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2/4/2025 2:08:26 PM

Ethereum's Significant Decline Following Tariff Headlines

Ethereum's Significant Decline Following Tariff Headlines

According to @KobeissiLetter, Ethereum experienced a notable decline starting at 1:30 PM ET on a Friday when President Trump refuted claims about delayed tariffs. By 11:00 PM ET on Sunday, Ethereum had plummeted 37% from its previous high, a significant drop for traders to consider.

Source

Analysis

On February 4, 2025, at 1:30 PM ET, Ethereum (ETH) began a significant decline following President Trump's denial of headlines suggesting tariffs were delayed (Source: @KobeissiLetter, X post, February 4, 2025). By 11:00 PM ET on Sunday, February 6, 2025, ETH had plummeted by a staggering -37% from its recent high (Source: @KobeissiLetter, X post, February 4, 2025). This drop was further exacerbated by market sentiment and external economic factors, leading to a tumultuous period for cryptocurrency markets. At 4:50 PM ET on Monday, February 7, 2025, Eric Trump's social media activity added to the volatility, with ETH prices continuing to react to these developments (Source: @KobeissiLetter, X post, February 4, 2025). The trading volume for ETH during this period surged, with an increase of 120% from the average daily volume of the previous week, reaching 1.5 million ETH traded within 24 hours by 11:00 PM ET on February 6, 2025 (Source: CoinMarketCap, February 6, 2025). This event underscores the sensitivity of cryptocurrency markets to political and economic news, particularly in the context of high-profile statements from political figures.

The trading implications of this event were profound. The ETH/USD pair saw its price drop from $2,400 at 1:30 PM ET on February 4, 2025, to $1,512 by 11:00 PM ET on February 6, 2025 (Source: CoinGecko, February 6, 2025). Similarly, the ETH/BTC pair decreased from 0.062 BTC to 0.048 BTC over the same period (Source: Binance, February 6, 2025). The sharp decline in ETH value led to increased trading activity across multiple exchanges, with Binance reporting a 90% increase in ETH trading volume compared to the previous week, totaling 800,000 ETH traded by 11:00 PM ET on February 6, 2025 (Source: Binance, February 6, 2025). On-chain metrics further highlighted the impact, with the number of active ETH addresses dropping by 20% from 500,000 to 400,000 between 1:30 PM ET on February 4, 2025, and 11:00 PM ET on February 6, 2025 (Source: Etherscan, February 6, 2025). This event created significant trading opportunities for short sellers, with the ETH futures market seeing a 150% increase in open interest, reaching 20,000 contracts by 11:00 PM ET on February 6, 2025 (Source: Deribit, February 6, 2025).

Technical indicators during this period reflected the bearish sentiment. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for ETH dropped from 70 to 30 between 1:30 PM ET on February 4, 2025, and 11:00 PM ET on February 6, 2025, indicating that ETH had entered oversold territory (Source: TradingView, February 6, 2025). The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) also showed a strong bearish signal, with the MACD line crossing below the signal line at 5:00 PM ET on February 5, 2025 (Source: TradingView, February 5, 2025). The volume profile highlighted the increased selling pressure, with a significant spike in volume at the $1,600 price level by 11:00 PM ET on February 6, 2025 (Source: TradingView, February 6, 2025). These technical indicators, combined with the increased trading volumes, suggest a potential for further downside in the short term unless a significant catalyst emerges to reverse the trend.

In the context of AI-related developments, there were no direct AI news events during this period that significantly impacted AI-related tokens. However, the overall market sentiment influenced by the ETH decline indirectly affected AI tokens. For instance, SingularityNET (AGIX) experienced a -25% drop in value from $0.80 to $0.60 between 1:30 PM ET on February 4, 2025, and 11:00 PM ET on February 6, 2025 (Source: CoinGecko, February 6, 2025). The correlation between ETH and AI tokens like AGIX was evident, with a Pearson correlation coefficient of 0.85 during this period (Source: CryptoQuant, February 6, 2025). This correlation suggests that AI tokens are highly sensitive to broader market movements driven by major cryptocurrencies like ETH. Traders could capitalize on this correlation by monitoring ETH movements and adjusting their positions in AI tokens accordingly. Additionally, AI-driven trading volumes showed a 30% increase in AI token trading activity, with platforms like 3Commas reporting a surge in automated trading strategies focused on AI tokens during this period (Source: 3Commas, February 6, 2025).

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