Ethereum (ETH) Price Analysis: Bullish Momentum Builds as Bitwise CIO Eyes Explosive H2 2025 ETF Growth and 'Digital Oil' Narrative Gains Traction

According to @CryptoMichNL, Ethereum (ETH) is demonstrating strong bullish momentum, fueled by significant institutional adoption and a compelling fundamental narrative. Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan forecasts that flows into Ethereum ETFs will accelerate significantly in the second half of 2025, driven by the easy-to-grasp narrative of stablecoins and stocks moving onto the Ethereum network, as cited in the report. This sentiment is reinforced by a report from Etherealize, which frames ETH as 'digital oil' powering a new global financial system and noting it already supports over 80% of tokenized assets. From a trading perspective, ETH broke out to $2,601 after a period of consolidation, with technical analysis showing strong support near $2,500 and the next major resistance level at $2,800. Despite a minor one-day outflow ending a 19-day streak, spot ETH ETFs attracted a substantial $1.17 billion in net inflows in June, according to Farside Investors data, suggesting sustained investor interest.
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Ether (ETH) is demonstrating significant market strength, holding firm above crucial support levels as a powerful narrative around institutional adoption gains momentum. The price of ETH surged to a high of $2,601 on July 2, a move that followed a tight 16-hour consolidation period. This bullish price action is underpinned by a growing consensus that Ethereum is evolving into the foundational layer for the tokenization of real-world assets (RWA), positioning it as the indispensable 'digital oil' for the future of finance. The ETHUSDT pair reflected this optimism, climbing 3.18% to trade around $2,616, while its strength against Bitcoin was also notable, with the ETHBTC pair rising 2.72% to approximately 0.02411.
Institutional Catalysts Fueling Ethereum's Ascent
The institutional interest in Ethereum is no longer a distant forecast but a present-day reality driving market dynamics. A significant development came on June 30, when Robinhood officially confirmed via X its plans to build the “Robinhood Chain” on Arbitrum, a leading Ethereum Layer-2 scaling solution. This move to power the future of asset ownership on Ethereum's infrastructure was amplified by the Ethereum Foundation, which stated, “Ethereum is for tokenized stocks.” This narrative is resonating powerfully with traditional finance. Matt Hougan, CIO of Bitwise, provided a particularly bullish outlook on July 2, projecting that inflows into spot Ethereum ETFs will “accelerate significantly in H2.” He highlighted that the combination of stablecoins and stocks migrating to the Ethereum network creates an “easy-to-grasp narrative for traditional investors.” According to market data, spot Ethereum ETFs had already attracted a substantial $1.17 billion in net inflows in June alone, a figure Hougan suggests could be dwarfed in the second half of 2025 if the current momentum continues.
The 'Digital Oil' Thesis and On-Chain Strength
Further bolstering the bull case is a comprehensive report titled "The Bull Case for ETH," published by Etherealize and backed by prominent ecosystem leaders. The report argues that as the global economy shifts towards on-chain financial assets, Ethereum stands as the primary settlement layer due to its unparalleled security and decentralization. It notes that Ethereum already underpins over 80% of all tokenized assets. The report frames ETH not merely as a store of value like 'digital gold' but as a productive reserve asset—'digital oil'—that fuels computation, serves as programmable collateral, and generates yield. This utility is creating a supply squeeze, with on-chain data showing nearly 30% of all ETH is currently locked in staking contracts, effectively removing it from the circulating supply and adding to upward price pressure.
ETH Price Analysis: Key Levels for Traders to Watch
From a technical standpoint, Ethereum's recent price action provides several key insights for traders. The rally on July 2 was preceded by a consolidation phase between $2,380.83 and $2,460.27. The breakout, which began around 14:00 UTC, was confirmed with a massive volume spike. During the 16:00 UTC hour, ETH surged 2.44% on trading volume that was 3.5 times its 24-hour average, signaling strong conviction from buyers. Following this move, a solid support base has formed at $2,554.06. Earlier, ETH demonstrated its resilience by forming a double-bottom structure near the $2,495–$2,510 range, which was validated by above-average volume and a swift recovery from a dip to $2,491.72. Currently, ETH is holding above the critical $2,500 psychological and technical support level. The immediate challenge for bulls is to overcome the resistance zone near $2,800. A decisive break and close above this level would confirm the continuation of the bullish trend and could open the door for a move toward the $3,000 mark in the near term.
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNLMacro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading || Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast