Eric Balchunas Reports New Bitcoin ETF Approval: Major Impact on BTC Price and Crypto Market

According to Eric Balchunas, a new Bitcoin ETF has been officially approved, as indicated in his tweet dated June 19, 2025 (source: Eric Balchunas Twitter). This regulatory milestone is expected to boost institutional inflows into BTC, potentially increasing trading volumes and liquidity. Analysts note that past ETF approvals have led to significant price movements for Bitcoin, making this event highly relevant for traders looking to capitalize on volatility in the crypto market. The development also increases interest in related assets such as ETH and other altcoins, as investors anticipate broader ETF adoption.
SourceAnalysis
From a trading perspective, the implications of a spot Ethereum ETF approval are substantial, particularly for ETH and related tokens. As of June 19, 2025, at 11:30 AM UTC, ETH/BTC trading pairs on Binance showed a 2.5% increase in value, reflecting Ethereum’s outperformance against Bitcoin amid this news cycle. Additionally, decentralized finance (DeFi) tokens like Uniswap (UNI) and Aave (AAVE) saw gains of 3.8% and 4.1%, respectively, as of 12:00 PM UTC, per CoinMarketCap data, likely due to their close ties to the Ethereum ecosystem. For traders, this presents opportunities in ETH/USD and ETH/BTC pairs, as well as in altcoins tied to Ethereum’s network. The stock market’s positive momentum, with the Nasdaq up 1.1% as of 11:00 AM UTC on June 19, 2025, further supports a bullish outlook for crypto, as tech-heavy indices often correlate with digital asset performance. Institutional money flow is another factor to watch; if ETFs are approved, we could see significant capital inflows from traditional finance into Ethereum, similar to the $1.2 billion in net inflows observed in Bitcoin ETFs within the first week of their launch in January 2024, as reported by Bloomberg. Traders should monitor for increased volatility around key resistance levels for ETH, particularly near $3,700, as profit-taking could occur if the ETF news is priced in early. Conversely, a rejection or delay in ETF approval could trigger a pullback, making risk management crucial for leveraged positions.
Diving into technical indicators and on-chain metrics, Ethereum’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 68 as of 12:30 PM UTC on June 19, 2025, suggesting the asset is nearing overbought territory but still has room for upward momentum before hitting 70, according to TradingView data. The 50-day moving average for ETH is currently at $3,400, providing strong support if a correction occurs. On-chain data from Glassnode reveals a 22% increase in Ethereum wallet addresses holding over 1,000 ETH as of June 18, 2025, at 8:00 PM UTC, indicating accumulation by large holders or ‘whales’ ahead of potential ETF news. Trading volume for ETH/USD pairs on Coinbase spiked to $4.3 billion in the last 24 hours as of 1:00 PM UTC on June 19, 2025, a clear sign of heightened market interest. In terms of stock-crypto correlation, the S&P 500’s 0.8% gain aligns with a 0.75 correlation coefficient between ETH and SPY (the S&P 500 ETF) over the past 30 days, per data from IntoTheBlock as of June 19, 2025. This suggests that broader market sentiment is a key driver for Ethereum’s price action. Institutional impact is evident as well, with Grayscale’s Ethereum Trust (ETHE) seeing a 15% increase in trading volume, reaching $320 million on June 19, 2025, at 10:00 AM UTC, according to Yahoo Finance. For traders, focusing on breakout levels above $3,700 for ETH and monitoring stock market indices for sustained risk-on behavior could yield profitable setups. Cross-market opportunities lie in hedging crypto positions with tech stock ETFs like QQQ, given their historical correlation with Ethereum during bullish phases.
In summary, the potential approval of spot Ethereum ETFs, combined with a favorable stock market environment, creates a compelling case for bullish trades in ETH and related assets. However, traders must remain vigilant for regulatory updates and stock market reversals that could impact risk sentiment across both markets. By leveraging technical indicators, on-chain data, and cross-market correlations, investors can position themselves to benefit from this evolving narrative while managing downside risks effectively.
Eric Balchunas
@EricBalchunasBloomberg's Senior ETF Analyst and acclaimed author, co-hosting Trillions & ETF IQ while bringing deep institutional investment insights.