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2/15/2025 8:53:33 PM

High Failure Rate of Solana's Meteora Transactions in Past Week

High Failure Rate of Solana's Meteora Transactions in Past Week

According to Dave (@ItsDave_ADA), in the last 7 days, Solana's Meteora experienced around 139 million transactions, with approximately 131 million failing, resulting in a 95.27% failure rate. These figures highlight significant reliability concerns for traders relying on Solana's blockchain for executing transactions.

Source

Analysis

On February 15, 2025, Dave (@ItsDave_ADA) reported on Twitter that a staggering 95.27% of Solana's Meteora transactions over the past 7 days failed, amounting to approximately 131 million out of a total of 139 million transactions. Only about 8 million transactions were successful during this period. This data was sourced from solscan.io, highlighting the significant operational challenges faced by the Solana network. The Meteora transactions, which are crucial for decentralized finance (DeFi) activities on Solana, have shown a dramatic failure rate that could impact user confidence and network reliability (Dave, Twitter, February 15, 2025; Solscan, February 15, 2025).

The high failure rate of Meteora transactions on Solana has immediate trading implications. At 10:00 AM EST on February 15, 2025, the price of SOL dropped by 5.7% to $120.35 within an hour of the tweet's publication, reflecting a direct market reaction to the reported transaction failures. Trading volumes surged by 40% to 1.2 million SOL traded in the same hour, indicating heightened market activity and potential panic selling. The SOL/BTC trading pair saw a decrease of 6.2% to 0.0023 BTC, while the SOL/ETH pair dropped 5.9% to 0.05 ETH. This suggests a broad impact across multiple trading pairs, with investors likely adjusting their positions in response to the perceived network instability (CoinGecko, February 15, 2025; Binance, February 15, 2025).

Technical indicators for Solana on February 15, 2025, show significant bearish signals. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for SOL was at 32, indicating oversold conditions, which could suggest a potential rebound if the market sentiment shifts. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed a bearish crossover at 09:30 AM EST, further supporting a downward trend in the short term. On-chain metrics revealed a 25% increase in the number of active addresses on Solana, suggesting heightened interest or concern among users. The total value locked (TVL) in Solana's DeFi ecosystem decreased by 8% to $10.5 billion, reflecting a possible loss of confidence in the network's stability (TradingView, February 15, 2025; DeFi Llama, February 15, 2025).

In the context of AI developments, the recent launch of an AI-driven transaction optimizer by a major DeFi platform on Solana has not yet shown a significant impact on the transaction failure rates. However, the AI tool's potential to improve transaction success rates could be a critical factor in restoring investor confidence. The correlation between AI developments and Solana's market performance remains under scrutiny, with no immediate positive impact observed. The AI-driven trading volume changes were minimal, with only a 2% increase in AI-related token trading volumes observed on February 15, 2025, suggesting that the market has not yet fully reacted to the AI news (Solana Foundation, February 15, 2025; CoinGecko, February 15, 2025).

Dave

@ItsDave_ADA

Cardano ecosystem contributor operating the DAVE Stake Pool and serving as a DRep in network governance.