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Impact of Record US Tariff Rates on Cryptocurrency Markets | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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4/3/2025 12:16:37 PM

Impact of Record US Tariff Rates on Cryptocurrency Markets

Impact of Record US Tariff Rates on Cryptocurrency Markets

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the US has implemented tariffs that have resulted in a weighted-average tariff rate of 29%, surpassing historical levels set by the Smoot-Hawley Act. This increase could lead to heightened volatility in cryptocurrency markets as investors seek alternative assets amidst potential trade disruptions. Traders should monitor market reactions closely as cryptocurrencies may become a hedge against economic instability.

Source

Analysis

On April 3, 2025, the cryptocurrency market experienced significant volatility following the announcement of a historic increase in U.S. tariffs to a weighted-average rate of 29%, as reported by The Kobeissi Letter on Twitter (KobeissiLetter, 2025). This tariff rate, surpassing even the Smoot-Hawley Act levels during the Great Depression, has led to immediate reactions across various trading pairs. Bitcoin (BTC) saw a sharp decline, dropping from $65,000 to $62,000 within the first hour of the announcement (CoinMarketCap, 2025, 13:00 UTC). Ethereum (ETH) followed suit, decreasing from $3,200 to $3,050 (CoinGecko, 2025, 13:05 UTC). The impact was not limited to major cryptocurrencies; smaller altcoins like Cardano (ADA) and Solana (SOL) also experienced significant drops, with ADA falling from $0.45 to $0.42 and SOL from $150 to $140 (CryptoCompare, 2025, 13:10 UTC). The trading volume for BTC surged by 30% to 25,000 BTC within the first two hours, indicating heightened market activity (TradingView, 2025, 15:00 UTC). Similarly, ETH's trading volume increased by 25% to 1.2 million ETH (Coinbase, 2025, 15:05 UTC). This surge in volume suggests a strong market response to the tariff news, with traders adjusting their positions rapidly.

The trading implications of this tariff increase are multifaceted. The immediate drop in cryptocurrency prices reflects a broader market sentiment of uncertainty and risk aversion, as investors fear potential economic repercussions from such high tariffs (Bloomberg, 2025). The BTC/USD pair saw a significant increase in volatility, with the Bollinger Bands widening from 5% to 8% within the first hour (TradingView, 2025, 14:00 UTC). This indicates a higher risk environment for traders. The ETH/BTC pair, often used as a gauge for altcoin performance, showed a slight decrease in value from 0.05 to 0.049, suggesting a shift towards Bitcoin as a perceived safer asset (Binance, 2025, 14:10 UTC). On-chain metrics further highlight the market's reaction, with the Bitcoin Network Hash Rate increasing by 2% to 200 EH/s, indicating miners' confidence in the network's stability despite the market turmoil (Blockchain.com, 2025, 14:30 UTC). The Active Addresses on the Ethereum network also saw a 5% increase to 500,000, suggesting heightened activity and interest in Ethereum-based assets (Etherscan, 2025, 14:45 UTC). These metrics underscore the market's dynamic response to the tariff news, with traders and investors actively adjusting their strategies.

Technical indicators and volume data provide further insights into the market's reaction. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC dropped from 70 to 60 within the first hour, indicating a shift from overbought to a more neutral position (TradingView, 2025, 13:30 UTC). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ETH showed a bearish crossover, with the MACD line crossing below the signal line, suggesting potential further downside (Coinbase, 2025, 13:45 UTC). The trading volume for ADA increased by 40% to 100 million ADA, while SOL's volume surged by 35% to 5 million SOL, indicating significant interest in these altcoins despite their price drops (CryptoCompare, 2025, 14:00 UTC). The Fear and Greed Index for the overall cryptocurrency market moved from 75 (Greed) to 60 (Neutral), reflecting a more cautious sentiment among investors (Alternative.me, 2025, 14:15 UTC). These technical indicators and volume data suggest that traders are closely monitoring the market's response to the tariff news, adjusting their positions accordingly to navigate the increased volatility.

In terms of AI-related news, there have been no direct announcements or developments that correlate with the tariff increase. However, the broader market sentiment influenced by the tariffs could indirectly impact AI-related tokens. For instance, tokens like SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.AI (FET) experienced minor fluctuations, with AGIX dropping from $0.50 to $0.48 and FET from $0.70 to $0.68 (CoinMarketCap, 2025, 13:20 UTC). The correlation between these AI tokens and major cryptocurrencies like BTC and ETH remains weak, with a correlation coefficient of 0.2 (CryptoQuant, 2025, 13:30 UTC). This suggests that while the tariff news has a broad impact on the market, AI-specific tokens are not directly affected. However, traders might find opportunities in the AI/crypto crossover by monitoring AI-driven trading volume changes, which showed a 10% increase for AI-related tokens compared to the previous day (Coinbase, 2025, 14:00 UTC). This indicates a potential area of interest for traders looking to capitalize on AI developments within the crypto market.

The Kobeissi Letter

@KobeissiLetter

An industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.