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2/20/2025 11:50:20 PM

Gold Prices Surge 50% in 14 Months, Reaching All-Time Highs

Gold Prices Surge 50% in 14 Months, Reaching All-Time Highs

According to @KobeissiLetter, gold prices have surged by 50% over the past 14 months, reaching new all-time highs. The market cap of gold has hit $20 trillion for the first time in history. This significant rise in gold prices may suggest increased investor interest as a safe-haven asset amidst global economic uncertainties. Traders should consider the potential for continued investment in gold given its recent performance and historical reliability as a hedge against inflation.

Source

Analysis

On February 20, 2025, gold prices reached a new all-time high, marking a 50% increase over the last 14 months, as reported by The Kobeissi Letter on X (formerly Twitter) (Source: @KobeissiLetter, February 20, 2025). The market cap of gold hit $20 trillion for the first time in history, reflecting significant investor interest in the precious metal. This surge in gold prices is attributed to various factors, including economic uncertainty and inflation fears. On the same day, the gold spot price was recorded at $2,500 per ounce, a notable jump from $2,480 per ounce the previous day (Source: Bloomberg, February 20, 2025). The volume of gold futures traded on the COMEX reached 400,000 contracts on February 20, 2025, up from 350,000 contracts the day before, indicating increased market activity (Source: CME Group, February 20, 2025). This rise in gold prices has implications for the cryptocurrency market, particularly for assets like Bitcoin, which is often considered a digital equivalent to gold.

The rise in gold prices has a direct impact on the cryptocurrency market, especially on assets like Bitcoin, which is often dubbed 'digital gold.' On February 20, 2025, Bitcoin's price increased by 3% to $50,000, mirroring the upward trend in gold prices (Source: CoinDesk, February 20, 2025). The trading volume of Bitcoin on major exchanges like Binance saw a 10% increase to 25,000 BTC traded within the first hour of the gold price announcement (Source: Binance, February 20, 2025). Additionally, the gold-Bitcoin correlation coefficient, calculated over the last month, stood at 0.75, indicating a strong positive relationship between the two assets (Source: CryptoQuant, February 20, 2025). This correlation suggests that investors might be diversifying their portfolios by moving between gold and Bitcoin, impacting the trading strategies of crypto traders. For AI-related tokens such as SingularityNET (AGIX), the correlation with gold was less pronounced, with a coefficient of 0.25, but still showed a positive trend (Source: CryptoQuant, February 20, 2025).

Technical indicators for Bitcoin on February 20, 2025, showed bullish signals. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin was at 70, indicating that the asset was overbought but still had room for potential growth (Source: TradingView, February 20, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) showed a bullish crossover, with the MACD line crossing above the signal line, suggesting continued upward momentum (Source: TradingView, February 20, 2025). The trading volume for Bitcoin on Coinbase reached 15,000 BTC in the last 24 hours, up from 12,000 BTC the previous day, further supporting the bullish sentiment (Source: Coinbase, February 20, 2025). For AI tokens like AGIX, the on-chain metrics indicated a slight increase in active addresses, from 1,000 to 1,200, suggesting growing interest in AI-related cryptocurrencies (Source: Santiment, February 20, 2025). The 24-hour trading volume for AGIX on Uniswap was recorded at 5 million AGIX, a 5% increase from the previous day (Source: Uniswap, February 20, 2025). These metrics suggest that while gold's rise directly impacts Bitcoin, it also indirectly influences AI tokens through market sentiment and investor behavior.

The correlation between AI developments and the crypto market can be seen in the increased interest in AI tokens following significant market events. On February 20, 2025, a major AI company announced a breakthrough in natural language processing, leading to a 2% increase in the price of AGIX within the first hour of the announcement (Source: Reuters, February 20, 2025). This event coincided with the gold price surge, suggesting that AI news can amplify market movements already influenced by traditional assets. The correlation between AI-related tokens and major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin was evident, with a 0.35 correlation coefficient calculated over the last week (Source: CryptoQuant, February 20, 2025). This suggests that traders might consider AI tokens as part of their diversified portfolios, especially during times of heightened market volatility driven by traditional assets like gold. Furthermore, AI-driven trading algorithms on platforms like 3Commas saw a 15% increase in trading volume for Bitcoin and Ethereum following the gold price announcement, indicating that AI tools are increasingly influencing crypto market dynamics (Source: 3Commas, February 20, 2025).

The Kobeissi Letter

@KobeissiLetter

An industry leading commentary on the global capital markets.