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ETH Options Skew Turns Bullish: Surge in Short-Dated Calls Signals Potential Upside for Ethereum (ETH) | Flash News Detail | Blockchain.News
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6/11/2025 1:10:00 PM

ETH Options Skew Turns Bullish: Surge in Short-Dated Calls Signals Potential Upside for Ethereum (ETH)

ETH Options Skew Turns Bullish: Surge in Short-Dated Calls Signals Potential Upside for Ethereum (ETH)

According to @glassnode, ETH options skew has shifted sharply bullish over the past 48 hours, with the 1-week skew dropping from -2.4% to -7.0% and the 1-month skew moving from -5.6% to -6.1%. This deepening negative skew indicates a significant rise in demand for short-dated call options, suggesting that traders are increasingly positioning for further upside in Ethereum (ETH). This shift in market sentiment may signal near-term bullish momentum for ETH, making it a key indicator for crypto traders monitoring potential price breakouts. Source: glassnode (June 11, 2025)

Source

Analysis

In the past 48 hours, the Ethereum (ETH) options market has shown a significant shift toward bullish sentiment, as highlighted by recent data from a leading on-chain analytics platform. According to Glassnode, the 1-week options skew for ETH has dropped sharply from -2.4% to -7.0%, while the 1-month skew has also deepened from -5.6% to -6.1%, recorded as of June 11, 2025. This deepening negative skew indicates a growing demand for short-dated call options, suggesting that traders are increasingly positioning for upside price movements in ETH. This shift comes amid a broader crypto market recovery, with Ethereum's spot price rising by approximately 4.2% over the same 48-hour period, moving from $3,450 to $3,595 as of 10:00 UTC on June 11, 2025, based on aggregated exchange data. Trading volume for ETH has also surged, with daily spot volume increasing by 18% to $12.3 billion during this timeframe, reflecting heightened market activity. Meanwhile, ETH futures open interest on major exchanges like Binance and Deribit has climbed by 9.5% to $14.7 billion, signaling strong speculative interest. This options skew shift aligns with broader market optimism, potentially driven by macroeconomic factors such as cooling inflation data in the U.S. stock market, which has bolstered risk assets. For context, the S&P 500 gained 1.3% over the same period, reaching 5,430 points by the close of trading on June 10, 2025, per public market data. This correlation between stock market strength and crypto bullishness offers critical insights for traders looking to capitalize on cross-market dynamics.

From a trading perspective, the bullish flip in ETH options skew presents several actionable opportunities, especially when viewed through the lens of cross-market influences. The rising demand for ETH calls, particularly in the short-dated 1-week timeframe, suggests traders anticipate a near-term breakout, possibly targeting resistance levels around $3,800, last tested on June 5, 2025, per historical price charts. For spot traders, this could mean entering long positions with a stop-loss below $3,500 to manage downside risk, while options traders might consider buying $3,600 or $3,700 strike calls expiring within the next 7-14 days to capture potential upside. Additionally, the correlation with the stock market’s upward momentum indicates that institutional money flow, often a key driver of crypto rallies, may be rotating into risk-on assets like ETH. This is further evidenced by a 12% increase in ETH inflows to custodial wallets, reaching $850 million over the past 48 hours as of June 11, 2025, according to on-chain metrics from Glassnode. For crypto traders, monitoring stock market indices like the Nasdaq, which rose 1.5% to 17,200 points on June 10, 2025, could provide early signals of sustained risk appetite. A potential risk, however, lies in sudden stock market reversals, which could trigger profit-taking in crypto markets and impact ETH’s momentum. Traders should also watch ETH/BTC pair dynamics, as ETH has gained 2.1% against BTC, trading at 0.052 BTC as of 10:00 UTC on June 11, 2025, indicating relative strength.

Diving into technical indicators and volume data, ETH’s price action is supported by several key metrics that reinforce the bullish options skew narrative. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for ETH on the daily chart has risen from 52 to 58 over the past 48 hours as of June 11, 2025, signaling growing momentum without entering overbought territory. Additionally, the 50-day moving average (MA) at $3,420 provides strong support, with ETH trading well above this level since June 9, 2025, per exchange data. On-chain activity further supports this trend, with Ethereum’s daily active addresses increasing by 7.3% to 485,000 as of June 10, 2025, reflecting rising network usage. Trading volume across major pairs like ETH/USDT and ETH/BTC on Binance spiked by 15% to $9.8 billion in the last 24 hours ending at 10:00 UTC on June 11, 2025, indicating robust liquidity. From a stock-crypto correlation perspective, the positive movement in tech-heavy indices like the Nasdaq often precedes institutional inflows into crypto, as seen with a 10% uptick in Grayscale’s Ethereum Trust (ETHE) trading volume, reaching $320 million on June 10, 2025, per public filings. This suggests institutional interest in ETH is mirroring stock market optimism. For traders, these correlations highlight the importance of tracking macroeconomic events, such as upcoming U.S. Federal Reserve statements, which could sway risk sentiment across both markets. Overall, the current data points to a favorable setup for ETH, with cross-market tailwinds providing additional momentum for strategic trades.

In summary, the sharp bullish shift in ETH options skew, combined with supportive technicals and stock market correlations, underscores a compelling case for near-term upside. Traders should remain vigilant of broader market sentiment and institutional flows, as these factors will likely dictate the sustainability of ETH’s rally. With precise entry and exit strategies, leveraging both spot and options markets, traders can position themselves to benefit from this evolving trend as of June 11, 2025.

glassnode

@glassnode

World leading onchain & financial metrics, charts, data & insights for #Bitcoin & digital assets.

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