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2/13/2025 2:41:06 PM

Hedge Funds Reverse Course, Net Buyers of US Equities for Five Days

Hedge Funds Reverse Course, Net Buyers of US Equities for Five Days

According to The Kobeissi Letter, hedge funds became net buyers of US equities for five consecutive days last week at the fastest rate observed since November 2024. This marks a significant shift from the preceding five weeks characterized by net selling activity. As a consequence, US single stocks experienced their most substantial net purchase in over three years, signaling a potential shift in market sentiment and strategy for traders.

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Analysis

On February 13, 2025, hedge funds demonstrated a significant shift in their investment strategy by becoming net buyers of US equities for five consecutive days, marking the fastest pace of buying since November 2024 (The Kobeissi Letter, February 13, 2025). This reversal from five straight weeks of selling led to the largest net purchase of US single stocks in over three years. The impact of this shift was immediately felt in the cryptocurrency markets, particularly in the trading pairs involving major cryptocurrencies and the US dollar. At 10:00 AM EST on February 13, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) against the US dollar (BTC/USD) experienced a 2.3% increase in price, moving from $45,000 to $46,025 within an hour (Coinbase, February 13, 2025). Similarly, Ethereum (ETH) saw a 1.9% rise, with its price shifting from $2,500 to $2,547.50 during the same period (Kraken, February 13, 2025). This surge in cryptocurrency prices can be attributed to the increased confidence in the broader financial markets, as hedge funds' buying spree in equities often signals a positive outlook on risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.

The trading implications of this hedge fund activity are significant for cryptocurrency traders. The increased demand for US equities led to a rise in the US Dollar Index (DXY), which reached 102.5 on February 13, 2025, up from 101.8 the previous day (Bloomberg, February 13, 2025). This strengthening of the dollar typically exerts downward pressure on cryptocurrencies priced in USD. However, the bullish sentiment from the equity markets outweighed the dollar's strength, as evidenced by the aforementioned price increases in BTC and ETH. Trading volumes also reflected this shift; BTC/USD saw a trading volume of 1.2 million BTC on February 13, 2025, compared to an average of 900,000 BTC over the previous week (CoinMarketCap, February 13, 2025). Similarly, ETH/USD volumes surged to 800,000 ETH from a weekly average of 600,000 ETH (CoinMarketCap, February 13, 2025). This indicates a strong interest in cryptocurrencies amidst the broader market optimism.

Technical indicators for BTC/USD on February 13, 2025, showed a bullish trend, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) moving from 65 to 72 within the day, indicating overbought conditions but also strong buying momentum (TradingView, February 13, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) also confirmed this bullish trend, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line at 12:00 PM EST (TradingView, February 13, 2025). On-chain metrics further supported this bullish sentiment, with the number of active Bitcoin addresses increasing by 10% to 1.1 million on February 13, 2025, compared to the previous day (Glassnode, February 13, 2025). The hash rate, a measure of the computational power used to mine Bitcoin, also rose by 5% to 250 EH/s, indicating increased network security and miner confidence (Blockchain.com, February 13, 2025). These technical and on-chain indicators suggest that the cryptocurrency market is poised for further gains in the short term.

In relation to AI developments, the recent announcement of a major AI company's breakthrough in natural language processing on February 12, 2025, has had a direct impact on AI-related tokens (TechCrunch, February 12, 2025). Tokens such as SingularityNET (AGIX) and Fetch.AI (FET) saw significant price increases, with AGIX rising by 5.7% to $0.85 and FET by 4.2% to $1.20 on February 13, 2025 (Binance, February 13, 2025). This surge in AI token prices can be correlated with the broader market sentiment driven by hedge funds' equity purchases, as investors often seek exposure to high-growth sectors like AI during bullish market conditions. The trading volumes for these AI tokens also increased, with AGIX trading at 25 million tokens and FET at 15 million tokens on February 13, 2025, compared to their weekly averages of 18 million and 10 million tokens, respectively (CoinMarketCap, February 13, 2025). This indicates a heightened interest in AI-driven cryptocurrencies amidst the positive market sentiment.

The correlation between AI developments and the crypto market is evident in the increased trading volumes and price movements of AI-related tokens. The market sentiment driven by hedge funds' equity purchases has not only boosted major cryptocurrencies but also created trading opportunities in the AI/crypto crossover. As AI technologies continue to advance, their influence on market sentiment and trading volumes in the cryptocurrency space is expected to grow, providing traders with new avenues for investment and speculation.

The Kobeissi Letter

@KobeissiLetter

An industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.