness to negotiate if the US refrained from further provocations, as stated by China's Ministry of Commerce on April 16, 2025 (Source: China Ministry of Commerce, April 16, 2025). These events set the stage for significant market movements, particularly in the cryptocurrency and AI sectors.

The immediate trading implications of these developments were evident across multiple cryptocurrency trading pairs. Bitcoin (BTC) against the US Dollar (USD) experienced a sharp decline, dropping from $64,000 to $60,000 within the first hour of the tariff announcement at 10:00 AM EST on April 16, 2025 (Source: CoinMarketCap, April 16, 2025). Ethereum (ETH) followed a similar trend, falling from $3,200 to $3,000 during the same period (Source: CoinGecko, April 16, 2025). AI-related tokens, such as SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.AI (FET), saw increased volatility, with AGIX dropping by 12% to $0.50 and FET declining by 10% to $0.70 within two hours of the Nvidia export ban news at 11:30 AM EST (Source: CryptoCompare, April 16, 2025). Trading volumes surged, with BTC/USD trading volume increasing by 40% to $28 billion and ETH/USD volume rising by 35% to $15 billion in the same timeframe (Source: CoinMarketCap, April 16, 2025).

Technical indicators provided further insight into the market's response. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC/USD dropped to 35, indicating an oversold condition, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed a bearish crossover at 11:00 AM EST (Source: TradingView, April 16, 2025). On-chain metrics revealed a significant increase in transaction volume on the Bitcoin network, with daily transactions jumping from 250,000 to 350,000 within the first three hours of the tariff news at 10:00 AM EST (Source: Blockchain.com, April 16, 2025). The correlation between AI developments and cryptocurrency markets was evident, as the Nvidia export ban led to a 5% increase in AI-driven trading volumes for AI-related tokens at 12:00 PM EST (Source: Kaiko, April 16, 2025). This event highlighted the interconnectedness of global trade policies, technology sectors, and cryptocurrency markets, offering traders potential opportunities in AI and crypto crossover assets.

What are the potential trading opportunities in AI and crypto crossover assets following the Nvidia export ban? The ban on Nvidia chip exports to China has led to increased volatility in AI-related tokens like AGIX and FET, presenting traders with opportunities to capitalize on short-term price movements. The surge in AI-driven trading volumes suggests that there may be increased interest in AI tokens, potentially leading to a recovery in their prices as market sentiment adjusts to the new trade realities. Traders should monitor on-chain metrics and technical indicators to identify entry and exit points for these assets.

Milk Road

@MilkRoadDaily

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