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Ethereum (ETH) DVT Upgrade Boosts Institutional Appeal; Coinbase (COIN) Faces Overvaluation Warning Amid BTC Accumulation | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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7/4/2025 9:12:49 AM

Ethereum (ETH) DVT Upgrade Boosts Institutional Appeal; Coinbase (COIN) Faces Overvaluation Warning Amid BTC Accumulation

Ethereum (ETH) DVT Upgrade Boosts Institutional Appeal; Coinbase (COIN) Faces Overvaluation Warning Amid BTC Accumulation

According to @EmberCN, Ethereum (ETH) is gaining institutional traction due to a fundamental upgrade in its validator architecture known as Distributed Validator Technology (DVT). Anthony Bertolino of Obol Labs states this technology enhances security and decentralization by allowing validators to be split across multiple machines, a key requirement for institutional capital. Major players like Blockdaemon and Lido are integrating DVT, making ETH staking 'enterprise-grade' and potentially mitigating network centralization concerns. In contrast, 10x Research's Markus Thielen has issued a bearish outlook on Coinbase (COIN) stock, recommending a short COIN/long BTC trade due to a potential overvaluation, as its 84% surge has significantly outpaced Bitcoin's gains. Meanwhile, Coinbase is set to launch regulated perpetual-style futures for BTC and ETH in the U.S. on July 21 and CEO Brian Armstrong confirmed the company continues to accumulate Bitcoin (BTC) weekly.

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Analysis

As the Asian trading week commences, Ethereum (ETH) is demonstrating significant strength, trading firmly around the $2,550 level. According to current market data, the ETH/USDT pair is priced at $2,550.56, showing resilience despite a minor 24-hour dip of about 1.8%. More notably, Ethereum has outperformed Bitcoin (BTC) in recent sessions, a trend fueled by a confluence of positive fundamental developments. While spot ETF inflows and favorable regulatory discussions have provided tailwinds, a more profound upgrade is solidifying ETH’s appeal for institutional capital. The ETH/BTC trading pair sits at approximately 0.0233, reflecting this relative strength, even as BTC itself trades at elevated levels. This outperformance suggests that traders are looking beyond simple market beta and focusing on Ethereum's intrinsic network value and future growth trajectory.

Ethereum's Core Upgrade: The Rise of Distributed Validator Technology

Behind the price action, Ethereum’s proof-of-stake infrastructure is undergoing a critical evolution with the implementation of Distributed Validator Technology (DVT). This technology, championed by teams like Obol Labs, addresses a long-standing concern for institutional stakers: single points of failure. DVT allows a single Ethereum validator's duties to be split across multiple machines and operators. This dramatically enhances resilience, security, and decentralization. Anthony Bertolino, head of ecosystem at Obol Labs, highlighted this shift, stating, “Ethereum is coming back in favor because it’s the most secure and battle-tested blockchain. And security comes from validators. The most advanced and secure ones now are distributed validators.” The technology uses an “active-active” architecture, meaning if some nodes in a validator cluster fail, the validator continues to operate without interruption, mitigating the risk of penalties or slashing.

Institutional Adoption Accelerates

This technical enhancement is proving to be a prerequisite for large-scale institutional involvement. Major infrastructure providers are taking notice. Blockdaemon, a key player for institutional crypto services, recently announced its integration of Obol's DVT into its staking products. This move is a powerful endorsement, signaling that DVT meets the rigorous security and performance standards of traditional finance. Furthermore, Lido, Ethereum's largest staking protocol with over $22 billion in total value locked, is advancing a governance proposal to approve DVT use across its professional node operators. A successful trial, the Simple DVT Module, has already deployed over 9,600 DVT-powered validators that have demonstrated a 97.5% effectiveness score, outperforming the network average. As Bertolino noted, “Historically, institutions had to choose between performance and security. Now they get both.” This shift is crucial for making Ethereum staking truly enterprise-grade.

Coinbase Navigates Growth and Valuation Headwinds

In parallel, major U.S. exchange Coinbase is making strategic moves while facing scrutiny over its stock valuation. On the product front, Coinbase is set to launch perpetual-style futures contracts in the U.S. on July 21st. These instruments, available for BTC and ETH on its CFTC-regulated Derivatives Exchange, are structured to mimic the globally popular perpetual swaps while adhering to U.S. regulations. They will feature a funding rate mechanism and settle through regulated clearing, a significant step in bringing sophisticated crypto derivatives to the American market. Separately, CEO Brian Armstrong confirmed the company's bullish stance on the primary digital asset, stating in a recent post, “We're buying more bitcoin every week. Long Bitcoin.” This follows the firm's Q1 2025 earnings call where CFO Alesia Haas revealed a $150 million crypto purchase, mostly in BTC. Coinbase currently holds 9,257 BTC on its balance sheet, making it a top public holder.

COIN Stock Overvaluation Concerns

Despite these positive developments, some analysts are sounding alarms about Coinbase's stock (COIN). Markus Thielen, Head of Research at 10x Research, recently pointed out that COIN shares have surged 84% in the past two months, vastly outpacing Bitcoin’s 14% gain. Thielen recommended a pairs trade of shorting COIN while going long on BTC, arguing that the exchange's trading volumes do not support such a premium valuation. He wrote that while Coinbase hasn't hit the +30% overvaluation mark yet, it's approaching rapidly. According to 10x Research's model, about 75% of COIN's price is correlated with Bitcoin's price and trading volumes, suggesting the recent rally is fueled by excess speculation. “This rare deviation suggests Coinbase’s valuation is extended and vulnerable to mean reversion,” Thielen warned, implying a potential correction for the stock is on the horizon.

余烬

@EmberCN

Analyst about On-chain Analysis

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