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Ethereum (ETH) Price Analysis: Traders Eye Looming Golden Cross as ETH Defends $2,500 Support | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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6/30/2025 10:11:05 AM

Ethereum (ETH) Price Analysis: Traders Eye Looming Golden Cross as ETH Defends $2,500 Support

Ethereum (ETH) Price Analysis: Traders Eye Looming Golden Cross as ETH Defends $2,500 Support

According to @TATrader_Alan, Ethereum (ETH) is showing signs of accumulation within a consolidation pattern between $2,500 and $2,540, indicated by decreasing volume. Traders are closely monitoring for a potential 'golden cross'—a historically bullish signal where the 50-day moving average surpasses the 200-day moving average. The analysis points to a critical support floor established in the $2,490-$2,500 zone, which has successfully repelled several downside tests, and a key resistance level at $2,800. A breakout above this resistance could signal a move toward $3,000. Additionally, record staking levels, with over 35 million ETH locked, may be reducing the circulating supply and adding a bullish fundamental factor.

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Analysis

Ethereum Price Stabilizes Above $2,500 as Bulls Eye Key Technical Signals


Ethereum (ETH) is demonstrating significant resilience, establishing a firm consolidation base above the crucial $2,500 psychological and technical support level. In the last 24 hours, the ETHUSDT pair has navigated a volatile range, hitting a high of $2,522.57 before dipping to a low of $2,414.29, showcasing the intense battle between buyers and sellers. Currently trading around $2,463, the price action suggests a period of accumulation rather than distribution, characterized by decreasing trading volume within a tight range of $2,500 to $2,540. According to analysis by TATrader_Alan, this pattern indicates that long-term holders may be absorbing short-term selling pressure. The market's focus is now firmly on the formidable $2,800 resistance, a level that has capped multiple rally attempts in recent weeks. A decisive breakout above this zone could inject fresh momentum, potentially paving the way for a retest of the $3,000 mark.



A Deeper Dive into Intraday Price Action and Volume


A granular look at the recent trading activity reveals a classic V-shaped recovery pattern on the hourly charts. Ethereum experienced a sharp 4.05% decline, falling from an intraday peak of $2,564.28 to a low of $2,455.95 before buyers stepped in aggressively. The volume profile shows a significant concentration of buying activity in the $2,490-$2,500 zone, which has now become a critical technical floor. This support was tested and held multiple times, reinforcing its importance for the current market structure. A notable bullish surge occurred around the 11:43 timestamp, when ETH price leaped from $2,506 to $2,517 on a spike in volume, with between 5,876 and 8,096 units traded in that short period. However, sellers emerged near $2,515, pushing the price into a brief descending channel that bottomed out at $2,503, which now serves as immediate short-term support.



Cross-Asset Performance and On-Chain Strength


When analyzing Ethereum's performance relative to the broader market, its strength becomes more apparent. The ETHBTC trading pair, a key indicator of Ethereum's momentum against Bitcoin, posted a gain of 1.063% to reach 0.02282 BTC. This suggests that capital may be rotating from Bitcoin into Ethereum, a typically bullish sign for the altcoin market. This contrasts with the performance of other major layer-1 assets like Solana (SOL), which saw its SOLBTC pair decline by 1.346%. Furthermore, the SOLETH pair, which measures Solana's value against Ethereum, gained 2.595%, indicating a complex flow of capital between major smart contract platforms. Fundamentally, Ethereum's outlook is bolstered by strong on-chain metrics. Staking activity has hit a new all-time high, with reports indicating that over 35 million ETH are now locked in staking contracts. This massive, locked supply effectively reduces the amount of ETH available for trading on the open market, creating a potential supply squeeze that could amplify upward price movements if demand increases.



The Looming 'Golden Cross' and Future Trajectory


Traders and technical analysts are closely monitoring the potential formation of a 'golden cross' on Ethereum's daily chart. This bullish technical pattern occurs when the faster 50-day moving average (MA) crosses above the slower 200-day moving average. Historically, this signal has often preceded sustained periods of upward price trends and is viewed as a confirmation of a long-term shift in market momentum from bearish to bullish. While this indicator is not a guarantee of future performance, its potential appearance adds a significant layer of bullish confluence to the current market setup. For a sustained rally, ETH must first overcome the immediate resistance cluster between its recent high of $2,522 and the major barrier at $2,800. A failure to hold the $2,450-$2,500 support zone could see the price retrace to lower support levels. However, the combination of strong on-chain fundamentals, relative outperformance against Bitcoin, and a potential major bullish technical signal suggests that the path of least resistance may be to the upside for Ethereum.

Trader Tardigrade

@TATrader_Alan

Technical chartist and crypto content creator focused on Bitcoin and altcoin pattern analysis.

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