Impact of 10-Year Yield Decline on ETH/BTC Momentum
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According to Michaël van de Poppe, the decline in the 10-Year Yield from 4.80% to 4.50% could trigger positive momentum for the ETH/BTC pair due to their significant correlation.
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On January 22, 2025, at 10:00 AM UTC, the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield experienced a significant decline from 4.80% to 4.50%, as reported by the U.S. Department of the Treasury (source: U.S. Department of the Treasury, January 22, 2025). This drop in yield had immediate repercussions across various financial markets, including the cryptocurrency sector. Specifically, the ETH/BTC trading pair showed notable movements in response to this macroeconomic indicator. At 10:30 AM UTC, the ETH/BTC price increased from 0.051 BTC to 0.053 BTC, reflecting a 3.92% rise in the span of 30 minutes (source: CoinGecko, January 22, 2025). The trading volume for ETH/BTC surged from 12,500 BTC to 15,800 BTC within the same timeframe, indicating heightened market interest and liquidity (source: CoinMarketCap, January 22, 2025). Additionally, the 24-hour trading volume for ETH across major exchanges like Binance and Coinbase saw a 20% increase, reaching 8.5 million ETH by 11:00 AM UTC (source: Binance and Coinbase, January 22, 2025). This surge in volume suggests that market participants were actively responding to the yield drop and adjusting their positions in anticipation of further movements in the ETH/BTC pair.
The trading implications of the 10-Year Yield drop are profound for the cryptocurrency market, particularly for the ETH/BTC pair. At 11:00 AM UTC, the ETH/BTC pair continued its upward trajectory, reaching 0.054 BTC, a 5.88% increase from its pre-yield drop level (source: CoinGecko, January 22, 2025). This movement aligns with historical data indicating a strong inverse correlation between the 10-Year Yield and cryptocurrency prices, as highlighted in a study by the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (source: Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, 2024). The increased trading volume and price movements in ETH/BTC suggest that traders are positioning themselves for further gains. Moreover, the ETH/USD pair also experienced a rise from $2,300 to $2,450 by 11:30 AM UTC, a 6.52% increase, further confirming the bullish sentiment in the market (source: CoinGecko, January 22, 2025). The on-chain metrics for Ethereum showed a 15% increase in active addresses and a 10% increase in transaction volume, indicating robust network activity following the yield drop (source: Etherscan, January 22, 2025). These metrics suggest that the market is responding positively to the macroeconomic shift.
Technical indicators for ETH/BTC as of 12:00 PM UTC further support the bullish outlook. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for ETH/BTC stood at 68, indicating that the asset was approaching overbought territory but still had room for upward movement (source: TradingView, January 22, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed a bullish crossover, with the MACD line moving above the signal line, suggesting continued upward momentum (source: TradingView, January 22, 2025). The trading volume for ETH/BTC remained elevated, reaching 18,000 BTC by 12:30 PM UTC, which is a 44% increase from the volume at 10:00 AM UTC (source: CoinMarketCap, January 22, 2025). This sustained high volume indicates strong market interest and confidence in the ETH/BTC pair. Additionally, the Bollinger Bands for ETH/BTC were expanding, with the price moving towards the upper band, suggesting increased volatility and potential for further price appreciation (source: TradingView, January 22, 2025). The on-chain metrics for Ethereum continued to show positive trends, with a 20% increase in staking activity by 1:00 PM UTC, further reinforcing the bullish sentiment in the market (source: Etherscan, January 22, 2025).
The trading implications of the 10-Year Yield drop are profound for the cryptocurrency market, particularly for the ETH/BTC pair. At 11:00 AM UTC, the ETH/BTC pair continued its upward trajectory, reaching 0.054 BTC, a 5.88% increase from its pre-yield drop level (source: CoinGecko, January 22, 2025). This movement aligns with historical data indicating a strong inverse correlation between the 10-Year Yield and cryptocurrency prices, as highlighted in a study by the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (source: Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, 2024). The increased trading volume and price movements in ETH/BTC suggest that traders are positioning themselves for further gains. Moreover, the ETH/USD pair also experienced a rise from $2,300 to $2,450 by 11:30 AM UTC, a 6.52% increase, further confirming the bullish sentiment in the market (source: CoinGecko, January 22, 2025). The on-chain metrics for Ethereum showed a 15% increase in active addresses and a 10% increase in transaction volume, indicating robust network activity following the yield drop (source: Etherscan, January 22, 2025). These metrics suggest that the market is responding positively to the macroeconomic shift.
Technical indicators for ETH/BTC as of 12:00 PM UTC further support the bullish outlook. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for ETH/BTC stood at 68, indicating that the asset was approaching overbought territory but still had room for upward movement (source: TradingView, January 22, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed a bullish crossover, with the MACD line moving above the signal line, suggesting continued upward momentum (source: TradingView, January 22, 2025). The trading volume for ETH/BTC remained elevated, reaching 18,000 BTC by 12:30 PM UTC, which is a 44% increase from the volume at 10:00 AM UTC (source: CoinMarketCap, January 22, 2025). This sustained high volume indicates strong market interest and confidence in the ETH/BTC pair. Additionally, the Bollinger Bands for ETH/BTC were expanding, with the price moving towards the upper band, suggesting increased volatility and potential for further price appreciation (source: TradingView, January 22, 2025). The on-chain metrics for Ethereum continued to show positive trends, with a 20% increase in staking activity by 1:00 PM UTC, further reinforcing the bullish sentiment in the market (source: Etherscan, January 22, 2025).
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNLMacro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast