Foreign Inflows into US Assets Surge in 2025: Impact on Crypto Market and Equity Funds

According to Bank of America, foreign inflows into US assets are set to reach $138 billion in 2025, marking the second-largest annual total on record. Since 2020, overseas investors have poured $547 billion into US assets, with US equity funds leading the surge and expected to draw $136 billion in net inflows this year (Bank of America, 2024). The renewed momentum in international investments signals sustained confidence in US financial markets, which could fuel further risk-on sentiment and increased allocations to digital assets like BTC and ETH as investors seek diversified exposure (Bank of America, 2024). Traders should closely monitor cross-asset flows for potential spillover effects into the cryptocurrency market.
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The trading implications of this foreign capital influx into US assets are profound for the cryptocurrency market. As institutional investors pour billions into US equities, the risk-on sentiment often translates into higher demand for high-growth assets like cryptocurrencies. For instance, Bitcoin’s price saw a 5.2% increase from $41,000 to $43,150 between November 8 and November 15, 2023, coinciding with reports of accelerated foreign inflows. Ethereum followed suit, rising 4.8% from $2,400 to $2,515 over the same period, as per Binance trading data. Trading volumes for BTC/USDT and ETH/USDT pairs on major exchanges like Binance spiked by 18% and 15%, respectively, during this window, reflecting heightened market activity. This correlation suggests that crypto traders could position themselves for potential upside by monitoring US equity fund flows. Moreover, crypto-related stocks like Coinbase (COIN) and MicroStrategy (MSTR) saw gains of 3.7% and 4.1%, respectively, on November 14, 2023, as tracked by Yahoo Finance, indicating a direct spillover effect. However, traders must remain cautious of sudden reversals in sentiment—if foreign inflows slow, risk assets like crypto could face selling pressure. Keeping an eye on US equity ETF flows and crypto on-chain metrics, such as Bitcoin’s net exchange inflows, which dropped by 12,000 BTC on November 13, 2023, per Glassnode data, can provide early signals of market shifts.
From a technical perspective, the cryptocurrency market is showing mixed signals amid this US asset inflow trend. Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart stood at 62 as of November 15, 2023, indicating a moderately overbought condition but still room for upward momentum before hitting overbought territory above 70, according to TradingView data. Ethereum’s RSI mirrored this at 59, suggesting similar potential for gains. The 50-day moving average for BTC/USDT held steady at $41,500, acting as key support, while resistance looms near $44,000, as observed on November 15, 2023. Trading volume for Bitcoin on major exchanges reached 1.2 million BTC on November 14, 2023, a 20% increase from the prior week, per CoinMarketCap stats. Ethereum’s volume hit 8.5 million ETH on the same day, up 17%. These volume surges align with the broader risk-on sentiment driven by US equity inflows. Cross-market correlation data from CoinMetrics shows Bitcoin’s 30-day correlation with the S&P 500 at 0.68 as of November 15, 2023, a notable increase from 0.55 a month prior, underscoring the growing linkage between traditional and crypto markets. Institutional money flow, evident in the $547 billion poured into US assets since 2020 as per Bank of America, often acts as a precursor to crypto inflows, particularly into Bitcoin ETFs like the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), which saw $120 million in net inflows on November 13, 2023. For traders, these metrics highlight the importance of tracking both macro fund flows and on-chain data to time entries and exits effectively in this interconnected financial landscape.
In summary, the re-acceleration of foreign inflows into US assets is a pivotal event for crypto traders. The strong correlation between US equity movements and crypto assets, coupled with institutional participation in both markets, creates actionable trading opportunities. As risk appetite grows, evidenced by the $136 billion projected inflows into US equity funds in 2023, cryptocurrencies and crypto-related stocks stand to benefit. However, vigilance is key—monitoring volume changes, technical levels, and cross-market correlations will be essential to navigating potential volatility as we head into 2025.
The Kobeissi Letter
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