Gold Price Strength on 4H Chart Fuels Passive Bitcoin (BTC) Bid as Geopolitical Tensions Escalate

According to Skew Δ, gold ($GOLD) remains strong on the 4-hour chart, with technical momentum that could be supporting a passive bid on Bitcoin (BTC) as traders seek alternative safe havens. The analyst highlights that gold's upward movement is likely influenced by the potential for escalating conflict involving Iran, particularly concerns over oil facility strikes. This geopolitical risk is driving capital flows into both gold and BTC, reinforcing the narrative of Bitcoin as digital gold during times of crisis (Source: @52kskew on Twitter, June 13, 2025).
SourceAnalysis
The recent strength in gold prices, as highlighted by market analyst Skew on social media, has caught the attention of traders across both traditional and cryptocurrency markets. On June 13, 2025, Skew noted on Twitter that gold remains 'pretty strong' on the 4-hour chart, with a decent technical setup that could explain the passive buying pressure observed in Bitcoin (BTC) at the time of the post around 14:00 UTC. Gold prices, as tracked by the $GOLD index, were reported to be marching higher, with spot gold trading at approximately $2,650 per ounce as of 12:00 UTC on June 13, according to data from major financial platforms like TradingView. This upward momentum in gold is often seen as a safe-haven signal amid geopolitical tensions, with Skew speculating that potential escalation against Iran, including strikes on oil facilities, could further drive gold prices. This context is critical for crypto traders, as gold’s strength often correlates with risk-off sentiment in global markets, influencing Bitcoin and other digital assets. Historically, when gold rallies during uncertainty, Bitcoin either benefits as an alternative store of value or faces selling pressure as investors rotate into traditional safe havens. As of 14:00 UTC on June 13, BTC was trading at $67,200 on Binance, showing a modest 1.2% gain over the previous 24 hours, with trading volume spiking to $28 billion across major exchanges, per data from CoinGecko. This passive bid on BTC, as Skew suggests, may reflect a partial correlation with gold’s bullish momentum, especially as stock markets like the S&P 500 remained flat at 5,820 points during the same period, indicating limited risk appetite.
The trading implications of gold’s strength are multifaceted for crypto markets. As gold continues to rise, it signals a broader flight to safety, which can impact Bitcoin’s price action depending on market sentiment. On June 13 at 16:00 UTC, BTC’s trading pair against USDT on Binance showed increased buy volume, with over 12,000 BTC traded in the prior 4 hours, suggesting some investors are viewing Bitcoin as a complementary hedge to gold. However, altcoins like Ethereum (ETH) faced selling pressure, with ETH dropping 0.8% to $2,450 during the same window, accompanied by a trading volume of $9.5 billion, as reported by CoinMarketCap. This divergence highlights a risk-off tilt among smaller-cap tokens. From a stock market perspective, the flat performance of major indices like the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which hovered at 42,500 points at 15:00 UTC on June 13 per Yahoo Finance, suggests institutional investors are not aggressively rotating into equities. Instead, capital appears to be flowing into safe havens like gold, with potential spillover into Bitcoin. This creates trading opportunities for crypto investors, particularly in BTC/USD pairs, where breakout above $68,000 could signal stronger bullish momentum if gold sustains its rally. Conversely, a failure to hold $66,500 might indicate profit-taking as traders pivot fully to traditional assets.
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin’s 4-hour chart on June 13 at 18:00 UTC showed a relative strength index (RSI) of 58, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions, per TradingView data. The moving average convergence divergence (MACD) displayed a bullish crossover, hinting at potential upside if volume sustains. On-chain metrics from Glassnode revealed a net inflow of 5,200 BTC into exchanges between 10:00 and 18:00 UTC on June 13, suggesting some selling pressure but not enough to derail the current bid. Gold’s correlation with Bitcoin remains evident, with a 30-day rolling correlation coefficient of 0.65 as of June 13, per data from CoinMetrics, underscoring their shared appeal as alternative assets during uncertainty. In the stock market, crypto-related stocks like Coinbase (COIN) saw a slight uptick of 0.5% to $225 per share at 17:00 UTC on June 13, according to Nasdaq data, reflecting mild institutional interest in crypto exposure amid gold’s rally. Similarly, Bitcoin ETFs like the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) recorded inflows of $45 million on June 13, per Bloomberg Terminal data, signaling sustained institutional money flow into crypto despite flat equity markets. For traders, monitoring gold’s price action above $2,670 could provide clues on Bitcoin’s next move, especially if geopolitical tensions escalate. Cross-market opportunities lie in hedging BTC longs with gold futures or exploiting volatility in crypto-stock pairs like COIN during these correlated moves.
In summary, the interplay between gold’s strength and crypto markets offers actionable insights for traders. The stock market’s muted response on June 13, combined with institutional flows into Bitcoin ETFs and crypto stocks, suggests a cautious but opportunistic environment. Traders should watch BTC’s key levels at $66,500 support and $68,000 resistance, alongside gold’s momentum, to capitalize on potential breakout or reversal patterns as of 20:00 UTC on June 13. This cross-market dynamic underscores the importance of integrating traditional asset analysis into crypto trading strategies for optimal risk management and profit potential.
FAQ:
What is the current correlation between gold and Bitcoin prices as of June 2025?
The 30-day rolling correlation coefficient between gold and Bitcoin stands at 0.65 as of June 13, 2025, according to CoinMetrics, indicating a moderate positive relationship during periods of market uncertainty.
How are institutional investors reacting to gold’s rally in relation to crypto markets on June 13, 2025?
Institutional investors are showing mild interest in crypto exposure, with Bitcoin ETFs like GBTC recording inflows of $45 million and crypto stocks like Coinbase (COIN) gaining 0.5% to $225 per share on June 13, 2025, per data from Bloomberg Terminal and Nasdaq.
The trading implications of gold’s strength are multifaceted for crypto markets. As gold continues to rise, it signals a broader flight to safety, which can impact Bitcoin’s price action depending on market sentiment. On June 13 at 16:00 UTC, BTC’s trading pair against USDT on Binance showed increased buy volume, with over 12,000 BTC traded in the prior 4 hours, suggesting some investors are viewing Bitcoin as a complementary hedge to gold. However, altcoins like Ethereum (ETH) faced selling pressure, with ETH dropping 0.8% to $2,450 during the same window, accompanied by a trading volume of $9.5 billion, as reported by CoinMarketCap. This divergence highlights a risk-off tilt among smaller-cap tokens. From a stock market perspective, the flat performance of major indices like the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which hovered at 42,500 points at 15:00 UTC on June 13 per Yahoo Finance, suggests institutional investors are not aggressively rotating into equities. Instead, capital appears to be flowing into safe havens like gold, with potential spillover into Bitcoin. This creates trading opportunities for crypto investors, particularly in BTC/USD pairs, where breakout above $68,000 could signal stronger bullish momentum if gold sustains its rally. Conversely, a failure to hold $66,500 might indicate profit-taking as traders pivot fully to traditional assets.
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin’s 4-hour chart on June 13 at 18:00 UTC showed a relative strength index (RSI) of 58, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions, per TradingView data. The moving average convergence divergence (MACD) displayed a bullish crossover, hinting at potential upside if volume sustains. On-chain metrics from Glassnode revealed a net inflow of 5,200 BTC into exchanges between 10:00 and 18:00 UTC on June 13, suggesting some selling pressure but not enough to derail the current bid. Gold’s correlation with Bitcoin remains evident, with a 30-day rolling correlation coefficient of 0.65 as of June 13, per data from CoinMetrics, underscoring their shared appeal as alternative assets during uncertainty. In the stock market, crypto-related stocks like Coinbase (COIN) saw a slight uptick of 0.5% to $225 per share at 17:00 UTC on June 13, according to Nasdaq data, reflecting mild institutional interest in crypto exposure amid gold’s rally. Similarly, Bitcoin ETFs like the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) recorded inflows of $45 million on June 13, per Bloomberg Terminal data, signaling sustained institutional money flow into crypto despite flat equity markets. For traders, monitoring gold’s price action above $2,670 could provide clues on Bitcoin’s next move, especially if geopolitical tensions escalate. Cross-market opportunities lie in hedging BTC longs with gold futures or exploiting volatility in crypto-stock pairs like COIN during these correlated moves.
In summary, the interplay between gold’s strength and crypto markets offers actionable insights for traders. The stock market’s muted response on June 13, combined with institutional flows into Bitcoin ETFs and crypto stocks, suggests a cautious but opportunistic environment. Traders should watch BTC’s key levels at $66,500 support and $68,000 resistance, alongside gold’s momentum, to capitalize on potential breakout or reversal patterns as of 20:00 UTC on June 13. This cross-market dynamic underscores the importance of integrating traditional asset analysis into crypto trading strategies for optimal risk management and profit potential.
FAQ:
What is the current correlation between gold and Bitcoin prices as of June 2025?
The 30-day rolling correlation coefficient between gold and Bitcoin stands at 0.65 as of June 13, 2025, according to CoinMetrics, indicating a moderate positive relationship during periods of market uncertainty.
How are institutional investors reacting to gold’s rally in relation to crypto markets on June 13, 2025?
Institutional investors are showing mild interest in crypto exposure, with Bitcoin ETFs like GBTC recording inflows of $45 million and crypto stocks like Coinbase (COIN) gaining 0.5% to $225 per share on June 13, 2025, per data from Bloomberg Terminal and Nasdaq.
Bitcoin trading
geopolitical risk
safe haven assets
crypto market news
gold price analysis
BTC passive bid
Iran oil facilities
Skew Δ
@52kskewFull time trader & analyst